caulfield12

So when are they meaningful and when are they irrelevant? Keith Law said he could be an All Star based on what evidence exactly? Everyone in the world that knows baseball could have looked at Gonzalez's milb career up until now...two home-friendly months at Charlotte and now a 500ish mlb ops and predicted he wasn't suddenly going to go on a homer binge in the majors. Advance scouting will dissect every single weakness at the major league level that teams don't care that much about in AAA.

How was it an easy grounder? It was pulled right down the line...over the bag. It would have been a single regardless. If you fault him for not diving...who is to say if he dives and gets hurt then that's not even a worse outcome? Vargas isn't hitting now either.

So why even bother to utilize analytics? Let's just go back to TLR's hunches/intuition... We have numerous threads every year with Pecota and Steamer and FG and bWAR and fWAR. Most models said Meidroth would lead the team...and he's leading all 2B and yet thre are current threads about trading him. If it's meaningless to debate and discuss...why bother to predict anything?

When's the last time that actually happened where a ball that bounced in front of an outfielder resulted in an out at home? Still would be bases loaded one out and Hicks pitching. Probably get a walk or wild pitch walk off instead.

Over 162 games...they mean a lot. The more information provided, the more accurate they become over the course of a full season.

Yankees at home next. Huge opportunity for DETROIT with sellout crowds over the weekend to make some noise. Not sure if Skubal would see them the third game of the series or not.

Nope.

This is why statistical models have Sox Twins Tigers with basically same shot at WC (20-30%) and Guardians at roughly 70%. and now CLE misses Martin as well

There's nobody to trade. Gonzalez hasn't proven anything yet, trading Hagen or McDougal or Bonemer makes zero sense. Just super frustrating with three of Guardians' best hitters out now. There is a window...but desperately need Murakami to restabilize the lineup.

Montgomery at SS vs Acuna and the game is long over... Bad luck on Peters' double jumping over the wall as well. At least they can't trade Skubal now. And kind of crazy they're just one game behind the Guardians at this point. They also really need to patch that bullpen somehow.

How do you possibly sell that trade to your fanbase? The Red Sox need talent a lot more than $$$.

My country???...nobody except Stephen Marbury or Eileen Gu can have a double passport. All expats are just temporary residents on a yearly basis. PCA=Covid to any Sox fan It's like being friends with Skeletor.

JR is the only large market owner who desperately seeks small market subsidies/favoritism because of how he allowed the franchise to be totally run into the ground from 2022-25.

Clearly just advocating for calling every single prospect up isn't the solution, either. The Sox haven't had to deal with any real hitting struggles among the core group other than Quero...at least once Vargas and Colson got going. Still, it was basically inconceivable that every single hitting prospect was just going to come up and dominate. Unfortunately the Sox are forced to play them due to injuries that have created lineup holes...even if it hinders their long-term development. Gonzalez is one thing. But they really have to be really careful with Braden...

And now what??? A number of posters were concerned they were pushing him up to the big leagues way too fast after his first half year was wiped out by the ankle injury. It's fine if it's strictly a development year...you can give players a lot more rope and be patient. Maybe not so much when you are suddenly in win now/playoff mode.

This is 2026. Seriously, does anyone think Sam or his family would like that nickname...no matter how much in jest it is? It might as well be Yosemite Sam or HBP Sam. Doesn't meet the standard of a great or even good nickname.

Except his value was already down quite a bit at that point...

Which is why the trade won't happen.

Weird obsession...at least Tatis wasn't on the biggest rival of the Sox.

25-35 is probably a lot more realistic. Gonzalez and Braden haven't come close to matching their milb power numbers in the early going...despite all the optimistic surrounding their debuts.

"The logic behind having the starting pitcher start with the 4th or 7th hitter of the order has been explained multiple times..." Almost impossible to get it right all the time with the overall lack of quality from the last 3 bullpen options. That said, there's a massive correlation between winning and scoring/giving up the first run of the game. Would/should have worked in the Friday night Fedde game vs. Skubal. Just bad luck with the Peters misplay.

https://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/article/tarik-skubal-strikes-out-8-in-tigers-4-3-win-over-white-sox-exchanges-remarks-with-opposing-dugout-015816436.html

McDowell the pitcher already claimed

if they only see him internally as a high reliever risk with the attendant injury concerns that go with elite velocity…then they would have to at least consider it. He’s the only really intriguing guy other than Bonemer/Carlson. If they still view him as a starter, you don’t trade him at diminished value. Only Gonzalez, if other teams actually buy into his hitting changes remaining effective at the big league level would work then.