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Everything posted by Balta1701
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QUOTE (RockRaines @ Aug 30, 2017 -> 09:39 AM) He didnt see any flooding, talk to any victims, yet tweets about how he saw it first hand. QUOTE (knightni @ Aug 30, 2017 -> 09:57 AM) Why tell the truth when no one cares that you're lying? Honestly, for once, I really don't care about this. There have been military helicopters flying overhead nonstop since the weather cleared in Houston yesterday. He did a photo op, he's his usual crass self, but it's a photo op. At least he didn't come here where we need the runway.
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The New Front in the Gerrymandering Wars: Democracy vs. Math
Balta1701 replied to StrangeSox's topic in The Filibuster
QUOTE (LittleHurt05 @ Aug 29, 2017 -> 02:00 PM) The fact that elected officials get to determine the size/shape future districts that will be electing them is ridiculous. At least some states have independent commissions of non elected officials. Of course, you may also find some partisan bias in the states run that way. -
sox marketing technique - acquiring attractive players
Balta1701 replied to ron883's topic in Pale Hose Talk
This thread is beautiful, just not Kopech beautiful. Thank you. -
Kopech will have a chance to win a rotation spot next spring
Balta1701 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (ChiSox59 @ Aug 29, 2017 -> 02:40 PM) I just listed several internals candidates for the 5th spot. I obviously think we'll grab a Rule IV guy, but I'd be surprised if he was in the rotation. Either a utility guy or relief pitcher. I highly doubt that they would attempt to get a utility player. Even if they dump Saladino and Hanson, counting Sanchez, Leury Garcia, Anderson, Moncada, and that 3b we traded for from Milwaukee, we have more than enough guys for the infield positions who should get some big league playing time next year. I similarly don't look at Stephens or Guerrero and think they are obvious rotation candidates for next year - if they don't grab a rule 5 player and I still think they will, then in that case I'd expect them to sign someone Holland-like (someone suggested Lynn earlier in this thread) who can fill the role for part of the year. Edit: LOL I even forgot Davidson. -
Kopech will have a chance to win a rotation spot next spring
Balta1701 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (steveno89 @ Aug 29, 2017 -> 02:14 PM) Exactly. Zero chance Kopech is on the opening day roster and the Sox burn a season of valuable control for 2-3 starts. Kopech just got promoted to AAA and is only 21 years old, why rush him to the majors before he is ready? So Fine. Adjust the thinking. "Kopech will have a chance to be up 2 weeks after the season starts". -
Kopech will have a chance to win a rotation spot next spring
Balta1701 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (ChiSox59 @ Aug 29, 2017 -> 02:00 PM) Right. Post trade deadline is in August. Plus, who are the Sox going to have to trade in the rotation next July? Locks: Rodon, Lopez, Shields and Giolito (maybe not a lock for Gio yet, but at this point I'd be surprised if he isn't in OD rotation) Maybe they sign a flip candidate for the 5th spot, but there are plenty of internal options that could be given a shot (Stephens, Guerrero, Danish, Fulmer (unlikely), maybe even Adams). I'd lean towards giving the job to Stephens or Guerrero who will play the majority of next seasons at 25 and 24, instead of a guy like Chatwood or Sanitago that are unlikely to bring anything of value back in July. I would still guess that the 5th spot in our 2018 rotation will be filled by a rule 5 draft pick as we have a clear opening right there and no internal candidates who will be likely to force them off the roster. We don't have room for guys in the infield or outfield, but the rotation has an opening so it's a logical place. -
Kopech will have a chance to win a rotation spot next spring
Balta1701 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (greg775 @ Aug 29, 2017 -> 01:53 PM) Let's say Kopech starts. We'd have Rodon and Kopech to start the rotation with Lopez. Isn't that potentially 3 pretty good starters? Isn't it better than the trash say the Royals will throw out there? Unfortunately it looks like Cleveland is ready to go on a Braves' like run of division titles. They are really good, folks, so I guess this rebuild is timed pretty well. But ... with 3 good starters minimum, pick up a veteran who can actually pitch, f*** that's a good four man rotation. Add to that you got an infield of Abreu, Moncada, TA and Davidson, that's not so awful. Flame away. If we have to lose 120 games the next two seasons, fine, but I maintain we'll have so many players expected to contribute to our next title team on the big league roster that all that losing will not be that helpful. Unless Lopez is a total flameout, the rotation could be at least better than the Royals and Twins and Tigers. I realize the bullpen as is is so bad it would ultimately make us an 100 loss team unless we worked on that. Maybe that's the key. The bullpen is so bad we're stuck at 120 losses no matter what, but I like our rotation. Was Rodon a strong top of the rotation guy this year? No, he spent half the year hurt and we have yet to see a single, full, consistent season from him where you'd have confidence that he's going to lead your rotation. Lopez and Kopech as pretty good starters when Kopech probably should still be in AAA and Lopez is a rookie? You've got the makings of a solid 2019 rotation, but even counting Giolito you've got lots that will go wrong. -
