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Buehrle>Wood

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Everything posted by Buehrle>Wood

  1. QUOTE (Chisoxfn @ Mar 2, 2016 -> 03:13 PM) I think if they heard a recording of him saying something like, between me and you, all the wall talk is total bs and I'm just milking these people to get in and than from there, I'll make a real difference and blah blah blah, it would irate his base. Oddly enough, it might make those who can't stand him at all, feel a little better about him (other than the fact that he'd be lying through his teeth to get elected, even more so, than the normal politician). It's probably something closer to everything being negotiable.
  2. QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Mar 2, 2016 -> 03:12 PM) Welcome to Trump Land. The man talks, but is 100% full of s***. You literally have no idea what his intentions are. Eh, this is Cruz were talking about. He's lied so much about trump that I doubt anything he says here.
  3. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/electi...legate-targets/ 538 has him 112% on track to win the nomination. Refresh if it gives you the Feb 29th version. It should be from this AM.
  4. Trump effect one way or the other.
  5. QUOTE (Chisoxfn @ Mar 2, 2016 -> 11:09 AM) Cruz had a strong enough showing that he has the card that if the establishment wants to go anti trump, it has to be either him or Kasich. Rubio is toast. Crushed in his own state. He needs to walk away and realize he'll have another shot 4 years from now (because I don't see Trump winning the white house and while Cruz has a better chance, I don't see that either; Kasich or Rubio could win but that doens't appear to matter). I guess if all of them stay in, maybe it keeps the delegate count low enough that you get to a brokered convention and at that point, all bets are off (that said, by that point, the republican party will be so splintered, it would be hard to actually rally behind whomever is truly selected (and I'm sure if Trump loses he'd go independent). Can't keep the delegate counts low for long. March 15th they start being winner take all (or most). Trump ahead of Romney, McCain at same point. It's over. Don't even see a brokered convention path. Trump has absolutely no competition in the Northeast (once Kasich drops, but even then he's not losing these states) which have huge number of delegates coming and no competition in the South at this point. Rubio can compete in the Midwest (maybe) and Cruz can compete in the southwest but Trump is still solid enough there where he's close and not losing much.
  6. QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Mar 2, 2016 -> 10:31 AM) Thanks, I'll correct for the 2472. Good catch, same on the territories. Give me a few minutes to rebuild. But I believe you are incorrect on the 3 per state. Those are party delegates and are specifically unbound. The old system was that states would decide whether they were bound or not bound. Different states chose the different option. This year however the RNC said the delegates will be bound in some manner. This is from the GOP website for new rules this year: "The unbound RNC members will be bound in the same manner as the state’s at-large delegates, unless the state elects their delegates on the primary ballot, then all three RNC members will be allocated to the statewide winner." The Bustle with a clearer explantion: "The Republican Party’s unbound delegates are the 168 members of the Republican National Committee — but in 2016, they won’t be allowed to vote for whomever they want at the national convention. They normally would be given this luxury, but the RNC ruled this year that these “unbound” delegates wouldn’t, in fact, be unbound at all. They’ll have to support whomever their state supports, just like regular ol’ delegates." Of course if the GOP wanted too I'm sure they could change the rules.
  7. Just a couple brief corrections and I'll add my two cents in a bit. The total amount of delegates possible is 2472. I think you made a typo there. The 3 per state is already included in that. It's different than democrat system. Also you forgot to include DC and the territories get these delegates as well, so it's 168n not 150. But that number is already included in the 2472. Also, remember, unlike the Democrat side where super delegates exist and can vote how they please, these 3 extra delegates are bound to a candidate. How they are bound depends on the state.
  8. I thought the Bucks would be better than the Bulls.
  9. QUOTE (farmteam @ Mar 1, 2016 -> 10:58 PM) I take pleasure in Minnesota being the only state today where Trump finished third. Has that happened yet at all? Nope.
  10. Does the kkk exist outside of being a media boogeyman? I mean they do, but when is the last time they've been relevant outside of that? There's been a couple incidents here and there I'm sure, but seriously they are the niche of the absolute niche locked in the backwoods of absolutely nowhere and I cannot grasp so much time is wasted on them.
  11. QUOTE (HickoryHuskers @ Mar 1, 2016 -> 08:28 PM) Cruz can't win the nomination, but his supporters will be the deciding factor. When it comes down to Trump vs Rubio/Kasich (where is Romney coming from?), who do Cruz' supporters swing their support to? My guess is Trump. It doesn't seem it's going to come down to Trump vs Rubio. CNN calling him to drop out. Cruz is going to call on him to drop out in his speech tonight. He really should if people want Trump out and they should back Cruz. The Romney thing comes from a report over the weekend. Koch brothers and others met with Rubio and said you win Florida or you're out, Romney is in. Plan is to steal delegates in NY, Cali, etc to force a brokered convention. It's an absolutely stupid plan but I'm not putting it by them either.
  12. QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Mar 1, 2016 -> 08:01 PM) Virginia called for Trump. Rubio will win zero states today. And like that, the GOP establishment is dead. Not that Cruz is actually anti-establishment, but his voters are and the GOP won't get behind him. And these morons still won't realize it is over for Rubio. They'll continue to dump money into him and refuse to get behind their glimmer of hope in Cruz. I guess there is the Romney poison pill play still on the table.
