August 13, 201213 yr Thanks for keeping this current. I do have one recommendation. To make it cleaner, could you just do a single AL standings with the GB's relative to the Sox position, because in reality, that is all we care about? Something like this: AL Standings *TEX 67-46 +5.0 *NYY 67-47 +4.5 *SOX 62-51 -- TB 62-52 -0.5 BAL 62-53 -1.0 --------------- OAK 61-53 -1.5 DET 61-54 -2.0 LAA 60-55 -3.0 BOS 57-59 -5.5 *Denotes Division Leader I would rather know we are 1.5 games ahead of the 1st non-playoff team than Oakland being 0.5 out of the last wildcard spot. Edited August 13, 201213 yr by RME JICO
August 14, 201213 yr Author AL Best Record: NY Yankees Texas -½ Tampa Bay -5 SOX -5½ AL Central: SOX Detroit -2 AL Wild Card: Tampa Bay +1 Baltimore Oakland -½ Detroit -1½ LA Angels -2½ Boston -5½ 8/14 Games: BOS @ BAL 7:05 TEX @ NYY 7:05 SOX @ TOR 7:07 OAK @ KC 8:10 DET @ MIN 8:10 CLE @ LAA 10:05 TB @ SEA 10:10 Edited August 15, 201213 yr by HickoryHuskers
August 15, 201213 yr Author AL Best Record: NY Yankees Texas -1½ SOX -5½ AL Central: SOX Detroit -2 AL Wild Card: Tampa Bay Baltimore Oakland -1½ Detroit -1½ LA Angels -2½ Boston -6½ 8/15 Games: DET @ MIN 1:10 TB @ SEA 3:40 TEX @ NYY 7:00 BOS @ BAL 7:05 SOX @ TOR 7:07 OAK @ KC 8:10 CLE @ LAA 10:05 Edited August 16, 201213 yr by HickoryHuskers
August 16, 201213 yr KC beats Oakland again. Orioles win again. Rays, perfect gamed. Tigers win. Angels up 5 early off Hernandez (Carmona).
August 16, 201213 yr Looks like we'll be facing FISTER, SCHERZER and SANCHEZ in Detroit (dodge the V bullet). On pace to be FLOYD, LIRIANO, SALE for us.
August 16, 201213 yr QUOTE (The Ginger Kid @ Aug 15, 2012 -> 11:09 PM) Looks like we'll be facing FISTER, SCHERZER and SANCHEZ in Detroit (dodge the V bullet). On pace to be FLOYD, LIRIANO, SALE for us. That would be great. Expected WL (as of 15AUG) EAST NYY 97-65* TB 88-74* BAL 64-53 CENTRAL SOX 90-72* DET 86-76* WEST TEX 93-69* LAA 86-76 OAK 85-77 Edited August 16, 201213 yr by RME JICO
August 16, 201213 yr Author AL Best Record: NY Yankees Texas -2½ SOX -5½ AL Central: SOX Detroit -2 AL Wild Card: Baltimore +1 Tampa Bay Detroit -½ Oakland -1½ LA Angels -1½ Boston -6½ 8/16 Games: TEX @ NYY 1:05 BOS @ BAL 7:05 SOX @ TOR 7:07 OAK @ KC 8:10 TB @ LAA 10:05 Edited August 17, 201213 yr by HickoryHuskers
August 16, 201213 yr QUOTE (The Ginger Kid @ Aug 16, 2012 -> 12:09 AM) Looks like we'll be facing FISTER, SCHERZER and SANCHEZ in Detroit (dodge the V bullet). On pace to be FLOYD, LIRIANO, SALE for us. No Porcello and Verlander? Wow. Thanks Leyland!
August 16, 201213 yr QUOTE (The Ginger Kid @ Aug 16, 2012 -> 12:09 AM) Looks like we'll be facing FISTER, SCHERZER and SANCHEZ in Detroit (dodge the V bullet). On pace to be FLOYD, LIRIANO, SALE for us. I wouldn't get too excited about that just yet. They have off days each of the next two Mondays, which would make it easy to move the rotation around. They already are skipping Sanchez this Sunday to let Fister pitch again on normal 4-day rest. They could pull a similar move at the end of the month.
August 16, 201213 yr Tigers are now home 15 of the next 18 games, where they are very good. If the Sox can maintain a lead in the next 3 weeks, I'll take it.
August 16, 201213 yr I know everyone plays 81 home and 81 away, but it just seems like the Tigers are home a lot.
August 16, 201213 yr What are the chances the Sox and Tigers end up in another game 163, the loser of which then winds up tied with another team for the second wildcard slot forcing a playoff for that position, only to be followed by the one game wildcard playoff, followed by the regular postseason?
