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he gone.

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Everything posted by he gone.

  1. he gone.

    Robinson Cano

    it's on brand for the sox + doesn't solve 2b again, so itll happen.
  2. he gone.

    2022 MLB catch all thread

    another one to consider.. willie calhoun don't think it's really necessary ... but he's had flashes and with eloy out for 6+ weeks might be an option? I'd rather have Engel/Robert/Pollock roaming the OF with Vaughn filling in at 1b/dh/lf/rf & playing 6 games a week, so not sure there's really a place for calhoun ... but if the price is free it's not that hard to take a chance.
  3. he gone.

    2022 MLB catch all thread

    I'm not sure I agree with that ... he has a career .302 average -- look at those stats ... better than you might think https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/robinson-cano-429664?stats=career-r-hitting-mlb Now, if you throw in the PED suspensions? Yes, not great. But does the team pay those salaries in a suspension? Really if you look at it his 2020 was still strong. He had one down season with the Mets and a poor start this year. In regards to signing him? I mean ... he's probably not much better than a Harrison at this point in his career, and probably less volatility now. You could convince me, but not sure where he fits. What I'd love to see is: Sox trade for Eleiser Hernandez - give up Sheets or Burger type. Maybe a lower end prospect tied to them. Marlins have Meyer and a few others knocking at the door and Hernandez is disposable for them. Burger would be a nice fit for that team. Though him and Sheets are kind of just repeats of the Brian Anderson, Garret Cooper, Aguilar type mold. Nonetheless think it'd be a good trade. Sox release Keuchel. I'd say slot him into long relief for mop up roll as an option as well. It's a sunk cost. He doesn't seem to fit in the clubhouse (at least on some of his comments ... that's kind of conjecture). By late May your rotation is: Giolito, Cease, Lynn, Kopech, Eleiser with Cueto/Keuchel/VV as your spot/mop up guy. In regards to Cano someone would have present to me the roster gymnastics and who'd have to get cut to make the spot ... he's taking whos spot? Sheets I guess?? He could backup Abreu alongside Vaugh and Yaz. Be the split/hot bat spot at 2b ... ? I don't love or hate it. Seems net neutral.
  4. he gone.

    Student Loan Debt

    Yes, but it's not about that. It's about having a hand to play to get votes. It's essentially balancing do you want to play this hand now, or later? I'm not sure the calculation makes sense at this point for democrats. The pause has been ongoing for 2 years now and the economy is teetering. If you cancel, you don't get the boost now, you just get same spending patterns that have been developed/budgeted over the past 2 years by millennials. Playing the hand now won't result in extra votes nor boost in spending IMO. They'll want to hold back the total forgiveness for a time when the "economic boost" is really needed and can buy them more good graces than now. That said, the dems are in a tough spot both based on promises, the mid-terms coming up, the current outlook of how mid-terms are likely to go, etc. My personal guess is they do something like that 10k forgiveness while still having the carrot out there to discuss "more robust" forgiveness in the future. aka, you deliver on a promise, buy some votes, but keep voters on the hook go-forward. This way they can judge how forgiveness is accepted across voter base, deliver, and keep you in the palm of their hand. You have to look it at it through the lens of a politician. they don't actually care about you, they care about your vote to further their personal agenda.
  5. he gone.

    Sox could get back Pollock Friday

    They better have an electric blanket in the dugout to wrap around his legs. Pollock/hamstrings + cold weather isn't a great recipe. Half joking btw ... wouldn't be a bad idea to treat him like a pitcher who puts on a coat on the bench to keep arm warm. The scheduling was ridiculous this year. shame on mlb. detroit, chicago, chicago, cleveland, minny, chicago, chicago ... i believe we have a kc in there too. How they didn't mix in any west coast or southern games is amazing.
  6. he gone.

    Ballpark prices

    this is true. i actually typed up a whole extra paragraph on labor costs, but then thought it was getting too far into the weeds for its purpose and deleted. refrigeration costs, shipping costs, labor costs, garbage cost, extra security costs, etc. then does it lead to more food consumption drunk? clothing purchases? etc. how does that affect staffing? End of day they've likely done more research than any of us on this topic. a $10 beer is expensive to most and the ones that are cutting consumption due to price probably aren't buying at $9, $11, or $13. Likewise those who are creatures of habit and want to go to a game and be nostalgic and have a cold one on a hot (hopefully soon) summer day will likely buy regardless of those few dollars. There does seem to be plenty of demand for the patio parties and those RF seats that are all-inclusive though ... same with bleachers and brews deal. Economically for Sox probably could be a good idea to figure out some sort of upper deck v. lower deck pricing models. Aka, cheaper beer prices up there, cheaper food prices up there. Generally speaking those buying the UD seating are going to be more price sensitive. Not sure you can pull that off PR wise ... kind of have/have-not vibes. But think they could probably introduce more incentives on 300 level whether that be different pricing or more "all inclusive" seating options in the UD and would likely be successful.
  7. he gone.

