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Everything posted by chitownsportsfan
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I just read the article and it appears to obliquely credit his improved BABIP with his now more optimal launch angle. They buried the lede imo. He's making about the same contact he did last year but his BABIP is up 60 points. Some of it is no doubt due to hitting less grounders. The closer I read that article the more I realize how bad it is: Ok, well... So his BABIP is at a career high, so is his launch angle, but alternative explanations. Fuck man. Not dogging you for linkin' it (in fact god bless you for passing 5 minutes at work for me) but that journalism is crap. Bayes rolls over in his grave at this inductive process.
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You should trust the opinion of arguably the best medical staff in MLB. @ptatc knows his shit but last time I checked he hasn't personally evaluated Dunning's elbow and consulted with the Sox' medical team on a course of action.
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Nah, there's a good chance he can avoid surgery otherwise they wouldn't be advising this plan. The last thing they want to do is perform TJ on a guy that doesn't need it. 6-8 weeks is nothing when the timetable is 18 months with surgery.
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Promotions/Releases/Demotions of Sox System
chitownsportsfan replied to GenericUserName's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Great to see Lambert going against tougher competition now. As an older guy (for a recent draftee) you'd like to see him continue to excel and push for a spring training invite next year. Been said many times but the depth in the system is really showing through. Five years ago a guy like Lambert would probably enter next year top 10 in the org. -
oops, I meant to post 138, glanced over his fangraphs page a bit too quickly there. Anyways, his slump is coming at a really awful time. Recency bias will be a thing for any club scouting him. It's a pretty shit environment to try and trade him anyways with the AL looking so top heavy and the NL clubs only able to use him at 1B. Unless some club just bowls Hahn over with an offer (and I'm not sure what that would even look like other than it would include a top 100 league wide prospect) there's not much point in trading him IMO.
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And when you ignore his positional adjustment and negative defensive value you're really rejecting a substantial part of his value. It is what it is man. Fans love to over rate corner sluggers. For years GMs did as well. Those days are over.
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I mean I don't really have a strong position here either way but his rookie year is clearly an outlier. His career wRC+ of 136 has come in a career in which he's produced exactly one season above a wRC+ of 136 -- his rookie year. I don't really see any reason we should weight that year equally with his more recent ones or this one.
