The bottom 8 teams this year are 117-223 (.344). Rounding up, that’s like 56-106 for 162 games.
Last year on May 20, the bottom 8 teams were 136-204 (.400). Those 8 teams played .463-ball after May 20.
The eventual bottom 8 teams for 2017 played .411 ball after May 20.
What does this all mean? The bad teams are worse this year, and the Sox are clearly getting a top-3 pick next year.