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Everything posted by Balta1701
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Pandemic Realignment: Sox in the Cactus League West
Balta1701 replied to Quin's topic in Pale Hose Talk
This break would have given the Indians a chance to get over those couple of ST pitching injuries right? -
Dude, come on. The mortality rate is clearly a function of what the hospitals can endure. If they are truly overwhelmed then the mortality rate skyrockets. better treatments and better usage of ventilators is happening, but only because we aren’t overwhelmed in most places right now. If there was no time to learn, if every country just let it burn through like New York, then even the best efforts would still have huge casualty rates. The Imperial study was explicitly what you said a few weeks ago you were thinking of...do nothing and see what happens until everyone is immune. Thanks to the Imperial study even the UK realized that was insane. So no, that study is still valid, because everyone chose a different path.
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That’s because we are doing social distancing. If we weren’t this would already be a nightmare everywhere. And if we pull the plug any time soon, we will get to see the Imperial study. I’m just stealing these words.
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I would buy this but think about the numbers. If there were a few thousand infections over a month, the deaths would be in the dozens, and since California was smart and closed down early enough the late March spike was avoidable. Out of a state of what, 40 million, a few thousand infections is not any sort of widespread immunity. That was the idea challenged by this data - that somehow half the world would already be immune. A few thousand extra cases and a few dozen extra deaths changes the overall curves slightly but doesn’t change the evaluation of what worked and what didn’t. More worrisome is that it might mean there are more hard to identify clusters out there, and if we don’t give social distancing several months, then these hidden clusters will explode.
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Pandemic Realignment: Sox in the Cactus League West
Balta1701 replied to Quin's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Yes and that is on the list. -
So who was it who kept insisting that the virus actually infected a lot of people back in December and January and it would turn out that there was a much wider immunity once you could test for antibodies? There's now a statistically large enough data set to look at, from a couple of rich people in Telluride Colorado trying to test the whole town using that test. Only about 1% of those who have been tested in that community have showed antibodies present using that test, according to this article. https://www.durangotelegraph.com/news/top-stories/less-than-1-of-telluride-tests-positive/ While Telluride CO is obviously biased towards rich, white people, there would also be a lot of travel in and out of that community by those people over the winter, so if it had pushed through major urban areas the numbers would be expected to be high there.
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He's not a bad player, but if you have a 2nd round pick this year, in a legendarily deep WR class, well you just talked about why mortgaging draft picks is a bad idea. One injury or concussion for Cooks and they will have given that pick up for 1 year of the player, because yes he's cuttable, but that's a high price for potentially 1 year of the player. If you need a WR and you have 2 second round picks this year, go draft one. You might run into an all pro in the middle of the second round.
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2019-2020 Official NBA Thread
Balta1701 replied to Bananarchy's topic in Alex’s Olde Tyme Sports Pub
Yeah but they did that not because of this season but because of Durant. They knew this season wouldn't be a success, but now they have 3 years of Durant. We'd want to do the exact same thing for one of the top 3-4 players in the league. -
They have Cobb, Cooks, Stills, and Fuller and all of them are downfield threats and all of them have injury problems. Since you can't play them all I guess the right strategy is that one of them should be healthy each game?
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What in the everloving F*** is wrong with their coachGM? Traded Hopkins for a 2nd round pick, then traded away a 2nd round pick for Brandin Cooks? And between Cooks and Cobb they have Hopkins's cap hit?
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https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1248367716114796546?s=20 I'm not embedding it but that's an American mass grave, caught via drone.
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Konerkos_grand_slam.mp3 I can think of no file that needs to be in this thread more.
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2019-2020 Official NBA Thread
Balta1701 replied to Bananarchy's topic in Alex’s Olde Tyme Sports Pub
THE LAST DANCE IS MOVING UP TO APRIL 19! https://nypost.com/2020/03/30/espn-moving-up-michael-jordan-documentary-release-date-with-sports-fans-desperate/ -
People are dying.
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Stop Touching Things out in public stop being an obvious transmission vector. PLEASE.
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In a couple weeks as the bodies pile up and as jokes stop seeming funny, we are going to look back at everyone who broke the rules and remember it. Every American is going to lose someone. Maybe your family, maybe your coworker, maybe your neighbor. We will all know someone killed by our own carelessness. Picture someone who means everything to you. Picture them being the one you lose because someone couldn’t follow a rule. No. More. Excuses. This is life and death. Act like it.
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Bullshit. act like an adult before you blame others people are dying. We told all of you what to do and you screamed “but Panera bread” and now there’s 2000 dead bodies. go tell your excuses to the dead Americans maybe they will listen.
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A thousand people died in the last 2 days.
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I don’t know if it’s 1 or 2 sigma error bars but the error bars show 5000 a day within error. i don’t know if we will get that high but I will say this, we are on a path to be on the high side.
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Since you posted this the US death toll has doubled. A thousand people died of it. In 2 days.
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A few doors down from me a family was outdoors having beer on their front porch, with their kids playing together. Based on their car, one of them works in a hospice facility. Our county’s first death today was someone who was in a hospice facility. Maybe they will be fine today, but do that a few more times and someone will die for that play date.
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Over 500 Americans died of this today, including an infant in Chicago. The US had 1000 dead on March 26, today is March 28 and now we have 2000 dead. this is not a game.
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It can survive on surfaces for hours in a full dose, and up to 72 hours total. Any person who touched it in the past 3 days could have transmitted it there. Or, you could pick it up from someone you talk to, then drop it on the table, and 2 days later someone else picks it up from you. https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/19/coronavirus-survives-on-surfaces-how-to-protect-yourself/
