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Jake

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Everything posted by Jake

  1. Tilson has fairly low upside because he's never shown any power. Best case scenario is a glove-first outfielder who just barely touches league average hitting. Realistic positive outcome is that he's a 4th outfielder who doesn't kill you if someone gets hurt for a few weeks
  2. Well I think Reynaldo may have figured something out.
  3. You get to the point where you wonder if the Sox just want Palka to get 1 hit before they send him down
  4. Useful to keep in mind as Jorge Lopez mows us down: 1st time through the order this year, batters have a .280 OPS. Second time through, 1.000 OPS. Third time, 1.100 OPS
  5. Yeah I think the Statcast stuff makes several things clear: He's had tremendous luck so far — nobody really "earns" a .450 batting average, so no shame in being lucky His "deserved" hitting overall is better than previous years by quite a bit, it's just more like .800-.850 OPS type production that we'd all be happy for him to have He's always been a better fastball hitter than he is against other stuff, but this year he's really killing fastballs. Very small sample size but he's done well against "offspeed," AKA changeups He's had success against breaking pitches but that's where he's had a lot of luck. Statcast's xwOBA suggests he hasn't yet improved against breaking pitches compared to last year. Worth mentioning that he improved last year compared to his first two seasons against breaking pitches, although they are clearly his weakness. I think the question becomes what will happen when Tim gets the Eloy treatment, getting slider after slider. The question becomes patience against breaking pitches, then. So far, he is swinging at about half the breaking balls outside the zone (see here for the BaseballSavant search), which would be the worst he's done. But if we look at the rate of swings at breaking pitches in the "chase" zone — that is, not just technically outside the zone but outside the gray area where umps often miss calls — his chase rate in a very small sample would be the lowest of his career. See here for the BaseballSavant search. So there's some sign that he is laying off breaking balls better. His xwOBA against the balls outside the zone is better than in previous years as well, although still bad (as you would expect for breaking balls outside the zone), so that's another sign that his discipline is improving.
  6. I know Tim has embraced this to some extent, but does anyone else feel little weirded out about the constant "what a day for our one black player to play well since it's Jackie Robinson day"
  7. Wonder why he touched his penis as he touched home plate
  8. Hell of a play by Anderson especially after kind of mishandling the catch on the last steal
  9. That blown call effectively ended the AB so long as he could locate in that general vicinity another time
  10. His career best WAR season, last year, ranked him 18th among SS. I don't mean "low-end" as "bad" I mean it as among the lower portion of the guys who are definitely starting SS (of which there are probably 15-20 at any given time).
  11. Jake

    4/15 Games

    Yeah he'll need to be bad for a longer time before they do that. Unless you think he has the yips or something (or even if you think that) a demotion is probably a death certificate for his career
  12. I still haven't really raised my expectations for Anderson but it would really be a big boost if he could step forward from low-end starting SS to high-end starting SS.
  13. 2 strike changeup on the black and he ropes it for a single. Really, really encouraging.
  14. I wanted the Sox to pick Madrigal and almost immediately I've just felt that we're going to end up being disappointed in the pick. Seems like some of the scouting industry has started to sour on him a little bit too. Plenty of time for him to grow of course once we change our expectations away from immediate surge to MLB.
  15. Looks like we're thinking the same thing!
  16. Would like to see Madrigal's 3B. Saw his hits yesterday and didn't feel like it showed much as far as projecting a positive change in his production. Bunt hit, two weakly hit choppers right on the foul lines, and a solid single lined to left.
  17. What's the deal, Frare has looked horrible and could probably use some time in AAA to get more consistent appearances with less pressure. I saw Frare as a guy who would go up and down a few times from the start.
  18. Maybe I'm wrong but I think they usually take great pains to finish these games
  19. He's going to lose that bomb I think
  20. I used to compare Gio to Gavin Floyd as an insult but now I consider it an aspiration
  21. I'm not too sure what we have here in Banuelos. Will be interesting to see if he's on the team come September.
  22. Here's something worth knowing about Ervin Santana: His name is not Ervin. His real name is Johan. Coming up through the minors he decided he didn't want to be confused with *the* Johan Santana. Did he take on his middle name? Nope. He just picked Ervin because he thought it sounded cool. I find that to be hilarious
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