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Midterms 2018

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4 hours ago, pettie4sox said:

If JB does that, it will help the state tremendously!   If you have the other states rolling into Illinois to smoke dope, that's good for the economy.  It's on the ballot in Michigan and Missouri... Illinois needs to be the first.

Good for economy, bad for healthcare.

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  • LittleHurt05
    LittleHurt05

    No matter what the election results are tonight, we are all winners tomorrow, because we no longer have to watch those disgusting, shaming, polarizing political ads on TV anymore.  Everyone has just t

  • I'm curious to know how many votes the Nazi running against Dan Lipinski gets. He will almost certainly lose big, but he should be getting *zero* votes.

  • Harry Chappas
    Harry Chappas

    The governor race in Illinois is going to keep me from voting.....I voted for Trump because i disliked Hillary, don't regret as I really detested Hillary but I am not going to do it again....I actuall

4 hours ago, LittleHurt05 said:

No matter what the election results are tonight, we are all winners tomorrow, because we no longer have to watch those disgusting, shaming, polarizing political ads on TV anymore.  Everyone has just turned to shame tactics to try and win votes.

oh yeah. Agreed.

55 minutes ago, Soxbadger said:

Its over, Republicans have won Indiana. :D

I’m confused.

Just now, The Beast said:

I’m confused.

Its a joke. Indianas deep red are the first to report so the whole map is red. 

1 minute ago, Soxbadger said:

Its a joke. Indianas deep red are the first to report so the whole map is red. 

Oh, gotcha. Yeah, Braun is already in the lead but I have no idea what precincts are reporting and 10% of precincts are reporting.

39 minutes ago, ptatc said:

Good for economy, bad for healthcare.

How so? (Not sure if serious)

Just now, raBBit said:

How so? (Not sure if serious)

Ptatc has talked a lot about marijuana and heart disease. But generally smoking likely bad for health compared to not smoking.

Different argunent would be if smoking replaced alcohol and opiates.

6 minutes ago, Soxbadger said:

Ptatc has talked a lot about marijuana and heart disease. But generally smoking likely bad for health compared to not smoking.

Different argunent would be if smoking replaced alcohol and opiates.

So the implication would be that marijuana users are increasing their risk to heart disease?

Really strange results so far...nobody expected Wexton (D) to be up 17% on Comstock in VA, but Donnelly being down almost 16% against Braun (even if it's only 25% reporting) in Indiana is a bit of a shocker as well.

By the end of the evening, a 53-47 split in the Senate wouldn't be much of a shock.

Winning ND is long gone.  TN, Texas seem like long shots at best.  Missouri could go either way, just like NV and AZ.

8 minutes ago, raBBit said:

So the implication would be that marijuana users are increasing their risk to heart disease?

I think he specifically referenced heart attack, but im going entirely off of memory.

Also, does anyone want to venture a guess that the Georgia and/or Florida governor's races aren't resolved tonight?

Florida with Gillum leading slightly (1.8%) with 35.4% in.

 

Roughly 40% of the electorate (national) is describing themselves as independent.

14 minutes ago, Soxbadger said:

I think he specifically referenced heart attack, but im going entirely off of memory.

Interesting. I have never heard anything of the like. Would be interested in hearing @ptatc expound on that.

Was going to say beato was my upset pick, but now wont look as cool.

Hell still probably lose but id love to see cruz sweat.

Just when you think Illinois has hit rock bottom, JB happens. Amazing.

41 minutes ago, Soxbadger said:

I think he specifically referenced heart attack, but im going entirely off of memory.

What about edibles?

VA 2 and 7 are the next dominoes to fall.

Otoh, the GOP has kept Barr's seat and another key VA race, so it's not going to be a blue wave.  Net is +2 so far.

Things looking pretty grim for Donnelly and Abrams, Nelson and Gillum could go either way in FLA.  Also a bit surprised by the margins in the TN Senate race, Bredesen was expected to be within at least 5%.

 

An O'Rourke win in Texas (still highly unlikely) and he becomes the temporary favorite for the Dems in 2020.

Edited by caulfield12

Seems like they're heading for 223-227 in the House (218 for majority).

Most optimistically, they were initially looking at 235-240.   Trump will be able to tout his Senate holds, even though more and more of the governorship's and state legislatures are trending in the Dem column.

 

With Donnelly losing to Braun, all Senate hopes are already extinguished before they even got started.

 

And, if Nelson and Gillum both lose in FL, that's a HUGE break for Trump's 2020 chances.  He absolutely has to win FL/OH...because WI/PA/MI/IA are going to be much harder gets the second time around.

 

Another fascinating subplot....Kansas, Maine, South Dakota are all trending Dem (so far) for governor, any of those three going that direction would be pretty darned surprising.   Wisconsin and Ohio continue to be the two races (after FL and GA) that everyone's closely monitoring.

Edited by caulfield12

2 hours ago, raBBit said:

So the implication would be that marijuana users are increasing their risk to heart disease?

Direct quote from PTATC: "So if you smoke pot you will have a heart attack."

 

 

Edited by Leonard Zelig

That would be the thread I remember.

Kobach lost in Kansas...a decent-sized surprise.

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1 hour ago, LittleHurt05 said:

Just when you think Illinois has hit rock bottom, JB happens. Amazing.

Well maybe Rauner shouldn't have sucked as a governor?

 

EDIT: Rated R to rated PG

Edited by pettie4sox

Pettie, don't get the thread closed, lol...

 

In the battlefield (vulnerable GOP) House races, the Dems are up 12-9 so far, with PA-14 and potentially NJ-5 the only ones that look like they could be going the other direction.

Net House pickup is 12 seats, so far.  PA has been a wipe-out for the GOP, compared to the last few elections...GOP can take solace in FL, Georgia, Indiana, ND.   Losing PA is also going to make winning it in 2020 for Trump a huge hill to climb (twice).

Trump will still be able to declare victory...especially if Gillum and Abrams both lose their races.  It means we'll see more of the same for the next two years (immigration/identity-based politics).

 

Knocking off Scott Walker and Kobach is a SMALL consolation for Dems.  The bloom is already off the Walker rose, after 2016.

Cruz just knocked off O'Rourke.  Beto's still got a puncher's chance in 2020 if he can figure out how to tack towards the middle and off his extremely progressive views (which never had a chance in a statewide Texas race, but would play much better in a Dem primary assuming he's not hemmed in by Sanders/Warren/K.Harris).  Feel that Sanders won't run again, but we'll just have to wait and see.

Edited by caulfield12

President O'Rourke will have to do, then.

Things are looking up for Reddy in Iowa.

It would be a shock if King lost (losing to Scholten in the early going), but the other three seats and governor could all go back to the Dems by the end of the night.

1 hour ago, caulfield12 said:

VA 2 and 7 are the next dominoes to fall.

Otoh, the GOP has kept Barr's seat and another key VA race, so it's not going to be a blue wave.  Net is +2 so far.

Things looking pretty grim for Donnelly and Abrams, Nelson and Gillum could go either way in FLA.  Also a bit surprised by the margins in the TN Senate race, Bredesen was expected to be within at least 5%.

 

An O'Rourke win in Texas (still highly unlikely) and he becomes the temporary favorite for the Dems in 2020.

I’m not surprised that the Senate went towards the GOP after Kavanaugh’s nomination. Casten looks to be unseating Roskam. Suburban voters seem to be rejecting Trump in the Midwest. A blue wave in the house but interesting gubernatorial outcomes. At least I feel like I have more representation even if Rauner lost.

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