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Jake

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Everything posted by Jake

  1. Tauchman is under team control next year and contenders may have been wary of his leg issues (which look apparent when you watch him running the bases) as they went into the stretch run. Did any team trade for a lefty corner outfielder? I think Jesus Sanchez is the only one who went to a contender and he wasn't a rental. Seems there may not have been a substantial market for his services this year.
  2. Folks not appreciating that Mead is a premium hitting talent who has never gotten more than 135 plate appearances in a single MLB season to get anything going. If you insist on getting a player who has never failed before you are likely to only get one who fails in the future. Mead's initial call-ups have seen him blocked by some legit major leaguers around the infield: Isaac Paredes, Wander Franco, Brandon Lowe, Yandy Diaz, Jose Caballero, Junior Caminero, Jonathan Aranda, etc. It's not like the Rays have been starved for 3B/2B production and gave him every chance but he failed (like what happened with Vargas in LA). Mead has been doing injury fill-ins, occasional platoons, etc. Not a perfect environment for success. That doesn't mean he's a guaranteed superstar or something, but if all you do is glance at the back of the baseball card you're missing important information. Houser has pitched fantastically for the past 11 or 12 starts with all signs pointing to him pitching something more like "competently" for the rest of the season before he becomes a free agent. I think that has real value to the right team, but the Sox got some real value coming back.
  3. I have no clue why the Rays gave up so much for Adrian Houser while selling some of their other big league pieces. They currently have a 10% probability of making the playoffs per FanGraphs.
  4. Mead: 24 years old but a long time in the minors due to signing young as an amateur out of Australia. Rays were going to have to make a tough decision soon because he's running out of options. Statcast shows us serious bat speed potential, will slot in as third-highest bat speed on the Sox after Robert and Colson. This is a prerequisite for power hitting. Other info from Statcast regarding raw tools: not a strong runner, comparable speed to a guy like Lenyn Sosa. Around league average, so it's not a major detractor to his game but probably means he's not an obvious candidate to convert to outfield. Also, his average and maximum throwing velocities in the infield are low, matching scouting report claims that he has a weak arm. Statcast defensive metrics have him within a stone's throw of average across his various experiences. A bit below average last year, a bit above this year (has played 2B better than 1B). The vast majority of his minor league experience is at 3B with some reps at 2B. He suffered an arm injury once he became a major leaguer which may have affected his ability to be a full-time 3B going forward. As a prospect, he had a reputation for serious problems with chasing pitches out of the zone but having a natural feel for hitting that helped cover for it, especially paired with his raw power. This season, he has drastically cut back his chase rate in the majors, well below MLB average. That said, it's not all roses — he's become more passive in general, taking a lot of strikes even down the middle. His rate of contact is quite high, just a tick short of the elite contact bats like Meidroth. His .317 xwOBA is close to league average, but he has had mildly bad luck in his actual results. At the time of his recent demotion, he was trending in a good direction. He has reverse splits this season but that was not the case in the past, so more likely a sample size thing. Once you get into the particulars you will see numerous differences but there are definitely echoes of the Miguel Vargas acquisition here. He's probably higher risk and higher upside.
  5. My first reaction is that this is a fantastic return and I have no idea what the Rays are trying to accomplish
  6. When Mead graduated from prospect status on FanGraphs midseason last year, they had ranked him as the #34 prospect in MLB
  7. When we say we'd take anything for Houser, would that include a player who is essentially Joshua Palacios?
  8. Well if Dustin May was on the market it's no wonder everything has been slowing down lol
  9. Falter has crummy metrics, years of team control remaining, and went to a non-contender. That's a developmental play, more of the kind of the thing the Sox would be receiving rather than dealing
  10. Maybe I'm wrong but I have the impression that many posters here feel that Luis Robert is hardly deserving of a MLB job so they would have been happy with just about anything the Sox would have gotten back for him
  11. I haven't broken down every last deal made by the Twins yet, but my overall impression is that they aren't getting a lot back for all the talent going out the door
  12. They grabbed Mike Soroka yesterday
  13. Kopech twice on the 60-day IL this year, Fedde released, Pham released, Edman with some playoff heroics but immediately became pricey free agent. Meanwhile Sox got a 25 year old every day starter in Vargas and the two minor league infielders received by the Sox remain potential future contributors (far from certain, of course). Don't think 2024's three-way trade looks so bad a year later.
  14. As far as Civale goes, I'm not convinced any contender would care to even claim him on the waiver wire.
  15. We'll see if this breaks the logjam.
  16. I have a conflict of interest in that I watch nearly every game the White Sox play and I still prefer to see Luis Robert over Brooks Baldwin and co.
  17. I was never under the impression that the Sox would have a very exciting deadline this year unless LouBob had returned to all-star+ form. Slater is already gone, Rojas busted (and was never going to have the upside of providing much), Tauchman has played well enough that the Sox don't want to trade him. Sox never acquired a reliever with enough talent to potentially pull much in a deadline deal. Houser should bring something, we shall see, but that's playing with house money as far as where the Sox were to start the season. They're sending a very young team out there every day.
  18. Would be funny to get something of value from the Rangers for the guy they cut loose a couple months ago
  19. Kind of a weird move given how aggressively they usually attack their weak spots
  20. Owen White is technically a prospect!
  21. There's been a serious "missing middle class" in MLB free agency so I find it hard to price in guys, like Robert, who would fit into that middle class. Especially since he would be unlikely to seek a long-term contract (IMO), there's only a small number of teams who would likely be interested in paying top dollar for a 1-year deal since there's no upside if your team misses the playoffs
  22. I got the impression that Sox management probably had the plan to change some things physically but ultimately decided it wasn't necessary or not the best way forward.

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