StrangeSox

We're probably looking at 2k+ deaths per day baked in for early December at this point.

Lincoln way went fully remote after having 70 cases and 600 students in quarantine.

It was designed so that the slaver states got their 3/5's representation counted for Presidency as well without actually having to treat the slaves as humans and, god forbid, actually let them vote in a popular election. Even if it was simply a popular vote of white men, the southern slaver states knew that they'd be dominated politically, and so instead set up a system where they could more often than not dominate the majority of Americans. When it was originally conceived, there was no conception of a broad popular vote or political parties coming to dominate who even gets consideration. For a while, a number of states didn't have a presidential vote at all and instead had the state legislature choose.

AZ will probably end up closer than GA, but it looks like Biden will hang on there.

We know that the police would overwhelmingly back Trump. It'd be enough for the military to do nothing.

That's my bigger concern here. All of their puffing out their chests about LEGAL votes and their meaningless idiot lawsuits and the various GOP elected officials talking about throwing out all the votes and picking the President themselves, none of that will amount to anything for the 2020 election (probably). But it's going to leave deep scars on our democracy that might never go away. And unfortunately, there's no real reform mechanisms in place to take power away from obstructionist, anti-democracy minoritarian parties since they have enough minoritarian power to obstruct any meaningful change.

Makes you wonder how often Bob is getting "just a little tipsy" and getting behind the wheel

The electoral college remains the dumbest electoral system in the world

idk seems bad

Kidding on the square. Pompeo would 100% be down with a coup if the conditions are right. Much of the GOP is coming out in favor of that stance.

Reminder: The Electoral College was a last-minute compromise solution with slaver states by a bunch of exhausted delegates in 1780's Philadelphia that Madison thought was garbage and functions nothing at all like it was originally structured, and hasn't really since the first few elections.

Multiple GOP state Attorneys General have signed on to the PA lawsuits. The rot runs very deep.

Honestly at this point they should simply send in the army and exterminate them all, worry about "legal authority" later after you've hopefully contained a potentially devastating mutation.

Set up nicely for a "stabbed in the back" narrative against anyone who isn't fully behind Trump/Trumpism

Are there previous examples of vaccines having negative impacts that don't show up for 2-3 years?

They issued a second clarification because they are actually part of Operation Warp Speed since they have a contract with the US government to supply vaccines, but that's on the backend. They did not take any R&D money, though.

It will make things more expensive and may mean the logistics are slightly slower, but production is going to be the main bottleneck for a while. They are fridge-stable for a day or two, so they're ok in regular fridges every pharmacy or doctor's office already has. Bad news for less-developed countries, though.

Derek Lowe's done a good job on following the vaccines and has some initial thoughts: https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2020/11/09/vaccine-efficacy-data

I dunno. Nobody is studying what happens if you take more than one vaccine. Would you be willing to potentially lock yourself out of the 90%+ effective vaccine forever in order to get the 60% effective one six months earlier? Not an easy call to make, imo. So, grimly dark here that we may get a vaccine quicker because of how bad things have gotten. But trying to read through the lines of this press release, and it seems like there's an indication of sterilizing immunity. That would be huge. That means not only that you don't personally get sick, but also that you don't get an infection in the first place and become an asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic spreader. Need to wait for detailed results to really understand this. Hopefully by Thanksgiving.

Absolute all-timer

The timing of this feels like Iran releasing the hostages right after Reagan was inaugurated. More details in the coming weeks, looking to apply for approval around Thanksgiving. Good news for sure! Let's hope Moderna and Oxford/AZ hit as well so that distribution bottlenecks aren't as bad. Though if the other two are effective but less so, you could end up with some very difficult choices given that we don't know the impact of taking one vaccine today and a different one 6-12 months from now.