  13. QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Mar 1, 2016 -> 07:32 PM) I don't believe there was such a thing as a SuperPAC until 2009. Correct. And Trump faces one by his own party.
  14. A super pac has been created for nothing more than to stop Donald Trump. Absolutely amazing to upset the powers at be like this. He must be doing something right.
  15. QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Mar 1, 2016 -> 03:19 PM) Donald Trump quite literally got rich by playing the system to its fullest. He should be the last guy you would expect to fix that. The major difference being he was on the other side of it, and wasn't a puppet himself. He doesn't appear to be a corporate puppet in this campaign.
  16. QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Mar 1, 2016 -> 03:16 PM) But it's only "taking out influence" of one specific person's campaign. If anyone other than self-financing billionaires aided by absurd amounts of free media coverage who were already a household name wants to run, they're going to need to take donations, and "independent" SuperPACs will still be set up. Yes. Which is why I hope he destroys the entire gop party in his path. And (if Sanders can't) I would hope he can destroy the Dems propped up candidate in Hillary who is the most bought and paid for candidate I have ever seen. Hopefully, and yes I realize it may be a stretch, corporate influence can be curbed. The two systems are way way too intertwined right now.
  17. QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Mar 1, 2016 -> 03:00 PM) It is not actually any step though? Down that road lies rule exclusively by billionaire oligarchs. It's a step. In the very least, it's taking out influence on the the biggest companies out there. His billion dollar real estate company and its tie ins aren't even close to 1 percent of the money involved involved in Washington. As I said, it's unforunate it is taking a billionaire himself to ignore corporate bribery, but that's where we are now.
  18. QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Mar 1, 2016 -> 02:56 PM) Trump will not get rid of corporate influence, that influence will just be from Trump companies instead. Plus, there are still 535 Senators and Representatives and then all of the state houses. Yep. That's why I called it a small step.
  19. QUOTE (HickoryHuskers @ Mar 1, 2016 -> 02:15 PM) How exactly are votes getting changed? From the reports I read, votes meant for trump are coming out as Rubio when you check it at the end. These are electronic. The trump campaign just picked it up. Well see if it has validity.
  20. QUOTE (ChiSox_Sonix @ Mar 1, 2016 -> 02:44 PM) Like, for example, Trump? Yep. Trump bought and paid for her which will be hilarious in the general.
  21. Reports across Texas, Virginia, and Tennessee of votes being changed from Trump to Rubio. I thought the gop stood against voter fraud?
  22. QUOTE (Brian @ Mar 1, 2016 -> 12:18 PM) CNN is still pro Hillary when I watch. Last week they had Sanders stuff on the bottom line and the way it was worded made him sound inept and not worthy of running. Wish I could remember some of them. They're part of Hillary's 3rd biggest backer last I checked, so that shouldn't come as a surprise
  23. QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Mar 1, 2016 -> 08:10 AM) You have to be joking. More genuine? We're not talking about flip-flopping one an issue or two, which can happen for either political or personal reasons. He's an opportunist who has clearly demonstrated he will say whatever gets him the most votes. In other words, what others do for money (and then to win), he does much more dramatically and for emotional response (and then to win). Also, far more so than others, he riles up anger to do it. Everything you claim to dislike about fundraising, Trump does and far more often, with the same end goal in mind (to win). How can you make Trump's version seem better? Yes more genuine. It's all relative. No one in politics is really genuine whatsoever. With Hillary, you can go down her list of donors and find deals she's brokered on behalf of those companies. Legal bribery. Well, not even legal, the Boeing stuff in particular is enough to throw anyone else in prison. Trump is doing it for his own power, yes. It's sad its taken a man with billions of dollars himself to even take a small step towards getting rid of corporate influence. Whether he can remains to be seen. He's destroying one party as we speak. The death of the GOP will be a great victory for politics going forward, no matter what happens from here on out. I hope Bernie can do the same to the Dems, but that's not looking good.
  24. CNN referring to the recent controversy, which they started, as Trump having ties to the KKK. Lmao. This has to be the biggest attempted media takedown in history. As for the GOP plan, it's to replace Rubio with Romney. Try and get him enough delegates to get to a brokered convention. It won't work.
  25. QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Mar 1, 2016 -> 07:55 AM) The thing that amazes me the most about the support for Trump is that people who like him seem to say some versions of "he tells it like it is" or "he's honest". I mean, how do these people live with that kind of cognitive dissonance? He is, far and away, the least honest candidate in either party in this cycle or any other cycle I can remember. For virtually every talking point and policy suggestion he has, he's been on the opposite side at some point in recent years. He pulls falsehoods out of his ass more often than the rest of both fields combined. How are people this stupid? And I shouldn't have to say this, but again, it's not a GOP thing. You don't see me saying anything like this about any of the other candidates in either party. It comes back to campaign money. Every word from another candidates mouth aside from Bernie is calculated to get more money from someone. Well not someone, rather something. I'd rather have a flip flopper than that. Flipping on your positions can often be more honest than not. Whether that applies to Trump remains to be seen. I still find him more genuine than the rest, aside from Bernie.

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