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bmags

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Everything posted by bmags

  1. glad we are already at the point where we need to set the roster against the managers common tendencies.
  2. I actually think that is the least compelling case to not do this. The best case to me to not pause is you delay potentially hundreds of thousands of doses and increase exposure for that population to a disease with worse effects. But the cdc also isn't you know, per se, shooting REAL covid into people and can't control that outcome as much. They can control the vaccine rollout and if they believe they can prevent serious outcomes for some X of people that is not an easy decision to weigh. There was a kneejerk "SIX OUT OF 7 MIlLION" but it really isn't clear what the numerator is. Because of the similiarities between AZ, I'd certainly put my chips in it being similarly low, but UK has recommended under 30s to try to get a different vaccine. They did not pause to get there, and that may be the better approach, but this also may be a worse or or much worse for a specific demo with J&J than it was for AZ, we don't know yet. But for the vaccine hesitant, I don't know that getting vaccines in 2 weeks of "Up to 75 cases of blood clotting reported, CDC says vaccine is still safe" is like a silver bullet here either, even if all of twitter shouts at them to learn statistics.
  3. I figured that the group we are actually worried about would be the vaccine hesitant not full anti-vaxxers. And as this thread has posted over the year every single poll showing vaccine hesitancy from when it was good ("people don't trust trump!") to now when its bad ("trump voters won't get the vaccine!") and the numbers have continued to go down slowly but consistently. The EU handled the AZ blood clotting situation differently, but the biggest difference causing a schism is many many people in the UK knew many many people who got the AZ vaccine and were fine, whereas EU rollout had been slow and stirring anger at the company for how it handled low supply and its UK contract. The US could have decided not to pause, but I get their worry that most of the J&J vaccine was given very recently, and this side effect is reported one-three weeks after the shot is given. It is likely this continues to be a rare phenomenon and the numerator is as low as they thought, and the pausing was unneccessary. But it's also a possibility that the numerator is decently higher and the pause allowed them to better target the vaccine to the right groups as well as signal to the health care providers the correct way to treat this particular blood clot. If the US did not have 2 other vaccines currently that were alread much better at producing high volumes, maybe the US just presses on like the UK did with AZ, but when it's all factored in I think it is a difficult call on its face - and I think "don't say stuff because the worst people may use it against you" isn't a very compelling part of the reasoning. I'd be more on board with CDC/FDA at least meeting with some key health provider groups + medical journals + select journalists that cover health for a quick conference call before the press release and an immediate press conference, but the actual decision is harder than this thread makes it out to be.
  4. I know this is jest but from the replay it did look like madrigal and stopped and re-set at third before starting when it was clear ball deflected.
  5. This is just punditry. Unlike the EU pause, they didn't just pause due to an uncertain correlation. They are providing actionable guidance of a specific kind of bloodclot appearing in a demographic, and calling it a pause while they provide more guidance on treatment and look for more info on what traits might create this reaction. Now if Biden starts pulling a macron or other EU heads of state and start saying completely innaccurate things about the vaccine then we may have to worry, but I don't think the AZ situation with EU will be directly comparable.
  6. Really hoped you were going to say he was related to bachman turner overdrive/tal bachman family.
  7. This has been really miserable but this schedule has been rough. Not sure how but they need to get a serious PG upgrade, this is just ridiculous how trash that position is. Sato is a fine 2nd unit player.
  8. Isn't steverson back with our org in some capacity? Maybe we could give moncada some 1-on-1 time with him again to get him on track.
  9. the decision seems correct as the demographic affected is more likely to have a higher than the 6 in 7 million number (women 18-49 have likely received far fewer than that), and the fact that it's a rare kind and will help to spread communications to hospitals and doctors on warning signs/treatment. The communication is annoying but not sure there is anyway to avoid "J&J causes bloodclots, pulled from shelves!" type headlines with twitter/social media.
  10. if rodon craps himself on the mound we all must not laugh, ok. Let's be mature about this shituation.
  11. I am glad I read this thread. I watched skull island last night and it was rad and now have plans for a backyard Godzilla v Kong next weekend.
  12. As much as I would think I wouldn’t, if I was in the draft room I’d definitely yolo it right before the pick
  13. was just talking about the movie where I called it "Gorilla v. Kong" like 4 times before I was corrected.
