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LeeElia

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  1. I am not sure Burnes makes sense, he has never been able to pitch reliable innings as a starter. I know this is a SP thread but if Burnes doesn't give you the innings and Woodruff is out, perhaps Hader is the player the Sox are targeting? That gives the Sox two elite guys in the pen mixed with a lot of cost controlled arms. In this scenario total salaries in the pen 3 seasons from now (2023) would be less than $35-$40 million.
  2. We know that the Padres majority owner has a controlling interest greater than 50%. Do we know if JR has a controlling share (greater than 50%) of the White Sox? Not defending Sox ownership, but the politics impacting goal setting in each organization could be vastly different.
  3. I think TA wants to win and Lindor is a better SS. Vaughn + Kopech easily gets you Gallen. Dunning + controllable BP arm + lottery ticket Adolfo / Sheets probably gets you Lindor.
  4. Thank you for sharing. Any other thoughts? Sox have the assets in prospect capital and dollars.
  5. I think you need to go all in now with the expectation of having a 3 year window. The White Sox don’t have endless financial resources but they should be able to push a $150 million payroll over the next 3 years. Here is what I would do if I was GM - Trade for Lindor and extend contract, move TA to LF. Looking at the package BOS got for Betts I think the price for Lindor would be less than what LAD paid. Sign Springer Sign Stroman Acquire TOR arm for a package built around Vaughn This lineup would be the best in baseball: TA Lindor Robert Abreu Moncada Jimenez - Permanent DH Springer Grandal Madigral Rotation would look like: Giolito TOR acquired via trade DK Stroman One of the remaining arms you didn't trade (Kopech, Dunning, Cease)
  6. I received a call today from my rep with the local minor league team letting me know that their season is going to start Friday May 15th. He said "things may change" but he thinks this date is solid. It makes sense for MLB to relaunch baseball at all levels on the same date so my guess is that the 15th is the target date for MLB as well. Source: Random guy on the internet that is a season ticket holder for the local minor league team and runs a business that sponsored the local minor league team in previous seasons.
  7. Colome gave up 3 runs today and took the loss, pushing his record to 3-2. Since wins and losses are all that matter and the closer gets full credit for 9 inning of results it’s fair to say that Colome lost 25% of his value today.
  8. There is a lot more that goes into a “save” than the performance of one player. Outcome alone is the least effective way to value relievers. When you are making high level decisions emphasizing process is the only way to show a “profit” in the long term. Since we are comparing apples and oranges look at it this way, let’s say you fell into 100 million to invest. Are you going to invest in a company based on their performance in the last 4 months or are you going to dive into the financial metrics and make a decision based on those? Here’s another way to look at it, a poker player calls with two suited cards and chases down a flush despite the odds offered by the pot and bet size. If the poker player hits the flush does that means they made the right decision? It’s cool to be the type of fan that’s results oriented. Personally I like to understand what I’m watching.
  9. Save % is a statistic that doesn’t provide any context. More specifically, a pitchers save % depends on multiple factors outside the control of the player. A better measurement of Colome’s value is the huge gap between his ERA and xFIP and his comically low k/9 rate. Stop valuing closers by save %. Even if he was the best closer ever you wouldn’t assign him the entire value of the win. Hitters production, defense, and the pitcher(s) that got the other 24 outs had something to do with the win as well.
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