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thxfrthmmrs

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  1. Org rankings aren’t the most accurate valuation, but Adam’s is their 8th ranked prospect, and Vielma has been one of their more impressive DSL guys at only 16. Awful value to get someone who benefited from the Coors effect two years ago but otherwise can’t hit or stay healthy.
  2. You’re confused why people are upset at trading for a pick to pick a guy whose 90 percentile outcome in 3 years is where Gonzo is as a prospect right now?
  3. Sounds to me Hicks is gone at TDL if he bounces back, so they could get out of that $12M for next season.
  4. Popped over to the RS forum to see what their fans think of the trade, and TIL that their forum is called TalkSox.
  5. I did see those same tweets last night, but as I said he could have checked with his sources after article came out and did in fact had contacted Imai in the last 24 hrs, same way they did with Mune with his window closing. He likely then go more details on the terms Imai/Boras was looking for and that JR won’t likely go for those, then backtracking his original tweet. There are ppl vouching for this guy so I would assume guys like Jimmy knows he has legit connections that he could reach out to even late on NYE. Again, if I’m posing as an insider, I would be a much more interesting follow by fanning the smoke on a potential signing than squashing rumors from other outlets.
  6. Fake insiders would speculate Sox landing someone and hope to be right rather than disputing potential FA signings. The guy seems legit but he probably got wind late last night that Sox did check in on Imai in the last 24 hours and thought there’s a chance, only to then find out they’re not going to make any offers.
  7. I think it’s a no brainer if the Sox could get Imai on a 3-4 year deal. If Imai performs like an ace atop this rotation this would be a fun team to watch.
  8. Not that the Dodgers need any help financially, but Benintendi for Treinen or Tanner Scott would make sense here.
  9. This deal pretty suggests Sox have to eat half of Benintendi’s salary to get rid of him.
  10. I’d rather suffer through 60 games of Derek Hill starting at CF than 160.
  11. Let me check my notes… if Sox trade Robert the next man up is Derek Hill. No thanks.
  12. We don’t have a lot of data point yet, but the new lottery system SHOULD at least disincentivize teams for being bad for consecutive years. Pirates and ATH saw 19 and 14 win increases the following season after being ineligible for lottery the following season, and that’s without significant payroll increase. If they choose to spend and address a couple areas of weaknesses I think the likelihood of .500 ball is higher than those numbers would suggest.
  13. That’s fair on the statistical win rate post ASB. However I do think there is a quite a bit of difference between fielding a team of rookies just getting called up and guys knowing there is not much to play for with two months left on the season vs guys who are a bit more experienced, acclimated to the big leagues, and being on a roster that could compete and play winning baseball. As for what a “competitive roster” looks like, I think that would be another impactful signing or two on SP, RP, and cutting down on the number of guys (2 Rule 5 picks, likes of Mead, Hill, Pereira) auditioning for roster spots. I made this post fully know how Jerry operates, and throwing another $30M on the 2026 team just to get to .500 may not be the best ROI financially for him and his investors, so it may just be wishful thinking.
  14. From a WAR perspective, the collective output of some of the worst bats who saw considerable playing time - Vaughn, Rojas, Palacios, Amaya put up a whopping -6.0 WAR, while Civale and Cannon accounted for another -1.0 WAR on the starting pitching side. Replacing those with Murakami, and current projected bench players Sosa, Lee, Hill who all were on positive side of the WAR ledger, along with Kay who should at least be better than Civale or Cannon, could be a 10 WAR swing in itself. What I had noted in the OP, beyond Kay, we need a solid #2 or 3 type of guy along with another late inning high leverage arm to make this at least a respectable staff. Of course, a bit part of getting back to playing winning baseball would rely some of the other young, core guys taking another step forward, and building a winning and competitive culture in the clubhouse to maximize the talent on the roster. This to me would be the biggest factor in how fast this team can get back on track. I was using the 2022 Orioles as an example, but of course that level of win increase doesn’t happen often. However I do see the pieces being in place along with 1 or 2 more key FA additions that could make it a possibility.
  15. Don’t see the need to trade Sosa or Benintendi. Mead, Lee, Hill, Pereira has the makings of worst bench offense in the league. Having flexibility of Sosa getting to play 5 days a week and playing matchups, getting guys days off, backfilling for injuries would be hugely important for this team.

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