January 13, 20179 yr If you had to bet all your money, like HAD to...would you have him closer to a .700 or .800 OPS? Love the guy above me- "Na man, closer to .900." Love it!
January 13, 20179 yr QUOTE (Jerksticks @ Jan 13, 2017 -> 11:12 AM) If you had to bet all your money, like HAD to...would you have him closer to a .700 or .800 OPS? Love the guy above me- "Na man, closer to .900." Love it! I'm going closer to .800. Maybe around .760-.785 OPS.
January 13, 20179 yr QUOTE (ypres @ Jan 13, 2017 -> 11:14 AM) 220/280/440. 3 HR, 12 SB Yikes, that would be awful Not sure how Anderson's bat would regress that much to be a .220 hitter with his speed I'd like to see Anderson steal more often in 2017 and put that speed to use
January 14, 20179 yr QUOTE (ypres @ Jan 13, 2017 -> 11:14 AM) 220/280/440. 3 HR, 12 SB This projection doesn't make sense. If Anderson has a .220 ISO and walks at a ~8% clip, he might be an MVP candidate. There's no way under those conditions that his bat would have regressed so much that he only hits .220, especially since his BABIP luck is likely to be favorable due to his speed. Also, how does he hit a .220 ISO with 3 HR? Do you have him hitting 40 triples? And if so, how could you be so unfavorable on a BABIP luck projection? At a 30% K rate (unlikely), that represents about a 60 point drop in BABIP, whereas at a 25% K rate (more likely), that represents about an 80 point drop in BABIP, which also would put him below league average for BABIP. This all just seems statistically implausible to me.
July 27, 20178 yr QUOTE (Feeky Magee @ Dec 21, 2016 -> 05:07 AM) I'd expect a step backwards offensively unless he drastically changes his approach. His BB and K% were horrendous and he didn't hit the ball hard enough to make up for this, he got pretty lucky. I'll go .267/.299/.395. Yikes, who would have thought this would be hella optimistic. .242/.265/.362.
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