chw42

Android 4.3 is a very minor update. I just flashed it today. There's Bluetooth Low Energy and a new camera app that's about it from a user standpoint. If you're streaming from a car over BT, song information should show up (I've yet to try, will do this on the drive home). There should be a few fixes and security patches (including the most recent security exploits that have surfaced), but that's about it.

QUOTE (iamshack @ Jul 17, 2013 -> 07:56 PM) This is assuming that the standings capture the best playing teams...perhaps the teams that are winning are benefitting from something other than the quantifiable results that we believe drives winning baseball teams... TWTW

QUOTE (Jake @ Jul 17, 2013 -> 07:18 PM) Yeah, and all historical data on defenders is extremely limited. The implementation of UZR in 2002 makes everything a bit different and far more accurate than the TZ pre-2002. Catchers are even harder to measure without video-based data. Pretty much. The WAR for all those catchers is offense only. No defense incorporated at all.

QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jul 17, 2013 -> 01:27 PM) http://www.ncaa.org/wps/wcm/connect/public...sports+contract When will the NFL do this is the better question.

QUOTE (Eminor3rd @ Jul 17, 2013 -> 04:05 PM) Correct. Or, more precisely, the things that Ellsbury has done on offense would typically result in one third more win. The critical difference in this number and actual wins is the presence of context. So obviously it's possible that most of Ellsbury's hits came in crucial situations (bases loaded, bottom of the 9th, etc.) and resulted in many more wins, or vice versa for Adam Dunn, but in order to control for game situation and let us compare players on an even field, each event is given a run value based on what it produces on average. For example, a HR can obviously be worth anywhere between one run and four runs, but this year, it's been worth 2.081 runs on average, so both players get credit for 2.081 runs for every homerun they hit. So when I say Ells has contributed 10.5 runs above average, those runs are assuming all of his contributions produced average results. If they want context, WPA is the place to look. Usually, WPA corresponds with a list of players that you often see on SportsCenter in a given year.

QUOTE (LittleHurt05 @ Jul 17, 2013 -> 03:28 PM) He's obviously not the same A-Roid he was before, but he will still be an improvement at 3B compared to what the Yankees have been throwing out there. David Adams (29 G) .536 OPS Jayson Nix (25 G) .607 OPS Kevin Youkilis (20 G) .648 OPS Chris Nelson (9 G) .521 OPS Luis Cruz (7 G) . 488 OPS Alberto Gonzalez (5 G) .394 OPS Those guys make Jeff Keppinger look alright.

QUOTE (HickoryHuskers @ Jul 17, 2013 -> 03:58 PM) Most of my web searches are for naked women. We certainly know who's the straight one here don't we now?

QUOTE (Eminor3rd @ Jul 17, 2013 -> 03:12 PM) I'm not aware of any formula that includes reaching on error. For what it's worth, I usually reference FanGraphs because they use Tango's formulas: wOBA = (0.691×uBB + 0.722×HBP + 0.884×1B + 1.257×2B + 1.593×3B + 2.058×HR) / (AB + BB – IBB + SF + HBP) Also, here are all of the historical component run values by year: http://www.fangraphs.com/guts.aspx?type=cn ROE was in the original formula. I never quite understood why they did that when they didn't count intentional walks. I mean, sure, reaching on errors alters run expectancy, but so does an intentional walk. And in both cases, the result of the hitter getting on base wasn't completely his doing.

QUOTE (Eminor3rd @ Jul 17, 2013 -> 02:39 PM) Typically the stats are adjusted every season. If I remember correctly from THE BOOK, the formula was created using historical data, but the probability weights can be altered to fit any sample size. They alter the weights every year. But when your sample size is a entire league for the entire year, it's probably alright to adjust it every year.

QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Jul 17, 2013 -> 01:35 PM) But at least for now, we're mentally calibrated on OPS. I know what a .900 OPS hitter is doing, I know what an .800 OPS hitter is doing, I know what a .700 hitter is doing, I know what a .600 OPS hitter was doing. When I quote those numbers, everyone knows roughly what that hitter is doing without me defining the standard. If you post RC+, great, but you have to calibrate me in the same post, I'm just not set on it yet. Not exactly. A guy with a .900 OPS might have a .330 OBP but a .570 SLG. Or he might be .400/.500. There's a big difference between those two hitters. I have to deal with OPS because that's all most websites can show me. If I'm more interested in the player, I go on FanGraphs. I've also gotten to the point where I can glance at OBP and SLG and sort of guess the wOBA. I'm usually like 5-10 points off though.

