Everything posted by Balta1701
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2011-12 White Sox off season catch all thread
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Nov 2, 2011 -> 11:38 AM) Especially if he leaves someone like Mike Maddux for the New Yankee stadiums short RF porch. His era could double. You don't get to complain about "Ballpark factors" hurting people who pitch in Texas.
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The Democrat Thread
Goldline has been charged with Fraud in California.
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Financial News
Greek cabinet voted unanimously to support having a referendum.
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Financial News
QUOTE (Jenksismyb**** @ Nov 2, 2011 -> 10:47 AM) Question - What's the US exposure for this? I'm sure we have our hands tied with the EU, so a drop of a country or two would hurt investors and banks here....but how much? Wouldn't the dollar have a really solid period of growth so that long-term it would be a benefit for the US? Or is that totally wrong? I think the real answer is "We don't know." There's good reason to believe that even in Europe, the governments don't know who all has exposure to Greek debt. The U.S. almost certainly has very little direct exposure to Greek debt, but if it was just an issue of Greece then the Germans could pay them off and be done with it...the U.S's exposure to italian banks, spanish banks, etc., is probably larger...but the French and German exposure to those banks is again much larger since they made them all the bad loans. So the question we're really getting to is...what is the U.S.'s exposure to the French and German banking industries? In that one...the U.S. probably has significant exposure somewhere in there. The MF collapse, for example, was in no small part based on Corzine's company betting that Europe would get its act together and bail out some of these Italian and Spanish banks. How things would cascade through...there's a good chance that any of these popping would be like Lehman popping for us, except this one wouldn't directly happne here.
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Is Jeff Manto this dumb
QUOTE (Jake @ Nov 2, 2011 -> 10:36 AM) Not going to read all the posts, but...good job Manto. Think of all the times when Dunn/Rios would walk with that man on third and two outs, or something equally useless when we needed a hit. Dunn had 12 walks last year with RISP and 2 outs, out of 51 plate appearances. He hit .103 in those circumstances. I'd rather have him walk.
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Financial News
Different way of writing it. The other point to remember here is that Greece has the rest of Europe over a barrel too.
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Financial News
QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Nov 2, 2011 -> 10:29 AM) You keep ignoring the main point here. The point is not that the offered plan is something that will make Greece some huge economic engine - they will struggle for quite a while under the best of circumstances. The point is that if they leave the EZ, they will collapse... and then recovery is much, much LONGER than WITH the plan. If there's no recovery in sight with the plan, and no recovery in sight without the plan, then there is zero reason to believe this claim. If I were to say you guys were ignoring a point...you're ignoring what is actually happening to Greece right now. I'm not pretending that defaulting will make them an economic engine either...but I'm not pretending that there's a path for growth in the plan. They take the plan, their economy will shrink more, and they will be right back here again, probably with worse riots. Just like one could have predicted last time there was a bailout agreement. And the time before that. And the time before that.
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2011-12 White Sox off season catch all thread
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Nov 2, 2011 -> 10:06 AM) With the pen they had last year, if he were good enough, there would be a spot for him. The Yankees had the best bullpen ERA in the AL last year by a half a run, had the 2nd best save percentage in the AL (next to Detroit), and had one of the lowest numbers of blown saves in the AL. Their bullpen gave up the 2nd lowest batting average against and 2nd lowest OPS against it in the AL (next to Boston in both cases).
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Financial News
QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Nov 2, 2011 -> 10:17 AM) How can you not see that this deal means a Greek recovery over a period of years from this recession, versus a departure and collapse will mean a recovery in decades, if ever? How can you not see how not taking the deal is making things worse? How on Earth does taking this deal mean a greek recovery over a period of years? If you read the actual numbers on the plan, Greece's GDP in 2020 would still be 5% lower in 2020 than it was in 2008 if everything goes correctly...but the plan makes the exact same mistake as the last 5 plans or however many bailouts there have been...it assumes that the bailout plan won't do more damage. Every single previous plan has been wildly optimistic for exactly that reason, this is no different. Aside from you guys getting frustrated with me, you have given zero reason for me to believe that this plan is somehow a path to growth. Even the wildly optimistic estimates going into the numbers for this bailout still show incredibly weak growth for Greece, and like I said, those estimates are political estimates...being written so that there's no motivation for the banks to take a larger haircut. Greece will not "Recover" over a period of years if they take this deal. Greece will fall into a deeper unemployment hole, a deeper recession, and next June we'll have this exact same discussion over bailout 19.0: electric boogaloo.
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2011-2012 OFFICIAL NBA LOCKOUT thread
Last night, the Dallas Mavericks should have received rings and a banner while hosting the Chicago Bulls.
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2011-12 White Sox off season catch all thread
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Nov 2, 2011 -> 10:00 AM) If he was that good, they Yankees would have just paid him the money to keep him. It was only a million dollars. Plus if he was that good, someone would offer him a major league deal, or at least a real chance at making the majors, instead of a minor league deal; Does he need a 40 man roster spot? And do the Yankees have extra ones of those (esp. if they want to go after any FA pitchers?)
