nrockway

Congrats! Caught the tail end of this one. Huge win.

Keeps the spot warm for Ely Brown. Robert might return an actual player.

I’m more interested in the idea of a Robert trade since Jake “we have Rickey Henderson at home” Meyers is apparently available for a controllable pitcher. I don’t think the Sox are in the market for a late inning reliever. Leasure and Taylor are fine.

Where’s Braden?

That’s awesome.

I'm surprised he's getting a MLB deal at all frankly. Then again, it's hardly any money and he was actually pretty good to end the season at AAA.

https://www.ai.uga.edu/sites/default/files/inline-files/lyle_arlo.pdf https://www.getbigboard.com/evaluating-2019-projections/ there's plenty of evidence that it doesn't work very well.

Congrats, good for him. Hope he does well.

But what about the network side of things? I think ESPN's deal is valued at $550mil a year, that's a lot of money to give up for an impending lockout. Of course, perhaps the networks don't pay MLB if no games are played, I don't know how all of that works. Still, doing a short term deal that is long enough to extend beyond the current CBA leads me to think the owners do not want to risk a lockout. I don't think it's to due with labor relations but rather alienating the biggest cashcow they have.

I think a more realistic option, depending how FA shakes out, is Quero for Jasson Dominguez. Wells is an OK catcher but they have no depth there and Quero will almost certainly be the better hitter. Also no depth behind oft-injured Stanton at DH. If the Yankees land Tucker or keep Bellinger, Dominguez (and/or Spencer Jones) have no where to play. Quero may end up the better player, but I’d rather have a guy who plays every day at a position of weakness. Lee is a fine backup.

Right, locking the players out immediately after signing several short term, 3-year long TV deals strikes me as...unlikely. I'm not sure the networks agree to such a deal if they feel a lockout is imminent. To me, the salary cap stuff is simply posturing, the owners will almost certainly move away from that position to get some other concession from the union.

ZIPS is even less useful than that projection that a bunch of high schoolers came up with. Its predictive value is basically nil, particularly for young players, and is even worse at determining team records. it surprises me that Fangraphs still publishes it

table 6 has the best vibes. there. I like how Tony is the only one drinking a beer at his table

It's a lot of dough but the guy has never missed a start. Consider how much money 'elite' pitchers like DeGrom or Sale were paid to barely pitch any innings. With deferrals, Cease is being paid $26mil AAV. Boston gave Sale a 5-year contract, $29mil AAV, and he only pitched 151 innings for them in 4 years to a 3.93 ERA after signing the extension. Rangers extended DeGrom for 5 years, $37mil AAV, so far he's pitched 213 IP in 3 years. Burnes just signed for 6 years, $210mil ($35mil AAV) and now he's 31 and recovering from TJ. This contract reminds me of what the Yankees gave Rodón which is to say I think it's an overpay but he's still a valuable pitcher who will almost certainly perform across the life of the contract. I figured he would sign for 1 year and get a bigger deal depending on his performance. I'm sure a lot of other teams were offering him that. Anyway, congrats to him. It'll buy a lot of frisbee golf.

I’m making a (bad) joke about how the guy’s surname refers to an economic class that was seemingly not so popular under Lenin’s dictatorship. I can’t imagine Lenyn having conflict with anyone, he seems like a sweetheart. Million dollar smile, $850,000 baseball ability.