Chris Sale finally got a win. LOL

QUOTE (Steve9347 @ Jul 15, 2013 -> 11:08 AM) DIRECTLY TO YOUR F*CKING BRAIN There's no defending this. The iPhone 5 is the Aaron Hernandez of smartphones. Aaron Hernandez was also the owner of numerous iPhone 5s.

QUOTE (Jake @ Jul 15, 2013 -> 11:05 AM) FWIW, HTC is still pooping out updates for the other phones it released at that time, just not the One S (unfortunately, it is probably because very, very few people got the One S). Pooping out updates huh?

QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Jul 15, 2013 -> 12:48 PM) Which is why a smart GM will always, always, always make sure he gets a throw-in when he trades away a big leaguer. Wasn't Donaldson a first rounder? I don't know if he was really a throw-in.

QUOTE (balfanman @ Jul 15, 2013 -> 07:07 AM) I was never at WSI long enough for a ban, noticing early on that I didn't care much for the site. I did however receive a warning there for being overly religious. I had simply agreed with something another poster had said and I replied "Amen brother, preach it!". For that I received a warning. I just never went back. I got suspended for a week for being too negative in a game thread. Then I got perma-banned for posting about something technology related that they thought was illegal at the time (it wasn't legal or illegal at that time and it ended up being legalized a year later). The mods there just enjoy finding any little thing to ban you over.

QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Jul 15, 2013 -> 09:30 AM) WSI and ST are just different sites. There really are advantages to both, it just depends on what you are looking for. I post over there occasionally, but mostly I just like to keep that account open to keep in touch with their Mods/Admins, occasionally sell Sox tickets I can't use from my seasons, and contribute when I see some information missing. I actually got suspended over there once, amazingly, for something I posted on a Tigers board. Long story short, the Tigers fans were asking about Sox boards, and I provided a synopsis. I honestly gave pluses and minuses for both. Turns out some poster from WSI also posted on the Tigers board, clipped out some of my post out of context, sent it to WSI Mods, and poof.. banned. I explained it to them, showed them the whole post, and they let me back. So they weren't totally unreasonable, though I thought the idea of banning someone for what the posted on a different board was a little much. Obviously I chose this site as my primary place, but I can understand how other personalities may prefer WSI's style. Hahaha what? That's beyond ridiculous. It's like they don't really know how the internet is supposed to function.

QUOTE (lostfan @ Jul 14, 2013 -> 02:20 AM) T-Mobile is pretty fantastic in Baltimore and DC as long as you don't leave the metro area, and it's EDGE. It's nice that they're finally getting LTE and its really fast even with 1 bar, I see it on LTE in more places every day, but those rural towers could really use some HSPA, let alone LTE. Pretty good down here in Austin too. I'll get full bars of LTE in certain areas. 25 down and 10 up with 40 ms latency. My signal at home and at work are spotty, but with T-Mobile that's sort of expected.

QUOTE (Steve9347 @ Jul 14, 2013 -> 08:13 AM) Huh? I'd love for boozer to turn into Chris bosh. I meant that in a physical way. Not a basketball skills way. Bosh is way more skilled than Boozer.

QUOTE (scs787 @ Jul 13, 2013 -> 10:09 PM) Carlos Boozer looks "noticeably slimmer and toned" this summer, according to beat writer K.C. Johnson.When asked about his improved physique, Boozer replied, "We got D-Rose back. Our fast break is going to be a little faster." Boozer is owed $32.1 million over the next two seasons, an anchor-load of cash under the new CBA, but at least (unlike some amnesty candidates) he's still productive -- he averaged 16.2 points and 9.8 rebounds in 32 minutes per game last year, and he's missed a combined three games in the past two seasons. Lol for those who saw my mix up they know this isn't the first time Boozer has looked noticeably thinner. I like the idea of speeding things up. Didn't Boozer slim down quite a bit during the lockout too? We don't want him to turn into Chris Bosh...