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Quietly so no one sees . . .
Fortunately y'all keep bumping the thread, so really, I don't need to.
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Quietly so no one sees . . .
Don't make me choose!
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Samuel L. Jackson
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Nov 2, 2011 -> 09:58 AM) In her case, they all involve her fully clothed and somewhere else. With barbeque sauce.
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Republican 2012 Nomination Thread
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Nov 2, 2011 -> 09:07 AM) There was a considerable amount of time between the story coming out and it being widely reported because it wasn't coming from "reputable sources". There's another side of this too...and that's the crap response by Cain's campaign. He's changed his stories more times in 3 days than I have fingers to count on. The Edwards campaign simply denied, denied, denied. Every time the story changes...it's another story, and it's another claim that can be investigated, maybe without much effort. It's much easier to report "Cain's new story contradicts Cain's last story" than it is to actually go out and do things like "investigating to find buried 1990's court records regarding settlements that are supposedly sealed and then working around signed confidentiality agreements".
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Samuel L. Jackson
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Nov 2, 2011 -> 09:11 AM) Seriously. The only way I want to see ribs is slathered in BBQ sauce. I don't want to know what other kinds of sick Christina Ricci condiment fantasies you have.
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Financial News
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Nov 2, 2011 -> 09:22 AM) And yet not accepting it makes things even worse. By making what is going to happen anyway...happen. Edit: the correct quote...from a fairly knowledgeable Vulcan, is..."Since it is logical to conclude you will kill us in any event, I choose not to cooperate."
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Financial News
QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Nov 2, 2011 -> 09:13 AM) Further austerity should help give the Greek government the right incentives to fix what they can, and thus roll back those measures over time. But, quite simply, you have a better chance of digging yourself out of a 6 foot hole than a 12 foot hole. And Greece becoming cheaper to do business? Not at all. Part of "cheap" to do business is stability and low risk - and a Greek nation teetering on default will attract NO busiiness because of the risks. Furthermore, if it does end up just defaulting on all debt and starting over, they have very little capital to work with to get their government operating again. Or do things like build roads, or anything else that businesses may need. Do you see where this is going? Not taking the deal makes the road back to economic strength much MORE difficult. And then there is the issue that, even if Greece does by some miracle break out of the EZ, default, and then eventually rise from the ashes... a generation will have passed. I don't understand how you can see not taking the deal as a good thing, or a better thing, or even the same thing as taking it. Here's the problem with your metaphor though...You're shrinking the size of your shovel at the same time as someone else helps you fill in the hole. Greece cannot pay off the debt it has relative to GDP while everything is denominated in Euros. If you shrink the debt, it might be able to pay off a portion of that debt...but only if the economy doesn't shrink as well. Continued contraction of the Greek economy will feed back into Greece being once again unable to pay off the new debt amount. And every single thing you said about what might happen if Greece doesn't take the deal is already happening. They have no capital. They are paying 200% interest rates on 1 year loans. They have no stability, they have no outside investment, and they have no prospect for any of that changing at any point in the future even after accepting that deal. That's why I keep asking what the endgame is. Every response has been, including yours..."Look how bad things might get if they do default!" But that still doesn't give a path out.
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2012 Cubs thread
QUOTE (fathom @ Nov 1, 2011 -> 11:16 PM) Paul Sullivan talking today about Cubs wanting to sign Buehrle if he lowers his price. That actually doesn't fit well with the supposed Theo et al. motto of "Focus in bringing in players with prime years left" that they keep stressing. Basically, that would have to be Mark! giving the Cubs a better home town discount than the Sox and the Sox deciding they don't want him. Craziness.
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Frasor $3.75M Option Picked Up
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Nov 2, 2011 -> 08:57 AM) I agree with this 100%. I have my guesses as to what it was, but there was no life in this team for 95% of the season. Most importantly, it never showed up any stronger than it did in April.
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Financial News
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Nov 2, 2011 -> 08:53 AM) One thing I would bet on is that Corzine is going to jail. I'll believe it if I see it, but if you're right, that would mean at least 1 former Goldman exec is finally there.
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Quietly so no one sees . . .
Zima still too strong for you?
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Samuel L. Jackson
QUOTE (DBAHO @ Nov 2, 2011 -> 07:46 AM) I'm guessing Mace Windu didn't really do it for anyone? It's a big part of why he's the "Highest grossing actor of all time", if that counts.
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Financial News
QUOTE (Y2HH @ Nov 1, 2011 -> 10:45 PM) It probably will happen anyway, but they've invested this much into saving it, they can't just stop now or the losses compound. Well, they can stop now -- but they'd look like "bad guys" in the eyes of the world. That's the worst reason I've read yet.