NorthSideSox72

People want to know just how close the Dem race is for SDOGPEIT? The Obama campaign is setting up an office, and the Clinton campaign is organizing volunteers, in Navajo country (NM and AZ). These populations are normally ignored, being as small as they are and as difficult to work in. But, thanks to the huge amounts of money both campaigns have access to, and because the vote looks so close in NM and AZ, various indian tribes (not just Navajo, but others as well) are being courted aggressively. Link to one of the articles mentioning this.

Polls update... Two new NATIONAL polls shows an Obama lead and a tie... CNN, 500 LV, 2/1-3 Obama: 49% Clinton: 46% CBS, 1084 LV, 1/30-2/2 Clinton, Obama: 41% New Jersey seems to be closing up a bit. Two new polls from there... Quinnipiac, 463 LV, 1/30-2/3 Clinton: 48% Obama: 43% Strategic Vision, 600 LV, 2/1-3 Clinton: 47% Obama: 41%

QUOTE(Misplaced_Sox @ Feb 3, 2008 -> 09:18 PM) Clinton Campaign on Health Care Conference Call 2/1/2008 2:51:42 PM Earlier today, the Clinton campaign held a conference call to discuss the Obama campaign's negative health care mailer, which is reminiscent of Harry and Louise ads used by industry to defeat universal health care in the early 1990s. At the end of the call, Howard Wolfson made the following statement: "I heard someone make a reference to a march in Skokie in comparison to the photograph in the mailer which is not a comparison that we would make. And everyone on the call is obviously very passionate about this issue, and rightfully so, but that is not a comparison that we would make." These remarks were made by a health care expert unaffiliated with our campaign. They were totally inappropriate and the campaign rejects them completely. I expect an apology for your misuse of information. Perhaps you can actually go and read stuff for yourself. Ok fella, a couple things. One, Mr. G specifically referred to someone "working with" the Clinton campaign - not the campaign itself. So its debatable if he was even wrong. Second, even if he was dead wrong, you need to cool down your response a bit. No one is going to "apologize" for their assertions in here, unless it was some sort of insult, particularly against another poster. There is a big difference between an allegation of dirty campaign tactics (which we will hear a lot of in here), and some sort of attack worthy of an apology. If you cannot see the difference, you may be better off not posting in here. On the other hand... if you can understand that difference, it would be great to have a Clinton supporter in here. I don't think we really have one of those, at least not one who posts regularly. The more variety in here, the better.

Well, I'm glad I decided to watch the last quarter. f***ing awsome. The cheater got his due, and he didn't even have the class to stay on the field to the end of the game. Awesome.

QUOTE(BigSqwert @ Feb 3, 2008 -> 07:05 PM) Maria Shriver showed up unexpectedly at the Michelle/Oprah/Caroline event and endorsed Obama. Crowd went insane. Wait... seriously? Schwarzenegger's wife endorsed Obama? I know she's a Kennedy and all, but, still. Source? EDIT: Just saw it on CNN, nevermind. I was not expecting that.

QUOTE(DBAH0 @ Feb 3, 2008 -> 04:39 PM) So which is the most important state for either candidate to win on Tuesday (and that's for both Democrats and Republicans)? Well, California is the biggest number of delegates, by far, for both parties. And its WTA for the Republicans, so, that's huge for McCain and his huge lead there. For the Dems though, it looks so close across the full width of states, that it could come down to a surprise in some smaller state pushing someone up or down.

QUOTE(NorthSideSox72 @ Feb 3, 2008 -> 03:03 PM) Rasmussen updates California - Now Obama +1. New Suffolk poll shows the same - Obama +1. That's the three most recent polls all showing an Obama lead in CA, the biggest prize on SDOGPEIT. Dare I say it? Instead of just trying to keep pace on SDOGPEIT or stay close, might Obama actually WIN SDOGPEIT? He actually has a chance. He does that, plus the lead he already has in delegates, and with his superior head-to-head results agains the GOP (of which the Dem superdelegates are, I am sure, aware)... I think that makes him the front-runner.

Its all on the 3-4-5 in the rotation. If, either via trade/acquisition or because the youngsters perform well, at least 2 of those 3 have good seasons... then this team has a very good shot at the playoffs. If that cannot be achieved, then no, they aren't going to the post-season. That mid- to back of the rotation is the key, IMO.

Heh. Utah has its first poll out. I'm sure everyone will be shocked to learn that Romney is leading. Here are the numbers... Romney: 84% McCain: 4% Those are not typos. Romney may break the state record for the biggest margin of victory ever in a state-wide vote.

Sorry, I should have just made this one big Polls post, but... Utah has its first poll out. For the Dems... Obama: 53% Clinton: 29% Its a small state of course, but hey, its 29 delegates.

Rasmussen updates California - Now Obama +1.

Don't dismiss the importance of this in Minnesota... Garrison Keillor endorses Obama.

Almost no interest in the game. Probably have it on in the background while I do other things - so I can watch the commercials.

And, just to throw a bone to the Obama supporters, here is a fun fact reported in the WaPo... Obama spoke yesterday at Boise State University in Idaho. He drew a crowd of 14,000 people - that is 3 times the number of total voters who participated in the Dem Caucus in Idaho in 2004.

