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Thompson catch last night

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QUOTE (Rowand44 @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 11:08 AM)
I've never been Trayce's biggest fan but we're to the point where he has to be in consideration for a starting outfield spot next year, right?

 

For me, I think if we get an actual above average player in a corner OF spot you do it, you don't hold anything warm for a less than sure thing.

 

But, if next year is just a year to let everything develop, I think we give it to Trayce who has earned it.

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QUOTE (Rowand44 @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 05:08 PM)
I've never been Trayce's biggest fan but we're to the point where he has to be in consideration for a starting outfield spot next year, right?

 

if this was his audition. he passed.

 

but the FO and coaches may have other ideas.

 

to me, he proved he deserve the shot.

QUOTE (lasttriptotulsa @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 11:03 AM)
So you're telling me that you don't see any drop off at all in him from AAA to MLB?

I didn't say that, I'm just trying to counter your assertion that he has "no reasonable shot at all" to be an above-average MLB hitter.

Edited by OmarComing25

QUOTE (bmags @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 05:11 PM)
For me, I think if we get an actual above average player in a corner OF spot you do it, you don't hold anything warm for a less than sure thing.

 

But, if next year is just a year to let everything develop, I think we give it to Trayce who has earned it.

 

you got a point, will the sox, if they were planning on looking into the fa pool look no further.

I feel like Avi is our Sam Bradford (we are the rams)

QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 11:13 AM)
I didn't say that, I'm just trying to counter your assertion that he has "no reasonable shot at all" to be an above-average MLB hitter.

 

But any regression from his AAA stats at all puts him at average or below. If he's roughly a 110 wRC+ hitter in AAA, chances he is not going to be there in the Majors. I'm just not going to base my opinion of him on his 100 or so PAs he's had in the Majors where's he played out of his mind. I think some on here are just ignoring the fact that the current .257 ISO and .338 BABPI (basically the equivalent of a prime Frank Thomas) are just not realistic numbers for him and once his numbers regress to the norm the opinion around here will change real fast.

he's always kept his head above water in the minors as he's moved up the ladder. wouldn't be surprised if he could do the same in the majors. if he can hit .250 45BB 15HR and play great D, HES ON THE TEAM FOR NEXT YEAR!

 

 

I think the Sox need to try and add an OF in the off-season. If they can add a solid bat w average defense, then you can play Avi/Melky/ Thompson and Eaton in the best allignment around that player. Melky or Avi should move to Dh and LaRoche to another team.

QUOTE (Hatchetman @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 11:34 AM)
he's always kept his head above water in the minors as he's moved up the ladder. wouldn't be surprised if he could do the same in the majors. if he can hit .250 45BB 15HR and play great D, HES ON THE TEAM FOR NEXT YEAR!

 

That first apart isn't true. His time in Birmingham was dismal.

  • Author
QUOTE (Rowand44 @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 11:08 AM)
I've never been Trayce's biggest fan but we're to the point where he has to be in consideration for a starting outfield spot next year, right?

 

He pretty much as to, for no other reason than his defense. If Avi isn't going to hit, he is worthless out there. Thompson can at least catch the ball at a plus rate.

QUOTE (SCCWS @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 05:48 PM)
I think the Sox need to try and add an OF in the off-season. If they can add a solid bat w average defense, then you can play Avi/Melky/ Thompson and Eaton in the best allignment around that player. Melky or Avi should move to Dh and LaRoche to another team.

 

but if they don't .... TT can be a nice replacement, until he proved he can't do it everyday, but his defense is special.

TT also hits the ball very hard. His BABIP may not be this high forever, but he has to have the highest exit velocity off his bat of anyone beside maybe Abreu.

QUOTE (Quinarvy @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 11:49 AM)
That first apart isn't true. His time in Birmingham was dismal.

 

So in the past six years, he's had one bad year and the next year improved at the same level. Thanks for pointing that out.

