I think it could be fun to track what happens with the last place candidate teams (trades, injuries...)

 

I start with the reds, their probably best starter anthony de scalafani was diagnosed with a ucl sprain. He will be shut down for a month but often this ends up in TJ surgery.

 

The reds already have a very terrible rotation, if they lose him for the year they become a very serious candidate for the worst record. (Even with him they are projected around bottom 4)

I think it could be fun to track what happens with the last place candidate teams (trades, injuries...)

 

I start with the reds, their probably best starter anthony de scalafani was diagnosed with a ucl sprain. He will be shut down for a month but often this ends up in TJ surgery.

 

The reds already have a very terrible rotation, if they lose him for the year they become a very serious candidate for the worst record. (Even with him they are projected around bottom 4)

 

The Padres by a mile for me. They have a bad rotation and I believe 3 rule 5 picks that they will carry. I think the only position they have a major league player is 1B. Add to that a really good division and the friars could set the all time loss record.

Right now projections at fangraphs have padres at 65 wins, white sox at 69, reds and brewers at 70, the next group are then Phillies, braves and twins all in the low 70s.

 

Pythagoran luck can account for about plus minus 6 to 7 wins so that plays a role too.

 

If the Sox do another trade or two they could be right in the mix with the padres but getting a good return on the trades is more important than the draft pick.

Edited March 14, 20179 yr by GermanSock

I think Brewers are going to have a nice jump this year to 75 wins, even in that division. Padres I see being one of those teams that has an abysmal first half and people stop paying attention then have a surprisingly competent second half that takes them out of last place.

 

I still think last place could be a team nobody suspects (like last year) and I'd put it on the marlins.

I think Brewers are going to have a nice jump this year to 75 wins, even in that division. Padres I see being one of those teams that has an abysmal first half and people stop paying attention then have a surprisingly competent second half that takes them out of last place.

 

I still think last place could be a team nobody suspects (like last year) and I'd put it on the marlins.

 

Easily. I see them finishing last in that division. All it really takes is for an annual Stanton dl-stint. Braves and Phillies I would think will improve slightly.

I think Brewers are going to have a nice jump this year to 75 wins, even in that division. Padres I see being one of those teams that has an abysmal first half and people stop paying attention then have a surprisingly competent second half that takes them out of last place.

 

I still think last place could be a team nobody suspects (like last year) and I'd put it on the marlins.

Yeah Padres are definitely the favorite to finish with the worst record but if I were a betting man I'd probably take the field over them.

Move Quintana, Cabrera and leave Moncada in the minors and we're golden. As close to the bottom as I'm willing to get.

Move Quintana, Frazier, Robertson, Cabrera and leave Moncada in the minors and we're golden. As close to the bottom as I'm willing to get.

 

Fixed.

Move Quintana, Cabrera, Robertson, Frazier, and Jones and leave Moncada in the minors for all of 2017 and we're golden. As close to the bottom as I'm willing to get.

Fixed again.

Fixed again.

 

I could see Jones going next off-season or next trade deadline.

Fixed again.

Yeah, you got me. I don't give a f***. Let's move everybody. I'm not being sarcastic.

I think Brewers are going to have a nice jump this year to 75 wins, even in that division. Padres I see being one of those teams that has an abysmal first half and people stop paying attention then have a surprisingly competent second half that takes them out of last place.

 

I still think last place could be a team nobody suspects (like last year) and I'd put it on the marlins.

 

I see the Marlins performing about where they are projected. WAR has them projected to win 78 games, but from a pure talent perspective, I see them under that. However, I really like their bullpen and I think they will a few games they wouldn't under normal circumstances. Thus, right around .500.

Now Tom Murphy has a broken arm. Out 4-6 wks. This is really incredible.

Now Tom Murphy has a broken arm. Out 4-6 wks. This is really incredible.

Rizzo's prayers have been answered.