    Ballpark prices

    Served at those craft beer stands. They believe they're doing Margaritas and Mai Tai's at those stands. Both of those are like 13% ABV. Great for a round of golf btw. The section i get them in is 128 at top. Just FYI i believe the Palomas and mules are like 7%. Just a disclaimer depending on what your goal is ... aka get loose for a cheaper price or just buying for flavor. FWIW i actually think it's the best canned margarita out there - they put two shots of tequila in there... not some sort of malt liquor masquerading as liquor. https://www.cutwaterspirits.com/canned-cocktails/tequila-lime-margarita/
  8. he gone.

    Ballpark prices

    As people have said already it just comes down to profit. Where in the supply/demand chart do prices land? For some beer prices and ballpark food is elastic, for some it's inelastic. $1 beer for Sox, Sell 100 beers at $12 = $1,100 profit or $1 beer for Sox, Sell 200 beers at $7 = $1,200 profit The Sox couldn't care less about the price, they care about optimizing the profit that comes along with selling said beers. That said, the problem is they never run an experiment to the downside, just to the upside. I haven't followed it much, but wonder did the Twins bring back their lower prices on items this year? FWIW, the best deal in the park remains the Cutwater margaritas. $10.25 for a 12oz can and 13% alcohol. They put it over ice. Breaks out to basically $3-5 drinks against a beer depending on AVB you're having. Perfect for a warm, sunny ballgame.
  9. he gone.

    Ballpark prices

    I'm not sure how much is determined by Levy and how much by the Sox. I'd have to assume the costs for labor and goods is up considerably as well. I'd be curious to see what their margins are last year v this year. Most companies I've seen are passing along the costs pretty well to the consumer and as you mentioned becomes how elastic or inelastic are prices? So far it's TBD and climbing. I always grab a bite at Kimski/Fried Chicken Pizza before the game. The food is better, the wait is minimal and the beer selection is solid. No need to grab food inside when you're already full. That said, I'm always going to have a few beers.
  10. Looking for scout seat hookups. Just don't feel like paying those fees on StubHub. Just too big of a chunk leaving both parties hands, would like to find someone willing to sell direct.
  11. I wish I had an insider to tell me what the Sox are thinking ... these are my favorite type of games to buy tickets to. Grab yourself half-price tickets and possibly get a beautiful 8/29 game. Unfortunately i think the DH is probably the most realistic.
  12. Quick takes. VV is barely a warm body. Might be a room temperature body. Many meatballs being thrown. Brash has scary potential.
  13. We're already there ... we're two years ahead of Seattle give or take. We have every single piece minus we did not address pitching depth. It will end up burning us in the ALDS or ALCS when we lose. Or, in a perfect world it will affect us in the long run when we trade away our already thin minors to supplement in the rotation. Either way, our inability to spend has cost us a 10-25% chance of winning the world series. still could happen (see braves) but not the smartest away to attack.
  14. I'd disagree. Kirby, Brash and Hancock will all get innings this year and learn at the MLB level as Gilbert did last year. Ray and Gilbert will continue to anchor go forward. Marco Gonzalez is a serviceable 4/5. Flexen as well. You already have 4 serviceable guys ... and three extremely talented prospects. That rotation will be very, very good. It will show flashes this year but just like Gio, Cease, and many other young pitchers they will take a 1-2 years to learn. That rotation alone is enough to keep them in any conversation of division winner + playoff competitors. Much easier to slot in with signings like Robbie Grossman or Cahna types in FA than it is to go out and pay for guys like Robbie Ray. The offense has a very good future too and based on the names they were in on (Bryant, Suzuki, etc.) + how aggressive their GM is I don't see them sitting on the sidelines. You have a combo of JP Crawford, Marte, Toro (UTIL), France (UTIL), Frazier (2b/OF) Lewis, Kelenic, Winker, JRod, Evan White, Raleigh, Murphy, etc. etc. Who knows what they do with Haniger, but this team has a whole host of solid guys. Right now they have a bunch of very serviceable guys kind of out of the SF Giant mode. Or the Rays. None blow you away individually but as a whole and multiple position eligibility. I don't think they'll hit the 90 wins they did last year ... it's possible ... but don't see that happening. That said starting as soon as next year I think they're a real ALCS contender and probably in 2024+ they are a real WS contender.
  15. he gone.

