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About Justinsettle

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    Bristol (R)
  1. Justinsettle

    Will There Be a 2020 Season?

    What you think is ignorant is science. Why do you think a SARS vaccine doesn’t exist? But it’s not wrong and ignorant. But if a vaccine does come it will be at least a year from now...products don’t get approved that fast. In vitro...animal and then human testing. I know the process. But hey if something comes because it’s rushed through- you can be first in line to try it.
  2. Justinsettle

    Will There Be a 2020 Season?

    The problem is the only way for it to end is to spread it. A vaccine will probably never come but if it does it's a long long way from being released. A "cure" will never happen. Yes New York got hit hard but literally 86% of the 22k deaths are age 60 and over. 30% are over age 90. A better strategy is to protect those most at risk of death/ hospitalization and let others spread it. Crowds are the most efficient way.
  3. Justinsettle

    Will There Be a 2020 Season?

    Exactly...and then adjust that rate for the vast majority of deaths being over 65 with comorbid conditions. They have a much better chance of dying from something else vs this virus. In my opinion they should be playing in front of fans...those that are scared to come out stay home. Every covid model has been based on poor data and pretty much every decision around this has been bad.
  4. Justinsettle

    MLB considering no crowds allowed on Opening Day?

    Thanks for the stats- So let's just say it kills 15% of people over 80 and that number sticks. And let's use the 1.3% of people over 50. Should we do nothing and not try to contain it? Kill millions of people over 80? Roughly 2 billion of the 7 billion people in the world are over 50. Using your mortality rate that is 26 million dead over the age of 50- of course not all of them will get this virus- but hopefully the point is made. Your parents, your grandparents. 16% of the USA population is over 60 so about 56 million people. So should we not do anything for those roughly 725k people? Don't forget we have a normal flu season coming too. And this virus is more easily spread because of the incubation period- people can walk around for up to a week with no symptoms. Do you know why the Avian H5N1 (mortality rate of 60%) didn't wipe us out? Because it caused people to get super sick super fast thus they can't spread it because they are home sick. This is the opposite easy to spread but not as deadly. Leave world health issues to the experts like the WHO and the CDC. It is a huge deal if they don't get this under control quickly. BTW this isn't directed at you- just anyone that thinks this is a media conspiracy. They stopped SARS by utilizing effective quarantines- had they not that would have killed millions.
  5. Justinsettle

    Castellanos to Reds , rumored 4/64M

    I know he was a top 10 prospect and would love to have him. But Vaughn is a stud and could just as easily put up .312 BA and .895 OPS minor league stats. I think he will be even better. I would give up some of the pitching prospects before Vaughn if they wanted them. But as said they are in win now mode- maybe dangle Lopez plus some prospects with the hope we can replace Lopez with Kopech or Dunning?
  6. Justinsettle

    Castellanos to Reds , rumored 4/64M

    That would be giving up way too much for someone who has shown really nothing in 375 AB at the major league level. Really just trading prospect for prospect at this point. I would love to have him but Vaughn could easily be rated top 10 prospect in baseball by the end of next year.
  7. Justinsettle

    So What Happens to Zack Collins?

    And Robert will likely struggle too once brought up in his first 100 AB. The fact remains giving up on Collins- after 100 AB- is ridiculous.
  8. Justinsettle

    So What Happens to Zack Collins?

    Collins stats in triple A are arguably better - at worse very similar- than Luis Robert. Yet if we traded Robert we would have members of this forum jumping off rooftops. I agree you need a package that blows you away to trade him. RC+ 140 OPS 951 k% 26.7 BB% 13.7 Collins RC+ 136 OPS 974 k% 24.7 BB% 4.9 Robert
  9. Justinsettle

    Trade Market for Starting Pitchers...

    Oh I don't like that...better be someone really good. Cease is going to be elite once he finds the strike zone more consistently.
  10. Same thing...8 mil more a year fro Straus is better than Wheeler. And again we can always look to move him after a few years if Kopech, Lopez, Cease, Gio, Dunning all turn out to be good. Add in Stiever, Thomson and Dahlquist I'm sure some become decent. Even 7/245 wouldn't be that bad or crippling vs. what we were going to pay for Wheeler (assuming we offered 5/120 to Wheeler).
  11. We should be all in on Stras- 7 years 210. Cost Sox 6 mil more a year than what we likely offered Wheeler. The last 2 years of contract might suck but we could always trade him.
  12. Justinsettle

    Zack Wheeler Thread

    Exactly. Don't like it but would be a really bad move to sign early. Wait for those 2 to get signed and let the teams left overpay him in a bidding war. Hope I'm wrong!
  13. Justinsettle

    Cole or Strasburg?

    I can easily predict which team gets either of these two. The team that over pays “market value”. I hope Hahn realizes this after last year. The visits don’t matter in the majority of cases- especially won’t matter to Cole. I say offer him 40 mil a year front loaded 7 yr contract with opt out after yr 3 or 4. Make it so we can trade him after 3 yrs if any of our guys become legit #1 and #2 starters. That way we can use him to retool again near the end of our window while dumping salary.
  14. Justinsettle

    Trade Candidates: Hitters

    If we traded the best college hitter in years for Benintendi straight up we should be calling for hahns job. Horrible trade idea.
  15. Justinsettle

    2020 RF options

    100% correct. Highest offer wins almost all the time. Look at any past big name free agent- or really any free agent. It has nothing to do with coaching staff, fan's, attendance or the team they are playing on. Cole is going to get paid and get paid big the only thing that stops us from getting him is making the highest offer (which is doubtful we will!). Perfect example is Harper was he so impressed with the Phillies he signed with them and not with his friends on the Cubs? No Phillies offered more money- he definitely didn't sign there because the team is going to win a WS.