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Mississippi Primary thread

Featured Replies

Obama blow out is my projection. Followed by a Clinton "well, it's a black state" type comment.

Edited by Athomeboy_2000

  • Author
QUOTE(Athomeboy_2000 @ Mar 11, 2008 -> 05:15 PM)
Obama blow out is my projection. Followed by a Clinton "well, it's a black state" type comment.

I don't think either of those will happen, exactly.

 

My barely-educated guess? Obama wins 60-39. Clinton says nothing about it, and continues campaigning in PA.

 

I would call a 21 point margin a blowout. Enough to make the delegate spread 20-13 actually.

Exit polls suggest it'll come out at around 59-41 or so. Networks all call it for Obama.

Edited by Balta1701

QUOTE(Balta1701 @ Mar 11, 2008 -> 07:24 PM)
Exit polls suggest it'll come out at around 59-41 or so. Networks all call it for Obama.

you beat me too it. I was just about to post it. I have 58.68-40.74

QUOTE(Athomeboy_2000 @ Mar 11, 2008 -> 05:50 PM)
you beat me too it. I was just about to post it. I have 58.68-40.74

So I rounded. Big whoop. What matters is that would translate to roughly a 18-15 delegate split I believe, which actually helps Hillary a bit because that margin is smaller than the popular vote margin.

  • Author
QUOTE(Balta1701 @ Mar 11, 2008 -> 07:52 PM)
So I rounded. Big whoop. What matters is that would translate to roughly a 18-15 delegate split I believe, which actually helps Hillary a bit because that margin is smaller than the popular vote margin.

My math says 59-41 gets you 19-14, and in fact very close to 20-13.

 

 

Remember that Limbaugh led campaign to get Republican voters to support Hillary so she keeps the race going and keeps battering Obama? A few states ago, i.e. in Wisconsin, Obama was handily winning Republican crossover votes. In Texas and Ohio, it was much closer, only a single digit win. Tonight, according to CNN's exit polling, Republican crossover voters went 77-23 in favor of Hillary. That's somewhere in the neighborhood of a 50 point difference amongst that group between what we saw in the race 3 weeks ago and what we're seeing now.

Nice rout.

QUOTE(Balta1701 @ Mar 11, 2008 -> 09:27 PM)
Remember that Limbaugh led campaign to get Republican voters to support Hillary so she keeps the race going and keeps battering Obama? A few states ago, i.e. in Wisconsin, Obama was handily winning Republican crossover votes. In Texas and Ohio, it was much closer, only a single digit win. Tonight, according to CNN's exit polling, Republican crossover voters went 77-23 in favor of Hillary. That's somewhere in the neighborhood of a 50 point difference amongst that group between what we saw in the race 3 weeks ago and what we're seeing now.

And it disgusts me. Hillary needs to go the eff away, at any cost.

 

QUOTE(kapkomet @ Mar 11, 2008 -> 10:54 PM)
And it disgusts me. Hillary needs to go the eff away, at any cost.

It's time for her to go. I respect her drive to make the last states count, but it's pointless now. It's almost, if not completely, mathematically impossible for her to win the pledged delegates after tonight.

Looks like the final results are Obama-60; Clinton-37

QUOTE(Balta1701 @ Mar 11, 2008 -> 09:27 PM)
Remember that Limbaugh led campaign to get Republican voters to support Hillary so she keeps the race going and keeps battering Obama? A few states ago, i.e. in Wisconsin, Obama was handily winning Republican crossover votes. In Texas and Ohio, it was much closer, only a single digit win. Tonight, according to CNN's exit polling, Republican crossover voters went 77-23 in favor of Hillary. That's somewhere in the neighborhood of a 50 point difference amongst that group between what we saw in the race 3 weeks ago and what we're seeing now.

 

In that part of the country, I get the feeling that race has more to do with that, versus anything Rush Limbaugh told them.

  • Author

With 99% reporting, MS shows Obama with a 61-37 lead. That gives Obama a 20-13 delegate win, by my math.

 

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