August 6, 201015 yr QUOTE (Princess Dye @ Aug 5, 2010 -> 10:40 PM) I think we're five behind TB? Yeah, I've been watching this myself. I would like to get into the WC race a bit just to have a backup plan in case Minny goes off the charts and wins 40 of 56 or something. If we keep playing well, I figure we can get into this WC race by the end of the month...
August 6, 201015 yr I still see no way the WC isn't going to Tampa Bay or the Yankees. Whomever doesn't win that division.
August 6, 201015 yr QUOTE (J.Reedfan8 @ Aug 5, 2010 -> 10:57 PM) I still see no way the WC isn't going to Tampa Bay or the Yankees. Whomever doesn't win that division. We are coming, my friend...
August 6, 201015 yr QUOTE (J.Reedfan8 @ Aug 5, 2010 -> 10:57 PM) I still see no way the WC isn't going to Tampa Bay or the Yankees. Whomever doesn't win that division. Well how many more times do they play each other?
August 6, 201015 yr QUOTE (iamshack @ Aug 5, 2010 -> 10:57 PM) We are coming, my friend... Hey, if the catwalk in their stadium continues to screw over Tampa, then I'm all for it. QUOTE (Jerksticks @ Aug 5, 2010 -> 10:58 PM) Well how many more times do they play each other? 7 more times. And that won't be till mid September. On the flip side, we play Minnesota 9 more times. Edited August 6, 201015 yr by J.Reedfan8
August 6, 201015 yr QUOTE (J.Reedfan8 @ Aug 5, 2010 -> 11:00 PM) Hey, if the catwalk in their stadium continues to screw over Tampa, then I'm all for it. 7 more times. And that won't be till mid September. That's the A ring to you, buddy. We will likely be struggling a bit too in mid September...but if we can go 33-21, we may be able to sneak in there...
August 6, 201015 yr The real hidden juice is BOSTON, guys. Boston needs to take 7 of the remaining 10 with NY, and 4 of 6 against the Rays. Tampa has 7 left with the Yanks. One team just needs to beat the other 6/7 times.
August 6, 201015 yr QUOTE (Greg Hibbard @ Aug 6, 2010 -> 11:21 AM) The real hidden juice is BOSTON, guys. This just doesn't look like the Bosox's year. Especially now with Youk lost for the season, I don't see it happening.
August 6, 201015 yr QUOTE (PlaySumFnJurny @ Aug 6, 2010 -> 11:32 AM) This just doesn't look like the Bosox's year. Especially now with Youk lost for the season, I don't see it happening. I feel really bad for the Boston Red Cubs.
August 6, 201015 yr QUOTE (PlaySumFnJurny @ Aug 6, 2010 -> 11:32 AM) This just doesn't look like the Bosox's year. Especially now with Youk lost for the season, I don't see it happening. Pretty sure you misunderstood his post, he meant for boston to beat the Yankme's and Rays to add losses to their record
August 6, 201015 yr QUOTE (Real @ Aug 6, 2010 -> 11:50 AM) Pretty sure you misunderstood his post, he meant for boston to beat the Yankme's and Rays to add losses to their record Yes. Let me clarify - Boston is good enough to be a serious spoiler, and all division rivals are always a threat even if they have no shot to win the division. If Boston gets hot against its two rivals, the central could come into the WC picture, especially if the Sox and Twins stay hot.
August 6, 201015 yr QUOTE (Greg Hibbard @ Aug 6, 2010 -> 12:19 PM) Yes. Let me clarify - Boston is good enough to be a serious spoiler, and all division rivals are always a threat even if they have no shot to win the division. If Boston gets hot against its two rivals, the central could come into the WC picture, especially if the Sox and Twins stay hot. It's possible but the Indians and Royals are just as likely to cool us off at times as well as the Twins. Just look at our division record.
August 6, 201015 yr QUOTE (BigSqwert @ Aug 6, 2010 -> 12:22 PM) It's possible but the Indians and Royals are just as likely to cool us off at times as well as the Twins. Just look at our division record. I have more faith we'll beat the Indians and Royals for a couple reasons: 1) even without Youk, the Red Sox are a wayyyy better team than either the Royals or Indians, and should have a greater degree of expected success against the yanks and rays 2) Our Sox are playing like a way different team now than they were when they were scuffling against the Indians earlier this season Also, the weak spot in the Yanks is the starting rotation...I could see them getting lit up a few times.
August 8, 201015 yr QUOTE (iamshack @ Aug 8, 2010 -> 04:08 AM) 4 games back of the wild card leader, Tampa I would be amazed (delightfully) if the wild card came out of the central! Screw the AL East! Seems like a distinct possibility, too, with how hot both our division leaders have been.
August 8, 201015 yr Funny thing about the Rays, on May 20th they were 30-11. Since that time they are only 5 over .500 and seem to be falling. I really don't know if the Rays are better than the Sox and Twins right now.
August 8, 201015 yr Its funny how this Wild Card thought goes....its almost more of an accomplishment thinking about winning the Wild Card than it is to win the Central.
August 9, 201015 yr Rays lose 5th in a row, so we stay 4 back....have to have a good week this week for many reasons.
August 9, 201015 yr Ok guys, some (hugely crude, probably mathematically wonky) analysis: Tampa Bay went 30-11 to start the season (.732), against teams with a weighted winning percentage of .476 (as of August 9th) The Rays then went 37-33 (.529) over their next 70 games against teams with a weighted winning percentage of .521 The final 51 games the Rays play are against teams with a weighted winning percentage of .490. This is largely due to 9 of those games vs. Baltimore. .476...... .490 ....... .521 .732...... (x) .......... .529 x would be equivalent to an "expected" winning percentage of .663 in their final 51 games (.490 is 31% of the way between .476 and .521, discounting 31% of the distance between 732 and .529 from .732 would be .663) Therefore, we can expect the Rays to go 34-17 the rest of the way, and win 101 total games. Edited August 9, 201015 yr by Greg Hibbard
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.