Kopech will have a chance to win a rotation spot next spring
Balta1701 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (ChiSox59 @ Aug 29, 2017 -> 01:35 PM) DO NOT LIKE. I also don't think it will happen. Kopech is in AAA until August/September unless he is making mincemeat of AAA. Moncada came up not because he was making Mincemeat of the Minors but because the major league trade deadline schedule dictated it. I'm guessing we'll see Kopech up after the Super-2 deadline for the same reason. -
Kopech will have a chance to win a rotation spot next spring
Balta1701 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (TheTruth05 @ Aug 29, 2017 -> 01:17 PM) If Kopech and Jimenez are up early next season,which i do believe will be the case, they are definitely trying to see what they potentially have before that big '19 FA class. This is absolutely consistent with what Rick Hahn has said about believing 2019 is when his window re-opens. -
QUOTE (Quin @ Aug 28, 2017 -> 06:16 PM) How much influence does Coop have over the minors? Because the amount of guys that suddenly discover success under him is a pretty good track record. The only one I can think of that 100% regressed was Samadrzjia I dunno, but in 2015-2016 it was noticeable how long it had been since we had actually developed a successful pitcher. After Quintana in 2011, we've developed Bassit but we traded him and then he went on to surgery, and we developed the #3 draft pick into a pitcher who so far can barely stay healthy and who has been a middle rotation pitcher even when we insisted he'd be more than that. For a team whose philosophy is "we'll develop pitching and trade it for hitting!", 2 big league starters over 6 years isn't a strong record of development.
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QUOTE (ptatc @ Aug 28, 2017 -> 04:17 PM) Don't know for sure but I would guess so. But I also recall that it was a move to protect his arm at the time and wasn't a permanent move to the pen. Per press reports yeah it was
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Harvey has moved back out over the Gulf of Mexico and is restrengthening, with its sustained winds rising from 35 to 45 miles per hour. Its track keeps shifting east, which takes it away from Houston but towards areas in Louisiana that have already had issues with flooding this summer - New Orleans really can't take this right now.
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QUOTE (ptatc @ Aug 28, 2017 -> 11:05 AM) I do give some credit for Chris Sale to Cooper for two reasons. The first is that they drafted him with the intention of keeping him as a starter. Cooper had input on this and many other organizations wouldn't. The secondis allowing Sale to retain his scary mechanics and working with them. This again was not tge path that many other organizations would have taken. Cooper is not bulletproof but his successes compared to most other coaches should have hi about as close as one can be. Wasn't Cooper in agreement with management in 2012 when Sale's arm was sore to start the season and he was on the DL and the organization said they were moving him to the bullpen and Chris Sale threw the first tantrum in the locker room we know of and said absolutely not?
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QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Aug 28, 2017 -> 12:22 PM) ProPublica had a piece last year investigating how vulnerable Houston was to flooding from a hurricane. If anything, they underestimated the worst-case scenarios, but it's still an interesting read. Boomtown, Flood Town Ironically, I don't believe this is a worst case scenario by any stretch. It's major flooding, but the storm itself didn't strike the city. Worst case scenario combines this amount of rainfall with a direct storm surge strike. This has been bugging me all day - 2k5 is right, you can't evacuate that city in 2 days, but at the same time the 500 year floodplains of these rivers are now being filled 3 times in the last 2 years. I am getting now why ordering an evac would be a disaster, but that means because the city is so big you're leaving the people who can't afford to evac on their own as sitting ducks. I don't know what the answer is here, but this isn't a situation I'm comfortable with. Either we have dozens of dead people and tens of billions of dollars in taxpayer funds flowing into Houston every 10 years or so, or we rethink how this city operates before the next one hits - and basically none of the big time storm surge protection projects would have put a dent in this flooding, they were aimed at the last storm.
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QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Aug 28, 2017 -> 08:11 AM) Balta or anyone else in the area, do you know of any good local charities that could use donations for hurricane relief efforts? This is the 4th biggest city in the country, so I'd be genuinely surprised if there's any one charity that will be substantially better than others. Pick some list of quality ones. As with most disasters, money >>>>> any sort of supplies as you can't evacuate people or pay for medical treatment with supplies.