He was one of the best setup men in baseball for a good 3 year stretch (08-10). He's also probably the best reclamation project for Don Cooper and one of the best trades KW ever made.

QUOTE (greg775 @ Jul 12, 2013 -> 11:50 PM) I'm not expecting much for Crain at all. The guy is on the DL. The guy is aging. The guy is a free agent after the season. The guy can't close. Yes, his scoreless innings streak was INCREDIBLE. I applaud him, but I think we'll get two prospects of the Jacobs variety. What do you expect for Crain? Jesse Crain has a 0.72 ERA and the peripherals to back a lot of it up. You're not going to get a B+ or A prospect for him (well, maybe you can, depending on how desperate the team is), but he should fetch you at least 1 good B prospect. Matt Thronton is older than Crain, also an FA after the season, and also can't close. His numbers were meh and his peripherals sucked. Yet we still got a C/C+ prospect for him. You'd think Crain would fetch a lot more.

It's a little early to judge. His numbers just look weird at this point. He's not going to hit .342 (obviously). He's not going to only walk 3% of the time (god I hope not). And the power will come back eventually. Gordon's had notoriously low BABIPs in his career and some of that had to do with luck and some of it had to do with his batted ball rates. Perhaps this new approach has changed that.

QUOTE (greg775 @ Jul 12, 2013 -> 11:35 PM) Yes, scary. But you must admit Thornton wasn't exactly effective and he was only going to get worse. Great post, Harry. How can you say we got good value? This guy we got is a total longshot. Granted, I'd rather acquire a hitter than a pitcher, but Jacobs is not exactly a prime prospect. You were expecting a great prospect for Matt Thornton? If this is what we got in return for Jesse Crain, I'd be pissed. But Matt Thornton's kind of bad now.

Pretty good value for someone who's now a overpaid mediocre reliever.

QUOTE (Jenksismyb**** @ Jul 11, 2013 -> 04:19 PM) Eh, how do you define good? Outside of the lottery, Butler and Taj are your only good picks late. Year Lg Rd Pk Player 2013 NBA 1 20 Tony Snell 2013 NBA 2 49 Erik Murphy Year Lg Rd Pk Player 2012 NBA 1 29 Marquis Teague Year Lg Rd Pk Player 2011 NBA 1 28 Norris Cole 2011 NBA 1 30 Jimmy Butler 2011 NBA 2 43 Malcolm Lee Year Lg Rd Pk Player 2010 NBA 1 17 Kevin Seraphin Year Lg Rd Pk Player 2009 NBA 1 16 James Johnson 2009 NBA 1 26 Taj Gibson Year Lg Rd Pk Player 2008 NBA 1 1 Derrick Rose 2008 NBA 2 39 Sonny Weems Year Lg Rd Pk Player 2007 NBA 1 9 Joakim Noah 2007 NBA 2 49 Aaron Gray 2007 NBA 2 51 JamesOn Curry Year Lg Rd Pk Player 2006 NBA 1 2 LaMarcus Aldridge 2006 NBA 1 16 Rodney Carney Year Lg Rd Pk Player 2004 NBA 1 3 Ben Gordon 2004 NBA 2 31 Jackson Vroman 2004 NBA 2 38 Chris Duhon Year Lg Rd Pk Player 2003 NBA 1 7 Kirk Hinrich 2003 NBA 2 36 Mario Austin 2003 NBA 2 45 Matt Bonner 2003 NBA 2 53 Tommy Smith Year Lg Rd Pk Player 2002 NBA 1 2 Jay Williams 2002 NBA 2 30 Roger Mason 2002 NBA 2 43 Lonny Baxter Year Lg Rd Pk Player 2001 NBA 1 4 Eddy Curry 2001 NBA 2 29 Trenton Hassell 2001 NBA 2 44 Sean Lampley Year Lg Rd Pk Player 2000 NBA 1 4 Marcus Fizer 2000 NBA 1 7 Chris Mihm 2000 NBA 1 24 Dalibor Bagaric Holy s*** that's bad.