Everything posted by StrangeSox
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The Democrat Thread
lol that face is the definition of "smug"
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Republican 2012 Nomination Thread
This was a pretty interesting back-and-forth between Romney for several reasons, but mainly Perry just looked completely out-classed in his response. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7QymX8cPVic#
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Republican 2012 Nomination Thread
QUOTE (CrimsonWeltall @ Sep 23, 2011 -> 11:31 AM) The obligatory crowd lowlight was the booing of a gay soldier who asked a question about DADT. Santorum's bizarre answer to the question was pretty awful as well. He also never thanked the soldier for his service.
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Financial News
State and local taxes often tend to be regressive, which counter-balances progressive federal income taxes. You also have the capital gains and dividends tax rates that make up a significant portion of the income and taxes on those at the top, plus more flexibility to form tax shelters.
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Financial News
here is the white paper that's pulled from http://www.ctj.org/pdf/taxday2011.pdf
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Financial News
We've made our taxation system considerably less progressive over the past 20-30 years. Note that it is all taxes, not just Federal Income Tax that used to trot out the "half the country doesn't pay a dime!" line.
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Financial News
- The Democrat Thread
The "Ground Zero" mosque opened yesterday. No one seemed to care without NewsCorp. drumming up OUTRAGE!, like they did last fall.- Financial News
What Really Caused the Eurozone Crisis?- The Democrat Thread
Nor that there are serious racial disparities in the justice system.- The Democrat Thread
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Sep 23, 2011 -> 07:40 AM) And people wonder why calls of "racism" fall on increasingly deaf ears. There is a big racial disparity for death penalty prosecution and conviction rates.- The Democrat Thread
intentionally inflammatory picture:- The Democrat Thread
QUOTE (illinilaw08 @ Sep 22, 2011 -> 04:43 PM) That's the whole point of juries though. They weigh the evidence and determine if it's credible. If it is, they convict. If it isn't, they acquit. Example, in a DUI trial where the officer used a breathalyzer instead of a blood draw, the defense attorney will call a witness who will tell the jury that the entire science of breathalyzer technology is flawed (and it's true that it isn't as accurate as a blood draw). It is then up to a panel of people who may or may not have a science background to determine if the State's expert is more credible than the defense's expert as to the science involved. Likewise, in a murder trial where the defendant has someone testify as to an alibi. The jury has to weigh the credibility of that person's statements. Polygraphs aren't admissible as evidence, so the jury has to become the polygraph and determine who they believe. It goes beyond determining if a witness is credible and if they are telling what they 100% believe to be the truth, that's the additional burden. Your breathalyzer example really isn't a comparable scenario. In your second scenario, remembering if your friend's alibi isn't really the same as fingering someone for a crime or remembering details of a scene or an event. The issues with eyewitness testimony comes from remembering details, people you don't know, timelines and events. Seriously, there's a decent amount of research in this area, it's not something I'm just making up here. Human memory just isn't reliable enough to be the only evidence to sentence someone to death imo.- The Democrat Thread
QUOTE (Jenksismyb**** @ Sep 22, 2011 -> 04:44 PM) Sorry Balta, but this is beyond bulls***. MILLIONS of dollars and THOUSANDS of hours were spent by every level of the judicial and administrative system to make sure this guy was guilty. You guys are just asking for "one more chance" despite the fact that the guy was given about 15. Is that not enough? Seriously? How is that not due process? Seriously people. READ THE OPINION. Look at the actual details of this case. We're not talking about simple facts like A sees B shoot C. A tells cops B did it. B put to death even after A says no i was wrong. There are HUNDREDS of underlying facts in this case that showed that a lot of what the people were recanting/saying was complete bulls***. They changed their story 15 years down the road. I did, and so have many others that don't agree with you. It's not as clear-cut as you're presenting it.- Financial News
QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Sep 22, 2011 -> 04:27 PM) I am not as familiar with the banking side, but I thought there were still seperate bodies involved there, even though they may all fall in the same cabinet department. That's better than SEC and CFTC, that are in Treasury and Agriculture respectively, and the exchange and CH bodies that are independent. And then there are state bodies in the area of market regulation as well. Sorry that wasn't clear, I meant privately. At least according to the Frontline episode I recently watched, the fact that traditional, conservative boring commercial banking was no longer legally divorced from riskier investment banking was (and is) a large part of the reason our financial sector got so screwed up. If the banks aren't split up that way, why would the regulatory bodies be? What's your opinion on the CFPB?- The Democrat Thread