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So, tonight's story is that there are 2 old, needing of upgrade but that costs money so no upgrade dams NW of Houston that are literally the reason the City is able to exist. Those dams are now full and at risk of collapse, so the Corps is going to open the floodgates. This will push rapid rises in water level overnight and as long as they are open, but hopefully will prevent their complete collapse. IIRC one of them is on the same river that drains my area. IT has been absolutely pouring here for the past 4 hours and it hasn't stopped raining for a minute today. All that water will eventually wind up in these dams.
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QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Aug 27, 2017 -> 08:13 PM) To be fair, they tried that with NOLA, which was less than half of the size city of Houston, it gridlocked everything an insane amount, and the people who needed to leave didn't actually leave. If all of Metro-Houston had tried to leave, we are talking something like 5 million people trying to push out on I-10, I-45 and the rest of the highways and FMs. This is a very good point. It would have been helpful to have more people out but I don't know what could have been done.
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If you're in Houston yeah, basically at this point hunker down. Any decision you make is a poor one. If you are leaving your house it's a poor decision, so staying better be a worse decision. It would have made a freeway mess on Friday, but Houston's mayor probably should have ordered evacuation on thursday from that forecast and then switched to "shelter in place" Saturday evening. The Mayor is on MSNBC giving his explanation right now and it sounds like excuses.
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QUOTE (ron883 @ Aug 27, 2017 -> 11:45 AM) Proof? I use this site that keeps track of both WAR lost and total DL days. 2015 we were at the bottom of the league. It's hard to find all of them because they started paywalling their site about a year ago, but here's "DL games lost 2010-2016" and we're 3rd fewest games lost to the DL. Houston has been the healthiest in that period, but likely affected by the fact that they were rebuilding. Detroit has also been exceptionally healthy. The White Sox have been exceptionally healthy the last 5 years compared to the rest of the league. That was an issue that should have gone into our planning - we're pretty good at preventing TJS for pitchers, but other than that, eventually we were going to be less healthy than we were in those seasons. Injuries starting to pile up this year wasn't surprising to me, nor would it be surprising to see this level of injury the next few years as this is pretty close to average. Detroit, interestingly enough, needed to think about that too - if a team wins 85 games and is "unusually healthy", then when they have a normal number of injuries they'd be winning fewer games the next year out.
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Over 500 boat and helicopter emergency evacuations reported in Houston so far, calling in emergency services from around country, water is still going up, many of the highways are becoming impassible so if people do need to leave the roads out of Houston are slowly shutting down. Houston is just getting a highway of rain from the gulf right now. It comes up to me after it dumps in Houston so I get a boatload of water, but they get 2x as much. I just had statewide weather coverage preempted by local weather coverage on TV.
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QUOTE (ChiSox59 @ Aug 26, 2017 -> 07:06 PM) You say this s*** all the time, and it's just flat out false. The Sox are about league average in terms of DL days. The 10 day DL has provided teams much more flexibility to use it. I spent 2015 and 2016 noting that the White Sox were one of the healthiest teams in the big leagues, to the point that it was almost record-breaking, and saying that no one was paying attention to it, so when they got a year with "normal" amounts of injuries people were going to be screaming about how we were snakebit by injuries that year since we weren't used to it.
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Hi everyone! I'm upstream from Houston, aside from a handful of streets that have been overtopped by streams around me there's no major issues for me, haven't lost power yet, basically we've had 10-12 inches of rain in 36 hours and we're expecting that again in the next 24 hours. So first, I'm good. Houston downstream is a disaster area. I have a bunch of colleagues at Johnson Space Center giving "we're safe" updates, one buddy of mine says that his neighbors house flooded for first time since it was built in 1965 but his house was (deliberately) 6 inches higher and so currently is dry. They're about 11-12 feet above sea level. Houston was hit by a major flood last April on April 15 (Tax Day), that was supposed to be like a thousand year flood and this is already substantially worse. Watching the news folks evacuate their studios today as water comes in, they're in "Katrina" mode of neighbors with boats evacuating people and trying not to have the boat split into pieces by debris.
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QUOTE (Quin @ Aug 25, 2017 -> 09:12 PM) The Party of Law and Order has also lost that claim. That claim always was only aimed at people who looked a certain way.
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QUOTE (Alexeihyeess @ Aug 25, 2017 -> 03:49 PM) Yea their minds appear to be changing. If Trubisky outplays Glennon again on Sunday they'll start Mitch week one. No use wasting time, get him out there. I wonder if they'll just cut Glennon to escape the controversy and tension (not to mention media surliness), Trubisky seems to be really assuming an alpha role in the locker room. Just accept the money as a sunk cost and move on. Wouldn't be shocked. What did the seahawks do with Matt Flynn when Wilson outplayed him?
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So yeah, the 10 day DL people are being serious about that right? And it's a "Bone contusion"? Is that going to fit under the realm of shin splints? Or did he get HBP there or something and make it worse?
