chitownsportsfan

QUOTE (Dunt @ Apr 14, 2017 -> 02:23 PM) He has a .565 BABIP Fair enough, but that's the result of good contact. It's not sustainable obviously, but if he keeps hitting the ball hard his BABIP should be around 330 at the end of the year. It's SSS to be sure, but it's also fun to speculate on message boards.

First, here is what is usually accepted as "stabilized" sample sizes for various metrics. The only stat we can say with any degree of confidence soon (next 7 or so games) that has "stabilized" will be K rate. So let's start with that. Avi's K rate is down to 20.6%. This is by far the lowest rate of his career and is a good, positive sign for him. It's down over 5% from last year. Avi has currently only about 40 balls in play, so in another two weeks or so of games we can talk more assuredly about his GB/FB tendencies but since this is SSS theater let's talk about them anyways: he's again moved in a positive direction. His GB% is down to 37.5%, that's a whopping decrease from his 55% last year. His pulled ball rate is up to 41.7%, and lord knows all of us have been wanting to see him for years to start pulling the ball with more authority. His walk rate is down a bit to 5.9% but Avi will never be a guy that relies on walks for value, he needs to crush baseballs and make pitchers throw him strikes. On that path, he's doing well. His outside zone swinging is down to 33.3%. When they do throw him stirkes, he's swinging at more of them, at 77.6% and he's making better contact overall, at 75.4% of swings. Defensively, he's basically same old same old. But, he's still been worth .5 WAR because of his hot start with the bat. I don't think there's any doubt that most Sox fans would be content if Avi just turned into a 2 WAR regular. That would mean a slash line of 280/330/460 or so over 140+ games. Can he do it? Not sure. From watching the games he certainly appears to be swinging a quicker bat, and his approach has been better as well. I'll keep this thread updated throughout the next couple months when he reaches the sample sizes for more "stabilization". For now, mostly what we can do is just hope this isn't a fluke. Here's his fangraphs page where I got all the data.

QUOTE (mataipaepae @ Apr 14, 2017 -> 01:53 PM) What does white have anything to do with it? yea not going to bother answering this. Figure out the demographics of SP in MLB yourself. Then look up the meaning of generic.

QUOTE (bmags @ Apr 14, 2017 -> 01:03 PM) I'd like to see Omar play as much as he can. He calls an interesting game and I think he just needs lots of reps. Only complain with him is the framing but if he hits like this I'll live with it.

I saw Covey in spring. He is literally the generic right handed AAAA SP. He's Caucasian, about 6'2, maybe 200 lbs wet. He throws his heater about 89-92. He has a mediocre curve and a mediocre at best changeup. His control is mediocre to poor and his command is mediocre. He has no out pitch at the MLB level and will rely quite a bit on defense and ground balls if he's to have any success tonight. Good luck dude. It might be a very long night. Hopefully in a month he's replaced either by Rodon or Lopez. I believe the super 2 deadline is May 13th this year.

Without going into Jason verse Hawk, I just want to point out that Hawk can't see the ball anymore. On Anderson's HR stone practically had to remind Hawk to call it. I don't think Hawk had any clue where that ball was. On the play Garcia made the baserunning blooper it was obviously a sinking line drive that would probably fall (we couldn't see the OF positioning on TV) but Hawk, in his grumpy voice calls it as "and there's a ball out to LF...it falls!" No s*** it fell. It's really no wonder he doesn't want to talk about the game in front of him, he can't f***ing see it.

QUOTE (flavum @ Apr 13, 2017 -> 04:00 PM) AJ made too much money to make 40 flights and stay in hotels 90-100 days a year just to be a color guy. He's a network guy, and he'll be great. Yup, and AJ is very good on TV.

damn renteria and joe coaching the s*** out of Garcia and TA on the replay I'm watching. Nice! Not yelling but teaching. Such a f***ing nice change of pace from the limp Ventura.

QUOTE (ChiSox59 @ Apr 13, 2017 -> 09:45 PM) Far more enjoyable than Bennetti comedy hour(s). I can tolerate Benetti, at least he lets Stone talk.

Good job boys.

QUOTE (JoshPR @ Apr 13, 2017 -> 09:41 PM) Wish Kahnle could be consistent.. pumping grade A fuel tonight If anybody can harness this dude, it's cooper.

Tribe announcers: 'this davidson kid can swing the bat". lol. Let's hope he keeps it up.

QUOTE (flavum @ Apr 13, 2017 -> 09:28 PM) The little I've watched live, it's unbearable. The fact that he can't see the ball is bad enough, the constant rambling makes it intolerable IMO. He just sounds miserable. He sucks the joy out watching the game.

I can't listen to hawk, switching to Tribe feed. Jesus TALK ABOUT THE CURRENT TEAM.

It's nice having Sanchez at 2B he's a smooth fielder. Might be a worthwhile piece to keep around.

If you had Matt Davidson and Avi with 8 RBI on April 13th, pat yourself on the back.

Well this is fun.

now that is great baserunning! Good job Melkman!

QUOTE (fathom @ Apr 13, 2017 -> 09:11 PM) Some bad fundamentals by the team so far this year Somehow, the talent is papering over the mistakes

We'll take it! Good hustle Anderson.

should be AT WORST based loaded one out, FFS.

god damnit sox.

what awful f***ing baserunning WTF

so stupid to ask him to bunt.

What's got into this bunch today? Looking good boys!