QUOTE (illinilaw08 @ Sep 22, 2011 -> 04:29 PM) Then you would acquit in the vast, vast majority of cases that are not related to DUIs (where there is always physical evidence - but, but there's a statistical rate of error in breathalyzers so... unreliable!) or capital cases (where the State will pursue all manner of physical evidence). The problem I have with your stance is that you are using an idea, that eye-witness testimony is always questionable, and making it a general rule. Obviously not all eye witness testimony is accurate. But again, that doesn't make every eye witness testimony inaccurate. The problem is that this places an awfully difficult burden on juries, above and beyond simply determining if someone is credible and telling what they honestly believe is the true version of events without coercion or suggestion. Probably true. I'm not sure why frailties of human memory is in scare quotes though. It's really an interesting subject in more avenues than just criminal trials.- The Democrat Thread
QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Sep 22, 2011 -> 04:21 PM) The standard is "reasonable doubt" though. If you told me on a jury that eyewitness id had a 10% failure rate and the case was eyewitness based, that's reasonable doubt o me. Right, the context here is a murder conviction with the possibility of a death penalty. I'd comfortably state that I don't think I'd ever convict anyone on eyewitness testimony alone for something like that.- The Democrat Thread
QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Sep 22, 2011 -> 04:26 PM) I don't know that I would go as far as "miniscule", I am sure that it is wrong more than that. I've read some of the studies that SS is talking about indirectly or directly, and they show you how powerful emotions and built-in constructs in the psyche can be. I think prosecutors need to be very careful with such testimony. In another life, I might go into neuroscience or some sort of cognitive studies. For as much as we like to think of ourselves as having this big, powerful, logical brains, its really a big mess up there. From that Stanford article:- Financial News
retail and institutional banking are no longer separate, right?- The Democrat Thread
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Sep 22, 2011 -> 04:21 PM) If a defense attourney could get up and say one in a thousand cases the eyewitness is wrong, they would. It would be the easiest out ever. It's a hell of a lot higher than 1-1000. No one's memory is a perfect recollection of an event even moments after that event. Many, many studies have been done showing that false memories are relatively easy to implant with simple, subtle and even unintentional suggestions and interactions.- The Democrat Thread
QUOTE (illinilaw08 @ Sep 22, 2011 -> 04:14 PM) What do you think the state should have to convict? If there is no physical evidence (and I just explained why, in the vast majority of cases, there is no physical evidence), isn't eye-witness testimony the best evidence available? Yes, lineups can be unreliable. Yes, eye-witness testimony can be unreliable. Neither of those statements mean that eye-witness test is ALWAYS unreliable or even that it is unreliable in a significant percentage of cases. If the best evidence available is questionable and based solely on the frailties of human memory, I'm going to have a hard time voting to convict. The courts’ reliance on witnesses is built into the common-law judicial system, a reliance that is placed in check by the opposing counsel’s right to cross-examination—an important component of the adversarial legal process—and the law’s trust of the jury’s common sense. The fixation on witnesses reflects the weight given to personal testimony. As shown by recent studies, this weight must be balanced by an awareness that it is not necessary for a witness to lie or be coaxed by prosecutorial error to inaccurately state the facts—the mere fault of being human results in distorted memory and inaccurate testimony.- The Democrat Thread
PS please note my mea culpa a few posts back that I overstated my position!- The Democrat Thread
I linked to a recent paper that examines the issue, its prevalence, its causes and possible solutions. Here is another article on the issue from the Stanford Journal of Legal Studies. It's hard to get an accurate estimate of the number of real-world trials with inaccurate testimony that led to convictions, but what these studies do are create controlled situations with known facts and examine how accurate a witness's memory is.- The Democrat Thread
The slate article re: scalia and this case I posted earlier highlighted that last part.- The Democrat Thread
QUOTE (illinilaw08 @ Sep 22, 2011 -> 03:39 PM) That's fine; you can believe eye witness testimony is unreliable (and you're right... it can absolutely be unreliable - I remember reading a federal prosecutor's book and him saying something along the lines of "in 90% of cases, the police officer is lying and the defendant is guilty"). But that wasn't my point. In the vast majority of criminal cases, there just isn't physical evidence. In most cases, it is cost prohibitive (if every criminal case had to have some sort of DNA evidence to get a conviction, the system would literally fall apart). Ergo, eye witness testimony is, literally, the best evidence. My question for you is if eye-witness testimony is "worthless" and hard, physical evidence just doesn't exist most of the time, how is the State supposed to try a case? Do we just assume everyone is innocent? I'm sorry victim of a crime... eye witness testimony is unreliable and I have STUDIES that back this up so unless you managed to swab some DNA off your attacker, there's nothing we can do for you. Again, the burden is on the State to prove its case, and a good defense attorney will poke holes in unreliable testimony on cross examination. Juries should be more educated on the reliability of witness testimony and that an eyewitness saying "that's the guy!" doesn't necessarily mean that that is, in fact, the guy, even if that person earnest believes it. And yeah, if the state can't compile a strong enough case on solid evidence, sorry victim of a crime, we shouldn't try to push a weak case on someone who has a good chance of being innocent. - The Democrat Thread