QUOTE (bmags @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 12:14 PM)
TT also hits the ball very hard. His BABIP may not be this high forever, but he has to have the highest exit velocity off his bat of anyone beside maybe Abreu.

Hard-hit% of 31.7% and a line drive rate of over 29%.

QUOTE (bmags @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 05:14 PM)
TT also hits the ball very hard. His BABIP may not be this high forever, but he has to have the highest exit velocity off his bat of anyone beside maybe Abreu.

 

didn't someone say the same of olt, i don't know, this week or last week???

 

is there a stat group for that???

 

remember i am not a stat guy.

QUOTE (bmags @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 12:14 PM)
TT also hits the ball very hard. His BABIP may not be this high forever, but he has to have the highest exit velocity off his bat of anyone beside maybe Abreu.

 

His max exit velocity was 115 mph

QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 05:19 PM)
Hard-hit% of 31.7% and a line drive rate of over 29%.

 

or those %'s really good or what??

 

is there a publish link so i can keep that save in my fav's???

QUOTE (LDF @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 12:21 PM)
or those %'s really good or what??

 

is there a publish link so i can keep that save in my fav's???

The current leader among qualified hitters in line drive rate is Brandon Belt at 28.7%, and the hard-hit% would put him right around 60th or so.

 

League leaders:

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=...=0&sort=5,d

 

Thompson's batted ball stats:

http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playe...n=OF#battedball

Edited by OmarComing25

QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 06:23 PM)
The current leader among qualified hitters in line drive rate is Brandon Belt at 28.7%, and the hard-hit% would put him right around 60th or so.

 

League leaders:

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=...=0&sort=5,d

 

Thompson's batted ball stats:

http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playe...n=OF#battedball

 

ahhh i really can't believe it... they even have a stat for all this great info.

 

can anyone imagine what it would been like in the 60's....

 

dang i am freaking old. :lol:

QUOTE (LDF @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 12:25 PM)
can anyone imagine what it would been like in the 60's....

 

yeah I remember waiting for the new Baseball Digest to come to the school library so I could look at stats from other teams. There was no other way. :lol:

 

QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 06:23 PM)
The current leader among qualified hitters in line drive rate is Brandon Belt at 28.7%, and the hard-hit% would put him right around 60th or so.

 

League leaders: #1

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=...=0&sort=5,d

 

Thompson's batted ball stats: #2

http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playe...n=OF#battedball

ref to #1.... avi garcia - #21

 

~~edit - is there a min at bats or something to be eligible???

 

btw great stuff and many thanks.

Edited by LDF

Also, it should be noted that Thompson's BABIP in September is just .250, which is actually on the unlucky side considering he's still driving the ball, yet his OPS is still >.700 and he has 0.3 WAR. He does that over a full season and he's a 2 WAR player.

QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 06:29 PM)
Also, it should be noted that Thompson's BABIP in September is just .250, which is actually on the unlucky side considering he's still driving the ball, yet his OPS is still >.700 and he has 0.3 WAR. He does that over a full season and he's a 2 WAR player.

 

:huh

 

ummm you are talking english right

 

:gosox3:

  • Author
QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Sep 30, 2015 -> 12:29 PM)
Also, it should be noted that Thompson's BABIP in September is just .250, which is actually on the unlucky side considering he's still driving the ball, yet his OPS is still >.700 and he has 0.3 WAR. He does that over a full season and he's a 2 WAR player.

 

His numbers have been starting to balance out. It will be interesting to see where the "truth" is for Thompson as a hitter.

 

this got me thinking or rethinking on bats and the weight of the bats. can that add to this power.

 

it still comes back to the Babe.... having the heaviest known bat from 1910 and on. that is recorded for this time

 

The Babe 54 oz.

some guy in the 1910 48 oz.

 

Lou Greig 40-42 oz

 

does anyone remember old clips of the Babe swing that bat like a twig??? geez

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