High risk of tornadoes?

Severe, f*** you weather.

If you remember that "Derecho" last year, the gigantic storm that started in Michigan and wound up damaging DC, basically that except with tornadoes.

If you remember that "Derecho" last year, the gigantic storm that started in Michigan and wound up damaging DC, basically that except with tornadoes.

Tennessee sounds pretty nice right about now.

Just in case anyone would be helped by the official text from NOAA, here it is:

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1155 AM CDT WED JUN 12 2013

 

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EAST TO THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT

LAKES THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

 

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE

DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW STRONG TORNADOES

OVER PARTS OF THE PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EAST TO

THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES THIS AFTERNOON AND

TONIGHT.

 

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

 

EXTREME EASTERN IOWA

NORTHERN ILLINOIS

NORTHERN INDIANA

NORTHWEST OHIO

 

ELSEWHERE...SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM PORTIONS OF THE

MID-ATLANTIC STATES INTO THE SOUTHEAST U.S.

 

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY THIS AFTERNOON

OVER PORTIONS OF IOWA...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN

WITH A THREAT FOR TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. SOME OF

THE TORNADOES MAY BE STRONG. WITH TIME...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED

TO DEVELOP INTO A FAST-MOVING SQUALL LINE WITH THE PRIMARY THREATS

BEING WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND EMBEDDED TORNADOES. A FEW WIND

GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 75 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE LINE OF

THUNDERSTORMS MOVES RAPIDLY EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES AND

OHIO VALLEY REGION THIS EVENING.

 

ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP EASTWARD ALONG A FRONTAL

BOUNDARY INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION WITH A THREAT FOR DAMAGING

WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

High risk of tornadoes?

 

There is a high risk of severe storms, meaning that if you are in the pink area, you are almost certainly going to see 40+ mph winds and lots of lightning. Chances of hail and tornadoes are also decent. Tornado chances are highest for places that are wherever the line of storms happens to be during the hottest parts of the day, which appears to be far northwestern IL and the eastern 2/3 of Iowa.

So, what about rain totals?

So, what about rain totals?

I think the concern is lost wall and roof totals.

So, what about rain totals?

Depends on how it forms/shapes up. These things will dump large amounts of rain in short periods of time, but they can also move quickly. I don't know how you'd predict the rate its going to move at until it starts forming.

 

Flooding certainly possible, several inches possible if things are slow enough.

Well, this seems like it is going to be a wonderful night.

Edited June 12, 201312 yr by GoSox05

Well, this seems like it is going to be a wonderful night.

I woke up this morning just wondering if I'd go to the bar or not.

I woke up this morning just wondering if I'd go to the bar or not.

 

I need to find a bar with a generator.

I woke up this morning just wondering if I'd go to the bar or not.

 

Going to a bar a couple hundred miles either north or south of you would be a good plan.

Have tickets to sox game, wondering how early they will call it if things are supposed to be this bad.

Have tickets to sox game, wondering how early they will call it if things are supposed to be this bad.

Well. You can assume that game isn't happening.

Pssh, the Sox won't call it until they get 10k people to show up and buy beer while walking around the concourse. That's happened to me twice.

 

I'm concerned because we got water in our basement earlier this year when we had like 3 days of straight rain and my sump burned up. I think we ended up getting like 8-9 inches of rain and the ground was totally saturated though. If we get damaging winds and the power goes out, i'm f***ed. I might go buy a generator after work just to make sure my sump pump stays on.

Have tickets to sox game, wondering how early they will call it if things are supposed to be this bad.

 

Unfortunately the stuff isn't supposed to get that far East until evening so I highly doubt they call it early. I fear that this thing is going to hit with force right around game time.

 

What they should have done is decided last night to move the game up to 2pm this afternoon and give all the fans who couldn't go a chance to exchange tickets for a future game.

Pssh, the Sox won't call it until they get 10k people to show up and buy beer while walking around the concourse. That's happened to me twice.

 

I'm concerned because we got water in our basement earlier this year when we had like 3 days of straight rain and my sump burned up. I think we ended up getting like 8-9 inches of rain and the ground was totally saturated though. If we get damaging winds and the power goes out, i'm f***ed. I might go buy a generator after work just to make sure my sump pump stays on.

 

A storm like this packing 50+ mph winds isn't going to be in any one place long enough to dump 8-9 inches of rain, but 3+ inches isn't out of the question.

 

Have tickets to sox game, wondering how early they will call it if things are supposed to be this bad.

Zero reason to even head to the Cell. Stay home, watch the Hawks - game is on NBC!

The sox game has just been canceled.

First tornado watch of the day is out:

 

Iowa counties:

ALLAMAKEE BENTON BLACK HAWK

BREMER BUCHANAN BUTLER

CEDAR CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW

CLAYTON CLINTON DELAWARE

DUBUQUE FAYETTE FLOYD

FRANKLIN GRUNDY HAMILTON

HANCOCK HARDIN HOWARD

IOWA JACKSON JOHNSON

JONES LINN MITCHELL

MUSCATINE SCOTT TAMA

WINNEBAGO WINNESHIEK WORTH

WRIGHT

 

Illinois Counties:

BOONE BUREAU CARROLL

DE KALB HENRY JO DAVIESS

LA SALLE LEE OGLE

PUTNAM ROCK ISLAND STEPHENSON

WHITESIDE WINNEBAGO

 

Wisconsin Counties:

CRAWFORD DANE GRANT

GREEN IOWA JEFFERSON

LAFAYETTE RICHLAND ROCK

SAUK VERNON WALWORTH

 

Areas south and east of this probably get added later on this afternoon

Well congrats weather team, you've successfully fear-mongered me into buying a generator. Just have to hope the power stays on long enough for me to pick it up after work and get it going.

Well congrats weather team, you've successfully fear-mongered me into buying a generator. Just have to hope the power stays on long enough for me to pick it up after work and get it going.

Grainger.com

I had some minor water damage due to the last big storm in April. Now every storm that comes has me freaking out.

I'm going to be driving right into this.

Grainger.com

Grainger's website needs to be more like McMaster's