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Just pitch Sale at games at home for rest of season?


sunofgold
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Before todays start

Home ERA 1.74 .188 BAA

Away ERA 4.01 .257 BAA

 

Looking at the schedule, this could Sales starting schedule this way

 

9/13 Thursday home against Tigers

skip the road trip (9 game trip)...basically skipping him a start

9/24 home against Indians (first game of series)

9/29 home against Rays (third of four game series)

skip the three games series away against Indians

ready for potential tiebreaker game or hopefully playoffs

 

Really just skipping him one start which has been suggested by many here.

 

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QUOTE (sunofgold @ Sep 8, 2012 -> 05:15 PM)
Before todays start

Home ERA 1.74 .188 BAA

Away ERA 4.01 .257 BAA

 

Looking at the schedule, this could Sales starting schedule this way

 

9/13 Thursday home against Tigers

skip the road trip (9 game trip)...basically skipping him a start

9/24 home against Indians (first game of series)

9/29 home against Rays (third of four game series)

skip the three games series away against Indians

ready for potential tiebreaker game or hopefully playoffs

 

Really just skipping him one start which has been suggested by many here.

 

This might not be a bad idea. He could use some rest for the last two weeks of the season.

 

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QUOTE (caulfield12 @ Sep 8, 2012 -> 08:59 PM)
It's a good idea statistically, but will never be adopted.

 

If they had the choice between skipping a start at home versus on the road, it would be pretty clear cut where he prefers to start, though.

You never know. They seem fairly flexible

On when they start him. I hope that they are

At least thinking about it.

They probably are.

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QUOTE (caulfield12 @ Sep 8, 2012 -> 08:59 PM)
It's a good idea statistically, but will never be adopted.

 

If they had the choice between skipping a start at home versus on the road, it would be pretty clear cut where he prefers to start, though.

Statistically, who do you start in place of Sale on the road? It's a good idea relative to Sale's performance at home, but not a good idea relative to the REST of the potential starters.

 

Sale needs to be 19-20 wins for the Sox to make the playoffs. There are 24 games left - he's got 4-5 more starts lefts, and the Sox need to win 4 of those games.

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QUOTE (BlackBetsy @ Sep 8, 2012 -> 09:26 PM)
Statistically, who do you start in place of Sale on the road? It's a good idea relative to Sale's performance at home, but not a good idea relative to the REST of the potential starters.

 

Sale needs to be 19-20 wins for the Sox to make the playoffs. There are 24 games left - he's got 4-5 more starts lefts, and the Sox need to win 4 of those games.

You must be a big fan of the win stat. If that is the

case, Nate Jones should get some starts since

he is 7-0. 1.000 winning percentage. He cannot lose.

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QUOTE (sunofgold @ Sep 8, 2012 -> 09:34 PM)
You must be a big fan of the win stat. If that is the

case, Nate Jones should get some starts since

he is 7-0. 1.000 winning percentage. He cannot lose.

I'm a fan of all stats. Wins are just one of them.

 

Four guys who have started with a lower ERA on the road:

 

Axelrod (2.54 ERA, 1.27 WHIP) - only 4 starts

Peavy (3.39 ERA, 1.20 WHIP)

Quintana (3.55 ERA, 1.33 WHIP)

Liriano (3.80 ERA, 1.55 WHIP) - only 4 starts

 

So, no one has more wins than Sale on the road and only two guys - Axelrod and Peavy - have better WHIPs on the road. Not sure anyone can have a lot of confidence in Axelrod - it's been shown that his second appearance against teams is usually bad. Quintana and Liriano are melting down.

 

I agree that Sale hasn't been as good on the road as he has been at home. But he's better than every replacement option.

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