Balta1701

Yeah that's just not happening.

If you're in the World Series and suddenly half the opposing team is under a 14 day quarantine, does that change anything?

See I'm the opposite. I know there are teams like the Nationals last year who go 27-33 (Yes that was their record after 60 games) who are really good, and you drop that team in the playoffs as a 14 seed and they might still put together a strong playoff run.

Guys who are free agents in the offseason.

I heard one of the ESPN baseball guys on my local radio this morning saying that he'll be excited if they actually can get through Spring Training, because with the way we've seen it hit so many open locker rooms already he didn't really believe that baseball could get through Spring Training without it becoming a major problem. I think that was a wise perspective, not getting your hopes up too much until you see how it works.

IT would have been really cool to have extra playoff rounds on this.

The South Korean model was everyone doing lunch silently in classrooms with plastic dividers between each desk.

Yup, swinging...far left by...nominating Biden?

Sigh. What exactly was outside the norm about the 44th president? I can think of specifically 1 thing.

Let's be honest, no we're not going to stop testing and identifying who is positive. The Federal government is useless, that's the end result of one party's political positions basically my whole lifetime, but that's not going to stop people from getting tests. It will make it harder for poor people or people with limited access to get tests, and that will encourage spreading, but that's again a consequence of believing poor people don't deserve health care. What's likely to happen is Texas, Arizona, Florida, and the other "open" southern states are going to keep having their outbreaks grow, and even if there are fewer tests among the low-income/minority population, the hospitalizations will keep growing until they all reach crisis levels in a few weeks, at which point those states start having no other choice but second lockdowns. These states will also seed new outbreaks across the country, so every state is going to have a problem to deal with. Then, after the next set of shutdowns, maybe, just maybe, at the state level, this fall, we can get these things under control once they've realized they can't just hope the thing away.

Dude, try a calculator. Math. Very basic. 0.3% = 0.003. 0.003 multiplied by 1200 is 3.6, not 1.

You've been tested today?

I think you can probably have schools open in a state like Illinois that has been responsible enough, but you're going to have to treat them almost like hospitals to make it work and I'm not sure that anyone's prepared for the resources it will take to make that happen. 2 additional points though. Texas, Florida, and Arizona among others aren't going to have a choice, they've created monstrous outbreaks that are going to keep growing the next few weeks...and then party on the 4th of July everyone! And second...Colleges are going to be a nightmare. Those students seem to spread much more rapidly than people a few years younger, and we're already seeing concentrated outbreaks in college areas with only a handful of students around.

I said this 2 months and 2 days ago, probably in this thread, when governor Coronavirus decided he was going to re-open Texas because case counts stayed low and he wanted praise from the President. If you're re-opening things, what is your strategy to avoid what is happening in Texas right now? You need to identify that first. If you're opening restaurants and the virus is spreading, then you're going to have spreading virus - you literally can't keep a mask on and eat food at the same time. Maybe you've got "masks everywhere, required everywhere possible, restaurants and bars all stay closed, and aggressive contact tracing ready to go right now" as your plan and that could be good enough, but basically, you can't open schools until you tell me how you're going to keep them from adding people to the chains (even if kids under 13 don't seem to be the likely super-spreaders). Hopefully the teachers unions remain real jerks about that too, because they should. They're literally being put in harms way if they don't have proper safety equipment. If you re-open things and you don't have that strategy in place already...well I can say hi from one of several examples of that.

From the stuff going around about the Health and Safety Protocols it sounds like they're going to have the players sitting in the ballpark seats rather than the dugout so that they can have some spread to the players during the games. So, having fans in there would be a real issue with that requirement.

They're also going to have to have options for what to do if there's an outbreak on the team and multiple guys need quarantined for several weeks. The talk a month ago was that they'd have an extra 20 players ready to go in case that happens, and Vaughn definitely belongs in that group if that's how it goes.

Somewhat nonsurprisingly, in fact not surprisingly at all, i've been sitting here watching people say their 30 year old healthy relative died from this on twitter and just waiting for someone (basically you, tinfoil hat person) to make this point. It's focused in people who have compounding issues, but if you take an average across the age group in the recent CDC data you can estimate a death rate for the 20-39 age group that covers MLB. Basically the rule with this bug seems to be once your lungs are fully developed the death rate is 0.45% (4 or more times the flu) until you get to the 80 year old population where it skyrockets and kills everyone. IF MLB has a lower rate of people with underlying conditions then their rate will be lower, but for that age group the difference might well not be all that large. On average, if you had 900 people in MLB and you just let all of them get infected, for those age groups....you are talking about killing a couple of baseball players. The average would be 3. A healthy population would give you 2. And that doesn't count your coaching and training staffs, and it doesn't consider long-term issues in the survivors (Such as the stuff hitting youths below 18). The science really tells you that this virus has a lot of problems you simply cannot expect just from your population statistics. It just flat out kills a lot of people and if your sample size is high enough you will kill someone from that group and you will be devastated from that. Treatment is getting better, but damn this thing is really awful.

https://www.etsy.com/listing/812536187/face-mask-washable-face-mask-reusable?ga_order=most_relevant&ga_search_type=all&ga_view_type=gallery&ga_search_query=white+sox+face+mask&ref=sr_gallery-1-8&organic_search_click=1

Some of the 49ers who were living and working out together in Nashville have it, an assistant coach for Tampa Bay has it and a couple players are quarantining.

3 Tampa Bay Lightning players and Auston Matthews of the Maple Leafs have it.

Maybe we shoulda used “stay home and wear a mask otherwise there won’t be any sports again” as the selling point.

LOL, no.

I'd call that a 15% positive test rate, not a 15% infection rate, but anyway my bad on misunderstanding.

Because the big difference remains case numbers. Germany, population 80 million, has fewer cases per day right now than the county where Houston sits, population 4.7 million. They also had one period where basically an entire team was under quarantine for >2 weeks.

Bumping this. About time to buy a few of these, my supply of disposable ones is running low. Anyone bought any that they like? Recommended seller?