Everything posted by caulfield12
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7/18/19 - Sox/Royals Gamethread
27th In ERA, 29th in fielding, 23rd In OPS but probably end up getting passed by KC and StL by the end of the day (718 vs 717) to fall to 25th Actually 14th In batting average, highlighting the weakness of that measure But just 28th In runs scored...
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7/18/19 - Sox/Royals Gamethread
Did they do SoxMath yet? That’s getting equally tiresome...
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I guess the "momentum" towards being competitive was just dumb luck?
Not like last year. There are six really bad AL teams and then the Marlins.
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Colome remains with White Sox, who always had ample interest in him
Then you’re overpaying for the 2.3 fWAR (on pace for 4ish) version and not the 2016-18 version. https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=15464&position=OF At some point, they maybe have to choose between him and Reyes because they both put too much defensive pressure on Margot or Myers in CF to cover ground and neither of those two guys have handled it well.
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I guess the "momentum" towards being competitive was just dumb luck?
How much are we willing to pay Wheeler, Ryu, Odorizzi or Bumgarner? For once, we need to be like the Rays and get the equivalent of Charlie Morton’s performance...even if it costs $15 million/season. You simply can’t half ass it and throw that money at 2-3 Nova’s (literally “no go” in Spanish”) or Santana’s. Legit starters. For RF, beyond the obvious three candidates...Corey Dickerson can be purchased for pennies on the dollar from the Pirates and auditioned for the remainder of the season as he heads into free agency at age 30. Or Domingo Santana from the M’s, who has two more arbitration years. Option #3 is the Padres paying 1/2 the remaining $62.5 million on Wil Myers’ deal (goes through 2022 with $1 million buyout or $20 million for 2023). In fact, investing the money into another starter or bullpen help would be much more cost-effective than overpaying Castellanos, Ozuna or Puig.
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The Acceptance Phase of James Shields and Tatis Jr.
Someone wrote he signed for $800,000. It was actually $700k.
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I guess the "momentum" towards being competitive was just dumb luck?
Wheeler just went on the IL. That leaves Bumgarner, Ryu, Odorizzi, Strasburg if he opts out, Keuchel, Gibson and Hamels as Tier 2. Then another tier below with the likes of Wacha (one of the youngest), Wood, Porcello, Chacin, McHugh, Roark, etc.
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I guess the "momentum" towards being competitive was just dumb luck?
All we need are five starters with WHIP’s from 1.1-1.3, roughly a 9.5 S09 average and the minor league pieces to add the equivalent of Justin Verlander at mid season. When’s the last time we were able to do that from outside the organization...adding at least two quality guys? Danks and Floyd over a decade ago? Because if you put all your trust in Giolito, Kopech, Cease (and Dunning/Rodon to a lesser extent), time and time it has been proven you will need to go 7-8 pitchers deep. Even if you lightly pencil in López, you’ll have a setback somewhere else. Looking back in retrospect, they were incredibly fortunate to get by with just four starters and El Duque/McCarthy in 2005.
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I guess the "momentum" towards being competitive was just dumb luck?
We would all feel a lot more comfortable in that assessment knowing the final season numbers of McCann, Giolito, Lopez and Cease.
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Shake-up Needed in Coaching Staff, ASAP
LaRussa and Leland and are too old, Francona won’t leave CLE until Lindor does...Scioscia is not the choice, either. If the Cubs flamed our and fired Maddon, I doubt JR would be willing to pay up for him, either. He’s undoubtedly more high valued by Binny’s Beverage Depot.
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I guess the "momentum" towards being competitive was just dumb luck?
If McCann and Giolito can sustain their level of play...and it’s not the last guy in the bullpen if we trade two of high leverage relievers, it’s almost the entire bullpen, and that’s not as easy as one would think (see Sox problems finding a RFer or DH). If they’re suddenly going to open their wallets with a series of at least 2-3 $80-140 million contracts, sure. But if they do crash and end end up in the high 60’s for win count, one gets the feeling that will be the excuse to wait yet another year before pulling the trigger in free agency...playing it conservatively again because there are so many question marks in Kopech, Cease, Lopez, etc. Meanwhile, we have to go from the second worst defense to the opposite.
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I guess the "momentum" towards being competitive was just dumb luck?
So basically we have the equivalent of C Lee to trade in Abreu...and are going to have the most fortuitous series of acquisitions in 15 years. Okay. Well, if Minnesota can supplement their young core, why not? Although the collective fwar or bwar of that group probably isn’t far off our current yearly total in 2019.
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Sox @ Royals - 715pm CT
Nope, Wellington Castillo gets to lose 12-15 pounds in 100 degree temps tmrw at 1 p.m.
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I guess the "momentum" towards being competitive was just dumb luck?
If we are giving Schneider and Thomas all the credit in the world for their string of success for nearly 15 years having the best track record in the business keeping guys off the DL (It was our biggest competitive advantage, arguably), then how can the exact opposite be just bad luck?
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Sox @ Royals - 715pm CT
Repeating that title after Giolito’s 2018....quite the accomplishment.
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Sox @ Royals - 715pm CT
He was limited in range at that point after the leg injury and typically threw flat footed, but he was surely more competent than Avi or Palka and had a pretty strong throwing arm compared to most of today’s players.
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Sox @ Royals - 715pm CT
Oops, 42-9. Kicked a field goal at Arrowhead.
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The Acceptance Phase of James Shields and Tatis Jr.
Tatis Jr. is human after all. 0 for his last 9, six strikeouts, two careless throwing errors (#11&12)....
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Shake-up Needed in Coaching Staff, ASAP
More concerned with programming/DJing the clubhouse music score.
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Sox @ Royals - 715pm CT
All we need is Mike Human Rain Delay Hargrove hitting to make this the slowest possible pace in MLB history. Btw, White Sox second in errors in the AL, have averaged 109 the last six seasons. Fry on....trade showcase.
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Sox @ Royals - 715pm CT
Tilson/Engel in CF or Goins starting, it’s a toss up which is worse. At least Engel will run into one every 75 at-bats or so.
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Eloy going on IL
Polanco is actually a case quite similar to Giolito...went from the depths of underperformance to All Star/Cy Young in half a season.
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Goins Called Up; Minaya Clears Waivers, Outrighted to AAA
We should be thankful we had those three guys to trade or we’d currently be on a 10-15 year rebuild and selling off Luis Robert after he hit arbitration eligibility to the highest bidder.
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Goins Called Up; Minaya Clears Waivers, Outrighted to AAA
A top #1-3 system in baseball better go deeper than the Top 4-5 guys in terms of impact.
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Eloy going on IL
“According to a report, Minnesota tried to extend outfielders Byron Buxton and Max Kepler, right-hander Jose Berrios and two other unnamed young players, but all five players turned down the long-term deal. MLB teams have long used long-term extensions to buy out young stars' remaining years of arbitration eligibility in exchange for more monetary security for the players. The Twins young stars refusal to sign long-term deals does not mean they don't plan to stay with the team, but simply that they believe they will be worth more in the future than what the team offered them.” Guessing the other players were some combination of Rosario, Sano or Polanco....and guessing there’s no way the White Sox could come up with what Rodon/Boras (past tense), Robert or Moncada feel they’re worth. To complicate things even more, Giolito’s family is extremely wealthy. That just leaves McCann. The myth of Hahn: Master Negotiator, will be greatly tested. Including Anderson, he’s had four successes in this arena. And it’s not like it’s a sure thing the Jimenez deal will be a great bargain, if solely measured by fWAR.