QUOTE (The Bones @ Feb 8, 2009 -> 02:30 PM)
I respectfully disagree. Ledger has won almost every award known to mankind this year. If he does not win the Oscar it will be one of the biggest snubs ever and I would feel sorry for whoever were to beat him...awkward. Rourke, on the other hand, has only won the Golden Globe. If anything I would give the edge to Penn right now but I definitely think Rourke has a good chance. I might even throw Langella in the argument as well.
Rourke actually won a BAFTA today, which are the British version of the Academy Awards and is the best predictor on who will win the Oscar.
And yes, Ledger is a lock for sure.