QUOTE(ZoomSlowik @ Dec 20, 2005 -> 04:31 PM)
You're taking the worst portion of one player's game and trying to compare it to the other player's entire career. That's not really an even comparison, and is a horrible form of statistical analysis. By totally ignoring half of his stats, you're distorting the reality. What's funny is that Crede doesn't exactly blow those splits out of the water. His overall numbers are better, but not significantly so. You keep using that one argument, we're using several. What's worse is that we've come up with arguments to counter that one line of debate, such as that moving from Ameriquest to the Cell isn't that big a dropoff, especially considering that the Sox offense and pitching staff dragged them down a bit last year, or that by switching divisions his road trips are going to change, dropping 22 games at unfavorable parks down to about 9 and gaining games at more neutral parks. Those 3 parks make up more than a quarter of his road trips, and he only hits well at Safeco, and even those numbers came down this year.
The Sox could potentially acquire a player with a high level of talent who is coming off a down year. That down year was still better than Crede's best year, and you're still trying to argue against it. Blalock is also signed longer for a reasonable amount of injuries and has no injury concerns at all. It's not like the Sox haven't had guys with bad splits in the past. Hell, our team hit ten points higher on the road last year, maybe we need someone that can only hit well in hitter's parks. In the proposed trade, we'd get a solid 3B, a decent OF, and possibly a top prospect for two guys that will probably be gone in the near future anyways. I've seen much worse trades.
good post.
Agreed on everything i suppose, im sorry, maybe i did get a bit homer-ish, just doesnt seem like a huge upgrade from crede to blalock, mayb thats due to the downyear and such.