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Will Sale get to 300 strikeouts?

The Sale K Question 30 members have voted

  1. 1. Will Sale strikeout 300 losers?

    • Yeah, b****!
      43%
      13
    • No way, Jose!
      56%
      17

Please sign in or register to vote in this poll.

Featured Replies

Will we ever see a 300-strikeout pitcher again? It's been a while, with the last two 300-strikeout seasons coming in 2002, from teammates Curt Schilling and Randy Johnson, who struck out a combined 650 batters, or five more than all 12 Twins starting pitchers combined for last year. After two pitchers did it in the same season, it's been 13 years since the last 300-strikeout pitcher.

 

tumblr_nr3niqBFuC1qhcm4jo1_1280.png

 

Can Chris Sale do it? He's currently on pace for 299 strikeouts.

I said it in the other thread, no way. He'd need to get to 230-240 innings to have a real chance. Sale usually ends up around 200 innings once he has his time for a dead arm.

I really hope he does, but I think he'll end up in the 270-280 range.

Everything would really need to go perfectly the rest of the way to have a shot. If he misses a start or two, or falls of his recent pace, that's about it.

I think that they'll start pushing his starts back to preserve his arm.

 

The team isn't winning his year, so why risk him?

 

I'd guess he gets around 275 or so.

I've learned to not doubt Chris Sale. He's got a shot.

119.33 IP / 157 K = X IP / 300 K

 

X = 119.33 x 300 / 157 = 228 IP

 

If Chris Sale is able to pitch 109 healthy innings at his current rate of striking out batters, he should strike out 300 batters. That would be the equivalent of 15 starts between now and the end of the season (figuring 7 innings per start). The Sox have 77 games left, which means Sale has a chance to start 15 games (maybe a 16th depending on the schedule). The numbers say Chris Sale is right on target for 300 strikeouts.

 

 

QUOTE (BigFinn @ Jul 16, 2015 -> 05:42 PM)
119.33 IP / 157 K = X IP / 300 K

 

X = 119.33 x 300 / 157 = 228 IP

 

If Chris Sale is able to pitch 109 healthy innings at his current rate of striking out batters, he should strike out 300 batters. That would be the equivalent of 15 starts between now and the end of the season (figuring 7 innings per start). The Sox have 77 games left, which means Sale has a chance to start 15 games (maybe a 16th depending on the schedule). The numbers say Chris Sale is right on target for 300 strikeouts.

 

FWIW, that would be 54 more IP then last year, and 15 more then his career high. In 3 full years as a starter, he has been over 200 IP once.

  • 1 month later...

Do you guys think that this is still possible? He probably has 9-10 starts left and he needs 92 strikeouts for 300.

 

I'm hoping that he can do it.

The 15 K game sure helped him out... if he can get on another Pedro-like streak and can stay healthy/not get skipped to preserve innings, then he has a shot.

Sale has 9 starts left in the season so he would have to go on another run to get the 92 K's to put him at 300. That's just a tick over 10 K's per start which he is capable of so who knows. At least Sale gives us fans something interesting to watch while the rest of the season unwinds.

At his current season rates with 9 starts left he would be on pace for 289.39 K's. He averages 6.84057 IP per start this season. He also averages 1.32204 K per IP.

 

9 starts x 6.84057 IP/Start x 1.32204 K/IP = 81.39156. He is at 208 K's currently.

QUOTE (Quinarvy @ Jul 16, 2015 -> 03:42 PM)
I've learned to not doubt Chris Sale. He's got a shot.

 

This holds true, especially after that Cubs game.

 

I think he has a shot to break 20 this year.

At his current season rates with 9 starts left he would be on pace for 289.39 K's. He averages 6.84057 IP per start this season. He also averages 1.32204 K per IP.

 

9 starts x 6.84057 IP/Start x 1.32204 K/IP = 81.39156. He is at 208 K's currently.

 

I'm thinking that EJ gets some starts in September, so it's likely Sale doesn't even have 9 more starts.

Well, he has 11 strikeouts so far tonight. He sure is going for 300.

  • 2 weeks later...

He is up to 239 with 6 starts left (according to my math)

 

He could do it.

QUOTE (Mike F. @ Sep 2, 2015 -> 06:13 AM)
He is up to 239 with 6 starts left (according to my math)

 

He could do it.

 

If he gets 6 he has a legit shot. If they plug EJ in for a few starts and he only gets 5 more it will be real tough. Highest 6 straight start total this year is 75, highest 5 start is 65 so it is possible.

31 Ks away from Walsh's single season record. Let's do it.

With Johnson joining the rotation, this now looks very, very unlikely.

I hope Chris has enough clout to say "Johnson Shmonson"

300 would be great but was always a long shot. Getting the franchise record is the realistic one, six man rotation or not.

Of the remaining teams he would face, who does he have the best shot to K 21 in a game? Grab that record real quick, blast 300ks and snag the CY.

Of the remaining teams he would face, who does he have the best shot to K 21 in a game? Grab that record real quick, blast 300ks and snag the CY.

 

Sale's only chance to get to 300Ks is to get traded to a division rival and face the Sox twice before the end of the season.

QUOTE (Jose Abreu @ Sep 3, 2015 -> 12:29 PM)
With Johnson joining the rotation, this now looks very, very unlikely.

Keep in mind that Rodon will be shut down at some point.

QUOTE (Mike F. @ Sep 3, 2015 -> 02:59 PM)
Keep in mind that Rodon will be shut down at some point.

 

At the rate he is going, I think he finishes the year. He has shown no signs of slowing down.

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