Here is an interesting set of polling data. ABC/WaPo did some head-to-head polls recently. Here are the results: Romney v Clinton: Clinton: 53 Romney: 41 Romney v Obama: Obama: 59 Romney: 34 McCain v Clinton: McCain: 49 Clinton: 46 McCain v Obama: Obama: 49 McCain: 46 So, the GOP is really hoping for a McCain nomination if they want to win in November, and the Dems should be wanting an Obama win for the same.

QUOTE(Athomeboy_2000 @ Feb 3, 2008 -> 09:43 AM) I would normally too, but it's sample size is 1141 LV! That is compared to others with half the size or less. Zogby uses terrible methodology, and his lack of success in previous elections has proven that out. I wouldn't rely on it. That said, a Field poll was just published in CA that shows Clinton's lead down to 2, and Rasmussen's most recent was +3. So its definitely getting close. In NJ, two polls taken around the same time as Zogby's show Clinton's lead at +7 or +14. That's a lot close than the +26 it was 2 weeks ago, but still not a tie. In MO, looks like +4 or +6 for Clinton in the last two non-Zogby polls. Here is a new one - AZ polls in the last few days show Clinton's lead at +6 and +2, where it was close to +20 a couple weeks ago. Obama still holds a crushing 29 to 31 point lead in Illinois. Clinton's NY lead looks like 16 to 21. Here are, to me, the two states that seem to be bucking the positive trend for Obama - OK and TN. Oklahoma's not real big, but, Clinton holds a 23 point lead according to the "Sooner Poll" - and oddly, John Edwards still shows more than 20% support there. The poll was taken 1/27-30, so, many respondants probably didn't know that Edwards dropped out. We'll see what happens there. Then there is Tennesee, whose 85 delegates are nothing to sneeze at, has some really erratic poll numbers. Three polls taken in the 1/28-30 time period show Clinton leads of +5, +14 and +33. That's a huge spread, but it certainly doesn't look good for Obama. And Edwards wasn't even in that +33 poll. The gap is closing, and quickly - but will it be enough? And can Obama do anything about those mid-sized states like OK and TN? Are they even worth the time to go there? Here are some big-ish states, by the way, who haven't had a poll in recent weeks, and could be difference makers: Minnesota (88), Colorado (71), Arkansas (41, and Clinton should be huge there), Kansas (41) and New Mexico (38).

Under the radar, the Maine GOP Caucus is underway. There are 21 delegates at stake (18 pledged on results). With 68% reporting... Romney: 52% McCain: 21% Paul: 19% Huckabee: 6% Now, I am pretty sure that most folks skiped Maine anyway. But, those are still 18 valid delegates up for grabs.

I know I started this thread, but, this religion discussion (which was added on) needs to tone down. No one here has said anything worthy of being called a bigot, or anything of the sort. Let's play nice folks.

Also in California, Oprah will be campaigning with Michelle Obama.

QUOTE(Balta1701 @ Feb 1, 2008 -> 04:04 PM) Obama scores the first LA Times Presidential endorsement in decades. Wow. That's pretty big. Hey, what happened to those rumors about Barack being in New Mexico today with Richardson, and maybe an endorsement? That didn't happen, did it?

QUOTE(mr_genius @ Feb 1, 2008 -> 04:03 PM) Ann Coulter endorses Hillary http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HuTqgqhxVMc Already in the Dem thread. But I guess this one falls in both nicely.

QUOTE(Balta1701 @ Feb 1, 2008 -> 03:37 PM) BTW, last night's debate was the 4th debate of this campaign sponsored by a group representing the coal industry. There have been zero questions on climate change at them. I noticed that - where are the questions on energy policy, the environment and climate change? For democratic voters, particularly in California, that is a HUGE topic. Very disappointing. Notice that it WAS asked about, at the GOP debate.

Missouri - where Rasmussen and R2000 had shown +19 and +13 for Clinton a week or two ago, now: Survey USA, 664 LV, 1/30-31 Clinton: 44% Obama: 40% Alabama, where AEA gave Obama a 5 point lead yesterday (after Clinton having led in all previous polls), has another poll: Survey USA, 586 LV, 1/31 Obama: 47% Clinton: 47% Connecticut, where Obama had pulled into a tie according to a Rasmussen poll on the 27th (after Clinton held BIG leads there), has a new one too: Survey USA, 679 LV, 1/30-31 Obama: 48% Clinton: 44% --- I don't think there is much denying at this point that Obama has huge momentum, and the numbers in most all of the SDOGPEIT states are running to him. The questions are... will it be enough to stay with Hillary on SDOGPEIT? And how much of this is Edwards voters, versus Obama's campaigning?

It was all over the news, most of you probably saw yesterday, that parts of the Middle East, south Asia and north Africa were all experiencing major internet outages. They theorized it was a cable cut accidentally by a ship anchor. Except, today, another major trunk line was cut - in the Persian Gulf. Kind of an odd coincidental set of events in different places. Makes you wonder.

QUOTE(Balta1701 @ Feb 1, 2008 -> 02:04 PM) Now it's all a question of time utilization. Yes, that could give him a boost. But as much of a boost as 2 events in L.A. or 1 event somewhere else? Well, you figure, he's got NJ, DE, NY, CT and MA all in the fight on Tuesday. He's sure to hit at least SOME of those. NYC, with its black population and being right in the middle of all those states, seems to me like a prime target. He doesn't even have to win NY - just make it interesting.