he hit 17 in only 280 ABs last year
maybe 27HR is a reach, but given that he is the primary DH and backup outfielder, he should get at least 400 AB when healthy, so i would say he is a lock for at least 20 HRs
the main problem for the sox is they do not have many good contact hitters outside of beckham, the poor contact hitters in jones, vizquel, teahen, and konerko is the major reason why they could lose out to the twinkies this year