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Hardball Times Article


DBAHO

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Found this to be an interesting read;

 

How about the other side of the equation, batting with runners in scoring position? When we look at Batting Average with Runners in Scoring Position (BA/RISP), are we seeing batters "rise to the occasion?" Or are we observing the residue of design, with the team's best batters coming up most often with RISP?

 

Well, I compared each team's overall Batting Average to the Batting Average of the players who accounted for roughly the top 50% of the team's At Bats with Runners in Scoring Position. That sounds complicated, but all I really did was calculate the relative strength of the batters who came to bat with RISP most often for each team. I didn't analyze their actual performance with RISP; I looked at whether the best hitters (highest overall BA) were the ones most likely to be at bat when it counted.

 

Most teams had about five batters account for 50% of their team's At Bats with RISP. And virtually every team managed to have their best hitters up with RISP. But some teams were better at it than others:

 

 

Team      BA    Top5BA    Diff

ARI      .253  .284    .031

SEA      .270  .299    .029

SDP      .273  .301    .028

CIN      .250  .277    .027

LAD      .262  .286    .024

ANA      .282  .305    .023

STL      .278  .300    .022

TEX      .266  .287    .021

BAL      .281  .302    .021

COL      .275  .294    .020

PHI      .267  .286    .019

HOU      .267  .286    .019

NYY      .268  .286    .018

PIT      .260  .278    .017

DET      .272  .288    .016

MON      .249  .263    .015

CHC      .268  .282    .014

TBD      .258  .272    .014

BOS      .282  .295    .013

FLO      .264  .275    .011

ATL      .270  .281    .011

KC          .259  .269    .011

MIN      .266  .275    .009

MIL      .248  .257    .009

CLE      .276  .284    .008

OAK      .270  .278    .008

TOR      .260  .265    .005

SFG      .270  .275    .005

CHW      .268  .272    .004

NYM      .249  .252    .003

I figured we would see the NL teams at the top of this list, what with the pitcher batting and all. Well, really, just with the pitcher batting. But the top two teams are an interesting contrast. The Diamondbacks did have their pitchers bat and a lot of other lousy hitters to boot. But they also had a few good hitters, who accounted for 50% of scoring position at bats, and these hitters stood out against the rest of the crew. Remember, this is a measure of relative batting skills.

 

On the other hand, Seattle surprisingly tied for the top of the list, thanks again to Ichiro. In the AL, the leadoff batter is more likely to bat with runners in scoring position than in the NL, making Ichiro the ideal AL leadoff batter (high BA/high OBP).

 

The Mets are at the bottom of the list, which is what happens when a .231 hitter (Mike Cameron) has the most at bats with RISP on the team. But if you've been following along, you've noticed the huge surprise at the bottom of this list: the Chicago White Sox!!

 

Go back to the top of the page and check out the White Sox's position on the graph. Yes, the White Sox batted .291 with RISP, which was SECOND IN THE MAJOR LEAGUES. But they were the second-worst team at getting their best hitters to the plate with RISP. As opposed to, say, the Angels, who managed a high BA/RISP thanks to getting their best hitters up to bat, the White Sox did the opposite. Their batters quite simply rose to the occasion when it counted.

 

Here's a list of the ten batters who batted most frequently with runners in scoring position for the Sox:

 

Player    AB/RISP Total BA BA/RISP    Diff

P Konerko        140    .277      .314    .037

J Crede          122    .239      .238 -.001

A Rowand      107    .310      .290 -.020

J Valentin    105    .216      .248    .032

J Uribe        99    .283      .323    .040

W Harris          76    .262      .276    .015

T Perez        68    .246      .397    .151

F Thomas          66    .271      .273    .002

R Gload        58    .321      .397    .076

M Ordonez      54    .292      .352    .060

All but two of these guys batted better with runners in scoring position -- some batted significantly better. You absolutely have to give the Sox hitters credit for this surge in clutch hitting. But I can almost guarantee you that it will not happen next year. If Ken Williams is constructing his 2005 Sox based on 2004's runs scored output, he's going to be sorely disappointed.

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I'm not sure of the numbers but i had C. Lee on my fantasy team so i paid extra attention and he seemed to come up with RISP ALOT. (again...i say seemed) .

if he would have dialed it down and not swung himself out of his shoes even half the time he could have had an extra 20 RBI's at least. I remember going to a couple games where he had runners on 3rd with less than 2 outs and he swung so damn hard he nearly fell over and didn't get it out of the infield.

 

juddling

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