QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Jul 22, 2014 -> 10:37 AM)
Not at all. Guys outperform their FIPs all the time, especially soft-tossers. Buehrle's career ERA of 3.80 - a difference of .32 - is not significantly different. It's not a stretch to assume that Milone could put up an ERA of 3.75-4.00, especially considering his FIP this year appears inflated overall (career FIP 4.14/xFIP 4.20 in 468.2 IP).
Even so, are people here really THAT opposed to acquiring a guy that could put up a 4.25-4.50 ERA who is entering his prime and under team control for the next 3 years?
I know it's not significantly different. I'd expect that to change. Per DRS, Buehrle has saved over 7 runs over average per season. Milone has a little over 1 per.
Buehre has allowed a stolen base once every 52 innings. Milone once every 21.
That's two pretty damn good reasons why Buehrle significantly overperforms his peripherals. What's the reason for Milone?
And fwiw, Milone in the minors:
2008 - FIP: 3.26, ERA: 3.51
2009 - FIP: 2.59, ERA: 2.89
2010 - FIP: 3.53, ERA: 2.91
2011 - FIP: 2.28, ERA: 3.22
I'm not even saying he wouldn't be nice to have, I'm commenting solely on the use of Buerhle in terms of judging peripherals.