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Keith Law Top 20 organization writeup


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2 hours ago, JUSTgottaBELIEVE said:

I don’t think anyone can definitively say he would choose one offer over the other is my point. Most guys are interested in the most amount of money offered when they hit free agency for the first time.

The trick for him would be - how much money would it take for him to NOT want an opt out.

I'm guessing he would not take a 3/$45 million deal with no opt out, I'm guessing he'd take 2/$29 with an opt out after year 1. If I believed in my abilities, I definitely would take the shorter deal with the opt out. The only reason I wouldn't is if I really believed my body couldn't handle it, at which point haha the stupid white sox signed me for 5 years when my body only lasted 1.5. 

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1 hour ago, Balta1701 said:

The trick for him would be - how much money would it take for him to NOT want an opt out.

I'm guessing he would not take a 3/$45 million deal with no opt out, I'm guessing he'd take 2/$29 with an opt out after year 1. If I believed in my abilities, I definitely would take the shorter deal with the opt out. The only reason I wouldn't is if I really believed my body couldn't handle it, at which point haha the stupid white sox signed me for 5 years when my body only lasted 1.5. 

But what about 5/$60M?

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36 minutes ago, caulfield12 said:

$12 million per year isn't enough...

Since Kim is basically taking a one-year deal if he turns out to be okay, one can surmise that he wants to hit free agency coming off a 5 WAR/162, rather than a 2.5 WAR/162. He's not going to break the bank, but if he signs a 5+ year contract, he might be adding $5M+ a season to that 5/60. 

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37 minutes ago, WestEddy said:

Since Kim is basically taking a one-year deal if he turns out to be okay, one can surmise that he wants to hit free agency coming off a 5 WAR/162, rather than a 2.5 WAR/162. He's not going to break the bank, but if he signs a 5+ year contract, he might be adding $5M+ a season to that 5/60. 

Right…before the surgery, and based on 2023…Boras would have argued that at 29 he was a $125-150 million player more similar to Adames due to his all-around game and strong leadership/fundamentals.  
 

The Rays rarely go big into FA, so thry must have done their due dilgence and calculated all the risks.

Edited by caulfield12
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3 hours ago, JUSTgottaBELIEVE said:

But what about 5/$60M?

I don't know. If I had confidence in my performance, I'd turn that down. But you've doubled his contract. That's a lot of money for a guy who got a $29 million guarantee.

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48 minutes ago, Balta1701 said:

I don't know. If I had confidence in my performance, I'd turn that down. But you've doubled his contract. That's a lot of money for a guy who got a $29 million guarantee.

Again, buy my house, please.  Please bid twice as much as anyone else.

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projected 2027 top org prospects

"White Sox: Braden Montgomery, OF (MLB No. 55)
A switch-hitter with prodigious power and arm strength, Montgomery bashed 62 homers in three college seasons at Stanford and Texas A&M before breaking his right ankle on a bad slide during the NCAA Super Regionals last June. Drafted 12th overall by the Red Sox, he'll make his pro debut with the White Sox after they acquired him in the Garrett Crochet trade at the Winter Meetings in December."

 

https://www.mlb.com/news/projecting-each-mlb-team-s-top-prospect-in-2027?t=mlb-pipeline-coverage

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