August 16, 201213 yr QUOTE (PorkChopExpress @ Aug 16, 2012 -> 10:42 AM) What are the chances the Sox and Tigers end up in another game 163, the loser of which then winds up tied with another team for the second wildcard slot forcing a playoff for that position, only to be followed by the one game wildcard playoff, followed by the regular postseason? A lot can happen seven weeks from now. There could be teams playing 3 days in a row in different cities, and have to use their 5th starters in the playoffs unless they go short rest for somebody. I like that the non-division winners have a tougher road to the championship, although I'd rather they get rid of divisions and have the 4th and 5th best teams play to get in.
August 16, 201213 yr QUOTE (flavum @ Aug 16, 2012 -> 12:14 PM) A lot can happen seven weeks from now. There could be teams playing 3 days in a row in different cities, and have to use their 5th starters in the playoffs unless they go short rest for somebody. I like that the non-division winners have a tougher road to the championship, although I'd rather they get rid of divisions and have the 4th and 5th best teams play to get in. That would be a great way for the playoff system to work but why stop there. the 1 seeds get a buy and throw another wild card team in there. Cant change the playoff system in baseball enough. Right now a third of the baseball teams from each league get into the playoffs. Never really thought of it that way but if your in the top half of your league (NL/AL) you have a really good shot at making the playoffs. Lets hope the sox are one of those 5 teams this year.
August 16, 201213 yr QUOTE (Wagz @ Aug 16, 2012 -> 12:47 PM) That would be a great way for the playoff system to work but why stop there. the 1 seeds get a buy and throw another wild card team in there. Cant change the playoff system in baseball enough. Right now a third of the baseball teams from each league get into the playoffs. Never really thought of it that way but if your in the top half of your league (NL/AL) you have a really good shot at making the playoffs. Lets hope the sox are one of those 5 teams this year. I think 5 of 15 is a really good system. You don't want too many teams qualifying for postseason. It's better to have more teams chasing the last spot than just letting them in. If it's 6 or 8 per league, it's almost every over-.500 team. That's too many, and I don't think MLB or the players even want to go there, because they don't want byes and they don't want to shorten the regular season.
August 16, 201213 yr Author That would be a great way for the playoff system to work but why stop there. the 1 seeds get a buy and throw another wild card team in there. Well, the Red Sox are currently 6th in the Wild Card standings, so MLB is probably looking into expanding to 6 WC teams per league in 2013.
August 16, 201213 yr QUOTE (flavum @ Aug 16, 2012 -> 12:54 PM) I think 5 of 15 is a really good system. You don't want too many teams qualifying for postseason. It's better to have more teams chasing the last spot than just letting them in. If it's 6 or 8 per league, it's almost every over-.500 team. That's too many, and I don't think MLB or the players even want to go there, because they don't want byes and they don't want to shorten the regular season. I agree baseball has a very long season anyways and making it longer would not work so they would have to cut into the regular season. I personally would not like to see this happen. I like that they added a 5th team but would not like to see anymore spots added for that reason. I really didnt like the expansion of the 5th team at first, but now I see how competitive baseball has become for those top teams in each league and it is more important to win the division now. IMO
August 17, 201213 yr Author AL Best Record: NY Yankees Texas -1½ SOX -4½ AL Central: SOX Detroit -2½ AL Wild Card: Tampa Bay Baltimore Detroit -1 Oakland -1½ LA Angels -2½ Boston -6½ 8/17 Games: BAL @ DET 7:05 BOS @ NYY 7:05 TEX @ TOR 7:07 SOX @ KC 8:10 TB @ LAA 10:05 CLE @ OAK 10:05
August 17, 201213 yr QUOTE (flavum @ Aug 17, 2012 -> 08:02 AM) Red Sox still? C'mon. Yeah, I'd say at this point you can call it a 6-team race for 3 spots. (One of those spots has to be DET/CWS)
August 17, 201213 yr Author Red Sox still? C'mon. I kept listing Cleveland and Toronto until they got to 7 back, so I guess I'm just being consistent.
August 17, 201213 yr The key for the Sox IMO is going to be the head to head with Detroit. Getting swept is not an option. If they would have won 1 out of 3 in Detroit the last time, they would be 4.5 up right now.
August 17, 201213 yr http://www.baseballprospectus.com/odds/ according to BPs models we have a 90 % chance of making at least the wild card play in game, 68% at winning the division It's a great site to track the daily change of their projection system
August 17, 201213 yr QUOTE (daa84 @ Aug 17, 2012 -> 09:22 AM) http://www.baseballprospectus.com/odds/ according to BPs models we have a 90 % chance of making at least the wild card play in game, 68% at winning the division It's a great site to track the daily change of their projection system It is funny to look at teams like MN and the Cubs who are just flat lines at 0%.
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