Everything posted by Jake
- 2025 Trade deadline rumors thread
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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.
I think this is a worthwhile consideration for both Tauchman and LouBob
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Bullpen Moves
Very surprised that all the Twins got back for Brock Stewart was James Outman
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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.
Houser has to go, but it's not exactly shocking that no relief pitcher has been traded. They're all bad and mostly rather short on talent. Few if any are pending FA. No urgency, no value. Grant Taylor obviously an exception on the value/talent part, but would be a weird time to trade him as well.
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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.
Return for Mullins seems quite light
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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.
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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.
Idle thought: seems that the Getz administration does not do much leaking
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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.
Yes (this isn't a comment on whether it would be right or wrong, which I haven't really thought about)
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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.
Get back to me when the butthole accounts start posting
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Red Sox "more interested in" Civale than Houser
I don't think there's any need to overanalyze the headline claim here. I'm sure they like Houser more than Civale. I like a Ferrari better than a Corolla. But I know which one I'm more likely to buy. This just tells us that the Red Sox don't like the price the Sox are setting for Houser.
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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.
The only thing that could happen at this deadline to make me think Getz is completely clueless is if Houser isn't moved. I'm not very comfortable holding on to LouBob but the potential upside of trading him seems so small that I can at least see the logic of holding on especially if ownership has signaled comfort with his option.
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Colson Montgomery has arrived
FWIW, Colson has never really had big lefty/righty splits.
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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.
I still have a hard time seeing the Sox pay him $20M next year unless he finishes the year completely on fire
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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.
Yeah tried to do a quick fix on that double negative
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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.
Mark Feinsand just reported on air on MLB Network that it's looking increasingly unlikely that LouBob is traded today
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Phillies acquiring Harrison Bader from Twins
Didn't give up much there, although I'm not seeing much info on the talent level of the 16 year old pitcher. Gomez was an interesting-ish prospect before falling on his face in A-ball. Hitting pretty well in AA now and just 21 years old but probably not a ton of upside.
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Padres acquiring Mason Miller & J.P. Sears from A's
Remarkable deal for the A's, in my opinion. I get the logic for the Padres but I'd guess most of the league is wondering what the hell they are up to
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Phillies acquiring Harrison Bader from Twins
Wait too long and you end up lacking leverage
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Adrian Houser traded to TB for former top prospect Curtis Mead
I think Houser should have legitimate value. 1. He has a long track of competent pitching in the major leagues. Career 4.00 ERA. It's not like he's never been able to get people out before and suddenly figured it out. 2. The underlying metrics for Houser this season look rock solid even if not on the Cy Young level that his ERA suggests. His FIP is 3.29, xERA is 3.96. 3. The improvement in results relative to his recent past is explainable by an uptick in his stuff. Most obvious is that he's gained 2 mph on his fastball. His changeup and slider also have significantly different shapes than before. He's a different pitcher than 2024 rather than just 2024 + luck.
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Red Sox "more interested in" Civale than Houser
Okay, I'll settle for Marcelo Mayer rather than Roman Anthony then
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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.
Sosa would be a shock because why would a rebuilding team trade one of their present-day best performers who is 25 and has 4 years of control left? Strikes me as unlikely that a team would offer something that makes sense (basically either a high upside minor leaguer without a ton of risk or a Sosa-like major leaguer at a different position).
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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.
Yeah it's part of the reason I wanted to make the post, TBH. Older guys, especially ones we acquire as free agents, aren't ones you assume you have control over going forward. But Tauchman is an exception (as is Gilbert and some others). Double checking now, I think Altavilla also has a couple years or arbitration remaining (Cot's and FanGraphs seem to differ on this). FWIW, I don't know what a reasonable estimate of Tauchman's cost in arbitration will be but I think Sox would almost certainly be crazy not to tender him a contract.
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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.
I think Houser and Robert are the only must-move pieces today. Tauchman has another year of control. I'm not sure if you could even get anyone to pay Civale's salary, let alone get a player back for him. Somebody could have interest in Tyler Alexander, who will be a free agent, but you're not getting anything back for him — maybe somebody on the verge of being removed from a team's 40-man. Same for Dan Altavilla although I think he would have less value than Alexander. I guess I'd listen on Michael A. Taylor, another pending free agent, but again it would be hard to get anything for him. Have to weigh the costs of making the MLB team really, really miserable for the rest of the season at some point. Everyone else on the roster is under team control at least through next season which reduces any urgency to move them. Many of these relatively older guys in the pen (e.g. Gilbert, Booser) are actually pre-arbitration and can stick around for a while.
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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.
I'm thinking Mets just see him as way too good for a Robert rental.
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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.
If we're looking for power, maybe they can send us that Sheets kid