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Buehrle>Wood

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Everything posted by Buehrle>Wood

  1. Downs should finally get some company eventually, thank god.
  2. QUOTE (bmags @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 06:09 PM) I think I'm going to stay out of this thread. Yep. Spoilers, guys
  3. QUOTE (QuickJones81 @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 06:01 PM) You know if the Sox take Nola that the Cubs will take Kolek. If he ends up being an ace it will be awfully tough watching him pitch on the North side. Cubs s want nothing to do with Kolek
  4. QUOTE (Chilihead90 @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 05:58 PM) I still can't believe that a kid named NOLA goes to LSU. That's just silly. I was thinking the same
  5. They just showed our war room. Hopefully someone got a screen grab.
  6. QUOTE (southside hitman @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 04:59 PM) Two hours away if you are interested in actual picks being made. I don't think I'll put myself through the torture of watching the pre-draft show. 1 hour to the draft...
  7. QUOTE (southside hitman @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 04:55 PM) http://www.baseballamerica.com/draft/mock-...the-final-mock/ Another Kolek selection. Seems to be all Kolek or Nola.
  8. QUOTE (Ozzie Ball @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 02:30 PM) Kiley McDaniel ‏@kileymcd 19s The Carlos Rodon bonus demand hammer has dropped. I'm told its $6 million plus. Aiken heavy favorite to go 1-1 now. That makes me think he's currently negotiating with us because telling the Marlins or Astros 6 million makes no sense.
  9. QUOTE (HickoryHuskers @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 01:57 PM) No, based on your assumptions your math is correct. 60% chance he goes 1 means there is a 40% chance he does not. 50% chance he goes 2 if available means that there is a 20% chance he goes 2 and a 20% chance he slips beyond 2 50% chance he goes 3 if available means that there is a 10% chance he goes 3 and a 10% chance he slips beyond 3. I'm not judging your assumptions one way or the other, just saying that based on your assumptions the math works out. That's how I arrived at 10% but I believe it's lower because I don't think we are accounting for scenarios in which he is already picked (ie the assumption "if available", sox can't take him if he goes 1). Binary trees from my college classes come to mind but I might be wrong. God the draft needs to get here.
  10. QUOTE (The Ultimate Champion @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 01:29 PM) Sounds pretty realistic to me. If the choice with Houston is Rodon vs. Aiken 50/50 and Marlins have it 50/50 Jackson vs. Rodon then there's a 50% chance (in a vacuum) that Aiken falls to us. QUOTE (Eminor3rd @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 01:33 PM) Yeah to me it really just comes down to the Astros pick, which has to be at least 50% Rodon, and the White Sox preference for college arms. The Miami pick of Jackson seems solid if Rodon is gone. That feels like at least 25% to me. So if it's 50% chance that 1 and 2 go "Rodon/Jackson," it seems believeable that there's 50% chance that the Sox choose either Kolek or Nola over Aiken. The odds for two consecutive 50/50's to happen is 25%, right? I think tuc read it wrong. It's about Aiken to the Cubs. I'll do the ridiculous and handicap this though. I think I'm giving him very rough odds considering he's the consensus 1 but here we go: 60% percent he goes 1 50% percent he goes 2 if he's still available 50% percent he goes 3 if he's available. That's a 10% chance he's there for the Cubs. It's actually lower than that though because I'm not accounting for him actually getting picked. Someone with more time/smarter/better at math can do that. Should be like 5 or 6 percent.
  11. QUOTE (Eminor3rd @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 01:23 PM) Idk. I can see it: Astros take Rodon, who the Marlins wanted. Marlins then take Jackson, who is 2nd on their board. Then all it takes is either of the rumors that Sox love Kolek OR Nola to be true. Still a lot lower than 20 percent that happens.
  12. QUOTE (Chilihead90 @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 11:53 AM) Probably an understatement. Right now it's unquestionably better than the ps4, coming from someone who had both.
  13. QUOTE (Charlie Haeger's Knuckles @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 12:33 PM) Today is only the first round, correct? Are there any second round projections? I suppose I could just read a mock draft list and see who the 30 or so players are that start the rankings around 35. We make our second pick tonight too
  14. QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 11:57 AM) Baseball Hall ‏@BaseballHall 12m No player selected with the overall No. 1 pick since the start of the #MLBDraft in 1965 has earned #HOF election. Pretty misleading stay when it rules out anyone from like 1990 on. Edit: or Griffey in 1987. We've had Griffey, Arod, and Chipper since then.
  15. I hope that they were targeting Rodon and Gillaspie falls to them, then.
  16. QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 11:32 AM) I actually agree with fathom's logic on this that the Sox will take Nola in that instance due to the desire to compete so soon. For a team like the Cubs, who really don't seem to be in a hurry to compete, Kolek makes a lot more sense. Pretty sure everything thing to this point has said Cubs are staying away as far as possible from Kolek
  17. Nintendo is far and away the best developer on earth. Easy choice. I think I'll buy a 3ds when Smash Bros comes out.
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