Even after the WAR is accumulated, not even just estimated, it could mean anything. I read a thing where the Orioles won 16 games more than they should have in 2012 and the Red Sox lost 10 more games than they should have based on their WAR in 2012.

Edited December 12, 201411 yr by Dick Allen

No kidding! Robertson, Duke and LaRoche only amount to four wins? That's harsh.

 

Like others have said, take it with a grain of salt.

Shark alone should account for a 4 win improvement. I also think Sanchez is more than capable of putting up 2014 Omar Infante type numbers, which should make put the Sox at league average for the position. Also, IF Flowers is able to replicate his 2014 season, Sox are league average at catcher assuming Nieto shows some improvement. LF is the glaring "black hole" on the current roster but I think will be addressed before opening day.

a real bullpen in 2015 anchored by a real closer will translate into more than 4 wins alone. From this story it seems yhe Debbie Downers are already out

I would even say 4 wins is being conservative

Until the roster is finalized, it's hard to give a final prediction but this has the looks of a 82-85 win team. I think KC and Detroit both take a small step back this year. If everything goes right, Sox may be competing for a playoff spot but they need health and career years from a handful of guys

Until the roster is finalized, it's hard to give a final prediction but this has the looks of a 82-85 win team. I think KC and Detroit both take a small step back this year. If everything goes right, Sox may be competing for a playoff spot but they need health and career years from a handful of guys

This is exactly how I feel right now. To me the best hope seems to be Avisail making a leap but I don't know how likely that is.

I appreciate the value of advanced metrics in evaluating individual players, but I really don't think it works well to just add every player's projected WAR together and think that's going to be a team's projected win total. The whole is often greater than (or less than) the sum of the parts.

Long way to go, but how many runs would this team score with 100% health?

 

Eaton

Ramirez

Abreu

LaRoche

Garcia

Gillaspie/Davidson

Viciedo/Danks

Flowers/Brantly

Johnson/Sanchez

 

Here is another thing to think about that this projected war its now with current players. It's only Dec 12. Still a 115 days to opening day for the sox and every other team. Alot can change between now and then. No body knows who the opening day team is even going to look like.

Edited December 12, 201411 yr by WhiteSoxLifer

I prefer the way you look at it.

 

me too..

 

Sox in '15.