March 30, 20223 yr 6 minutes ago, Balta1701 said: I’d do right in that range, 125-130. I'd agree, that's the goal. Let's hope they can keep him somewhat healthy so he can reach it.
March 30, 20223 yr 2 hours ago, SoxBlanco said: Assuming he does not get injured, how many innings do you expect Kopech to pitch? Well, that is a bit of a loaded question, given that SPs tend to get hurt a fair amount, and that that SPECIFIC SP has a non-insignificant injury history. [I know, I know, we're supposed to dwell on Rodon's injury history, but absolutely ignore Kopech's injury history, so that RH gets a pass.] That said, Kopech: went 5 IP only once last season, 4 IP only once last season, and 3 IP only four times. He's also [AFAIK], not facing live batting in ST as we type this. He only was able to produce 69.1 IP all season long, and had to go on the IL. At the moment, I think it is reasonable to not only question Kopech's durability to produce 120+ IP over the course of a season, but also, his endurance to go 5IP in a single game with regularity. [Of course, there's also Katz's/TLR's proclivity to allow SPs to go on fumes in a game, because they don't seem to have a handle on pitcher useage.] Most of this is not Kopech's fault, IMO. This org has done a shitty job preparing him, and got hooked on the "sugar high" of his talent being in the bullpen. All this taken together, given Kopech's [SHHHHHH!!!] injury history, his 2021 IP production, the abject failure to stretch him out, and his current injury status make me believe that he'll produce between ~90 and 110 IP this season. 90 IP is a ~30% increase in IP, while 110 IP is a ~59% increase in IP. Either way, I doubt he won't be on fumes by ~September or so, meaning another SP will have to step up, IMO. [Thank God for the most expensive BP in MLB history, though, amirite?] Edited March 30, 20223 yr by Two-Gun Pete
March 30, 20223 yr 18 minutes ago, Two-Gun Pete said: Well, that is a bit of a loaded question, given that SPs tend to get hurt a fair amount, and that that SPECIFIC SP has a non-insignificant injury history. [I know, I know, we're supposed to dwell on Rodon's injury history, but absolutely ignore Kopech's injury history, so that RH gets a pass.] That said, Kopech: went 5 IP only once last season, 4 IP only once last season, and 3 IP only four times. He's also [AFAIK], not facing live batting in ST as we type this. He only was able to produce 69.1 IP all season long, and had to go on the IL. At the moment, I think it is reasonable to not only question Kopech's durability to produce 120+ IP over the course of a season, but also, his endurance to go 5IP in a single game with regularity. [Of course, there's also Katz's/TLR's proclivity to allow SPs to go on fumes in a game, because they don't seem to have a handle on pitcher useage.] Most of this is not Kopech's fault, IMO. This org has done a shitty job preparing him, and got hooked on the "sugar high" of his talent being in the bullpen. All this taken together, given Kopech's [SHHHHHH!!!] injury history, his 2021 IP production, the abject failure to stretch him out, and his current injury status make me believe that he'll produce between ~90 and 110 IP this season. 90 IP is a ~30% increase in IP, while 110 IP is a ~59% increase in IP. Either way, I doubt he won't be on fumes by ~September or so, meaning another SP will have to step up, IMO. [Thank God for the most expensive BP in MLB history, though, amirite?] I thought I saw a post where he is pitching today or tomorrow. I don't think anyone has ever ignored the Kopech injury issue but you keep on keepin on.
March 30, 20223 yr 10 minutes ago, ptatc said: I thought I saw a post where he is pitching today or tomorrow. I don't think anyone has ever ignored the Kopech injury issue but you keep on keepin on. Because somehow adding two injured pitchers together means one healthy pitcher to cover a season, even though it really doesn't work like that.
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