  14. I think talking about 4th pick like that is too cute by half. You should compare it to everyone drafted after them in first round - because you had your pick at them. Nothing about the 6th pick made it more magical to select Kelenic.
  15. The roar after Yermins homer was ?
  16. One of my favorite games I’ve ever seen from Lavine. A true superstar like game where he made plays for his teammates, then when Toronto threatened, came in and hits layup, three pointer to put the nail in the coffin. Theis is freakin great too.
  17. Sure would be nice if they made it jan 2 for consistency. There were some interesting highlights, which is to be expected of Badler who just goes the extra mile on this stuff. I'm going to skip the vera and cespedes stuff which is well-covered for 2 notes that were super fun: "Dario Borrero, OF, Venezuela: In the last year and a half, Borrero hit a growth spurt, going from a skinny 6-foot-2 up to now 6-foot-5, 200 pounds. For such a tall player, Borrero still has a fairly simple, short stroke for his size from the left side that's loose, relaxed and easy. He does a good job of going with where the ball is pitched, showing the bat control to shoot pitches on the outer third to left field or pull pitches on the inner third. His power has started to spike now, with a chance to grow into significantly more thunder once he packs on another 30-40 pounds." 6 foot 5 200 lbs is hilarious Sleeper Watch The White Sox pulled a sleeper out of Panama when they signed outfielder Benyamin Bailey for $35,000 in April 2019. They could have another low-dollar sleeper signing from the country in this class with 18-year-old righthander Carlos Hinestroza. After playing third base up until a few years ago, Hinestroza moved to the mound, where his arm works well with a fastball that's been up to 91 mph and a chance to throw significantly harder once he gains more experience and adds strength to his 6-foot-1 frame. He's still learning how to pitch, with a slider and a changeup also in his repertoire." Also, didn't know that RHP Adrian Gil (or maybe just didn't pay attention to) was repped by Freddy Garcia and Carlos Guillen.
  18. this is why I'm excited to try some of these later ones. Context is I would have been 19 when I saw it but: 1. Was extremely long and PJ had already become a punchline to me for how he could not seem to end LOTR's finale with multiple fadeouts only for epilogue after epilogue. so maybe that's age-stuff. 2. It's mainly about super monsters as either villains or main characters. It's sort of like superman to me, where it every movie is just he gets weakened by kryptonite before recovering by throwing the problem into space. The super monsters are so big that I struggle to find them to be an interesting monster. The films really find the reveal to be big moments, but there can be no real surprise, right? I know King kong is going to be really big. But just a big monster crushing tiny things is only so interesting, so you end up with fight after fight of super monsters doing mortal kombat set pieces. 3. The special effects. I don't like that time period of movie making. Special effects had taken a leap but didn't yet match up to the ambitions of what the filmmakers were trying to do (or maybe later filmmakers had a better idea of what special effects CAN'T do). In Jurassic Park, for example, the terror of being a human mixed up around these incredibly strong and unreasonable animals was constantly felt when in same screen. But the parts of kong where they are running around a trex never felt close to the same to me. The dino stampede scene is a perfect example. Now, I will definitely say king kong is 1000x better at this then Jurassic World, which basically mixed CGI dinosaurs everywhere, as characters basically side stepped around them while they fought and in general never seemed too concerned. So some of this stuff I may revisit but just re-watching some of the trex fight just now I do remember the same thoughts that something about the scale just makes it actually less interesting to me. But then I really liked Pacific Rim, and that obviously had big ass robots fighting big ass monsters for quite a lot of the movie. But maybe part of that is the humans in the robot getting to narrate some of the injuries and create more than just "watch these two big things wrestle".
  19. I really, really disliked jackson's kong and the the 1998 godzilla for obvious reasons, but I just ignored this latest series and I am going to watch them all because I think I may like them.
  20. I wonder if this is where his instincts vs. ability is going haywire. His arm isn't amazing, maybe he's trying to compensate for how much faster game is than he expected by rushing, and that's what is causing the mistakes.
  21. I think there would be more patience but also much more anger that they went into the season with him starting when there were two cheap starters at 2b available
  22. Well, for comparison that makes him faster than Jay Bruce and Alex Gordon last year, and basically as fast as Shin-soo choo. And not that much slower than Juan Soto. But still very slow.
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