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Everything posted by Balta1701
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Offseason Part 2 - Lets the Rumors & Action Begin
Balta1701 replied to Chisoxfn's topic in Pale Hose Talk
$240 puts them massively into the tax ($230 including benefits and such). I will offer a strong bet that the White Sox will stay under the tax. -
Offseason Part 2 - Lets the Rumors & Action Begin
Balta1701 replied to Chisoxfn's topic in Pale Hose Talk
You're in luck! There will still be no one who wants him. -
The White Sox wouldn't have gotten Vaughn, that seems pretty important.
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I believe that a team that has been in the lottery the maximum number of times actually drops down to drafting 10th once they don't qualify. But even if they didn't, yeah there's a big difference between 1 and 7, and if you remove the motivation to "lose more games to get a better pick" then that changes the calculus anyway. Imagine the 2019 Tigers or 2018 White Sox not being able to qualify for a pick better than #10.
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Offseason Part 2 - Lets the Rumors & Action Begin
Balta1701 replied to Chisoxfn's topic in Pale Hose Talk
In 1995, Judge Sotomayor ruled on the case on March 31 and the first signing happened April 1. The big surge of signings Was April 5-13. -
Offseason Part 2 - Lets the Rumors & Action Begin
Balta1701 replied to Chisoxfn's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I think Spotrac slightly underestimates what it will actually take for the White Sox to field a roster since they only have $2.25 million in "Minor contracts" there, and there's a boost to the league minimum salary that isn't counted yet that will impact at least 10 guys on this roster. Also, I don't know how the "$50 million arbitration pool" might affect this number. Given those things for now I think $36 is probably too high (that's why mentally I've been using $33 million) and it could be a couple million lower if the arbitration bonuses are counted. -
Offseason Part 2 - Lets the Rumors & Action Begin
Balta1701 replied to Chisoxfn's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Correct. -
That was the last report, whether any of these things are different in the final version I offer no guarantees.
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One was against 4 teams that had extremely low payrolls in 2018 or so. The other was for failing to bargain in good faith during the 2020 covid setup.
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Offseason Part 2 - Lets the Rumors & Action Begin
Balta1701 replied to Chisoxfn's topic in Pale Hose Talk
It's like $33 million-ish right now give or take whether there were any formula tweaks (counting meals or something like that). -
If the details we heard are still in there...theres a limit to how many times in a row a team can be in the lottery (1 for big market teams, 2 for smaller market teams) so teams get penalized if they try to lose for years. There was also supposed to be a reward of additional draft picks for teams that have a top 150 prospect and call them up on opening day rather than waiting until April 15. (note that this would not affect the White Sox since they have none).
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WTF Hoosiers did you really have to do the inverse of the Wisconsin game to me in the damn tourney?
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It's $175 million out of likely greater than $50 billion. That's less than 0.35%
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Anyone want to tell me what on Earth just happened in the 2nd half in Indy?
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If they were willing to sacrifice those games, then waiting 5 days wouldn’t have caused such a massive shift in the owners’ offer.
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“This is our final offer, no really this is, no maybe this one, what about an international draft” does not sound like a group who understand the implications of losing games or who are split along revenue lines.
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No one is giving you salary relief for Keuchel with no minimum payroll coming and the vesting option in his contract as a poison pill. Even if he got hot for another team, the option hurts them. Not unless the white Sox attach someone really valuable, like one of their top 2-3 prospects, or the White Sox pay most of the deal - which means no salary relief.
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This is perfectly set up for Wander Franco to be the next Mr. November.
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I actually don’t see many of them thinking about this. How many franchises are more concerned with cutting costs every year than developing a fan base? Whether it’s protecting ludicrous blackout rules or selling off their stars before they hit FA to keep payrolls low, “short-term thinking” seems to dominate this league. Someone like Cohen who realizes that he can lose money every year and turn a massive profit by winning a title and being in the playoffs every year with a New York franchise seems to be the exception that illustrates this difference.
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I think they clearly care about their yearly profit. I’m not sure they care about how they get there.
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Just an educated guess - the owners don’t know or care enough about the business to do so. The current owners include a lot of trust fund babies, groups and individuals who bought in for the big investment return year after year, and owners who bought in as a vanity piece. There doesn’t seem to be a whole lot of long term thinking or planning right now, beyond their annual profits. Remember how Jeter just resigned from the Marlins ownership group because he realized they really didn’t care about the baseball side of baseball and we’re using him as a pretty face?
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If you want me to elaborate on something that is more obvious now that the owners’ disarray has come into focus - Manfred can’t do anything without the agreement of the owners, but he could also have worked to get the owners unified and to keep things organized. The owners should know exactly what the consequences are if they lose games. He should have informed them of the risks in a holdout strategy. They should know exactly how much each team has in cash reserves, how long each team can last if they push things. They should have an agreed on endgame that they’ve been working to this whole time. He can personally lead them on that and if he did so, it would have increased the trust of the union that they were negotiating fairly and avoided lost of this last minute scrambling. He hasn’t done so.
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Coke.
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I think the owners themselves probably didn’t design their negotiating strategy, so “lockout, delete all evidence the players exist, no contact for 43 days to negotiate under pressure” was all him and his team. There’s a reason why we aren’t hearing any specific owner names as major parts in the negotiations. I also think the disorganization on the owners’s side - a final offer that wasn’t final two days later, the time the Rockies owner claimed he was losing money and left himself open to having the union request his books, the international draft becoming really important to the owners on a deadline day without the details having been worked out in side sessions - that’s all him. I think Manfred sold them on how he would get a big win by getting tough with the union but was too weak and timid to sell the owners a vision for what was in his big win. The owners are fighting hard for a win without knowing where their finish line is or what route they’re taking to get there, so they want to hurt the players but they are also flailing because Manfred won’t or can’t be a leader.
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Russia cannot conquer and hold Ukraine using conventional war techniques. You are seeing this right now. They’re stuck at a handful of cities and all they have that works is the artillery and rockets launched from a distance so they are leveling those cities. But, those firing positions are secure in Russia. If they advance them into areas where any Ukrainians are alive, they will face guerrilla attacks and the supply lines will be impossible to maintain.