    A's interested in Andrew Vaughn/Sox in Montas

    My guess is that Hahn or an agent close with Sox leaked this. Basically - hey guys, get off my back. i checked in, this is what they wanted. it's not happening. I wonder what the Reds were asking for Gray. Sox should (And probably have) explore with the Marlins. That team has so much pitching depth its scary... Alcantara, Lopez, Rogers, Eleiser Hernandez, Luzardo, Meyer, Sixto Sanchez, Eury Perez, Edward Cabrera ... THATS NINE! DEEP! I'm not sure how you navigate the Cuban pipeline and Colas/Cespedes or their perceived value ... nor do I know what we could/would trade them ... but I'd quite literally take any single one of those guys. Based on what we need right of way + cost my wish list would be in this order: Eleiser Hernandez - probably one of the cheapest options to acquire and like his stuff. They can just slot in no issue internally Pablo Lopez - they were known to have him on the table in offseason. He's legit and would slot in right away on par with Cease or so Sixto Sanchez - roll of dice. maybe buy low candidate. his shoulder is really troubling, but if healthy he can slot in as an immediate impact arm. You just can't have any expectations of innings from him which is kinda what we need right now. Rogers - he's expensive. he's good. Alcantara - probably untouchable, that's why he's so low. I'd trade Vaugh for him .... and I wouldn't trade Vaughn for many. Eury Perez - he's Grayson Rodriguez ... he's 19? 20? He will be Jose Fernandez type household name soon. Hell, If the price was right I'd slot him right after Pablo Lopez ... he could probably be with the Sox by year end working in a Kopech type role last year Luzardo/Cabrera - i put them together. both have a wild streak. not the type of arm i want to rely on with where we are as a team. Meyer - he's great too, just costs a lot.
  16. he gone.

    Nine reg season games not on NCBSC

    sounds like im in the minority - but i appreciate mlb trying to expand their product offering. Now, do i think someone with appletv who signs in to watch some drama or comedy is going to see a random mlb game and become a fan? nope. they have to bring more to the table than that ... an alternate broadcast ala the manning bros on MNF or something would be a start. MLB is a long game with lots of downtime. someone needs to capitalize on that ... The sunday morning thing makes sense IMO. it's like the premier league with soccer. its a quiet, background sport. there are many times Ill jjust have soccer on in the background just because it's good ambience. im barely watching. if mlb can convert on that feeling/ambience for baseball? good on them.
  17. he gone.

    Micker Adolfo DFA'd

    he's out of options so i believe another team will have to keep him up too or he'll be exposed to waivers, no? have a feeling he's likely to bounce around 2-3 teams this year and wouldn't be surprised to see him back in the Sox organization in a year or two.
  18. he gone.

    Cueto to Sox (Official)

    He was training with ReyLo in the off-season. I'm guessing the Sox have a good idea of how ready he is. Plus a vet. Plus a guy we really just don't give a shit about since it's pro-rated contract. I'd guess by the week of April 18 he's up and pitching. Gives him 2 weeks. He probably reports right away, gets his bearings, does 1-2 starts in Charlotte and reports up. He's a warm body.
  19. he gone.

    Cueto to Sox (Official)

    Positives: In terms of guys you can acquire 2 days before the season starts & for relatively free money? I'll take it. He's got a rested arm - since 2017 he's topped out at 147ip. He barely threw in 2018, 2019, 2020 before pitching 22 games last year. If you want to be positive you're getting a former Ace/All-Star who, if healthy, can probably give you $7-10mm production as a #5. In a perfect world he's worth every cent of the deal. He's not a guy who walks people. Stays out of trouble in that sense. no free passes. should be a guy who can slot right in and fit in with this team and bring experience. His fastball and changeup are still relatively strong, particularly his fastball. Negatives: He's not the guy he used to be. His FIP has been over 4-5 since 2018. He hasn't been healthy in half a decade. He ranks near the bottom quadrant in CSW, xwOBA, etc. His slider is absolute trash. He threw it 22% of the time in 2021. His CSW on slider was almost dead last out of all pitchers ... like ... it's TRASH. hang a slider on the southside during the summer and the people in LF bleachers will be shagging opposing homers all day. The chances of him lasting more than 100ip are minimal. At least with Keuchel we know we can get 160ip of this type of ball. He absolutely does not fill the absolutely pressing need of a TOR type of arm for playoffs. Overall: Based on timing + sudden need after Lynn? B-. Based on the whole off-season? D-. I'd say maybe Katz can fix that slider or sees something ... but like ... he was cueto's pitching coach in SF already in 2020 and that was among Cueto's worst year ever. He shouldn't be throwing that slider, but unfortunately then what does he throw? The Sox don't have the farm system to compete on top arms that are needed. aka, playoff impact arms. I don't care how you look at Kimbrel, but he had the pedigree to be an imposing playoff arm (i mean, the dodgers, the best team in baseball said why not? and slotted him right in as closer). You also lost Crochet. You lost Rodon. So far we've replaced with Vince + Cueto + Graveman + Kelly. Doesn't add up. Off-season is when you could address the need via the pocketbook. Now you're going to be forced to overpay in season for guys like Castillo bidding against other teams with your already thin farm system. Absolute disaster. There's no chance Cueto is an impact arm to where he makes a playoff roster. The sox had the perfect setup with cheaper contracts during Covid/their open window to sign impactful guys and didn't do it. They had the opportunity this offseason with more clarity on season tickets, covid clarity, etc. and still didn't spend. It will ultimately come back to haunt them when in game 3 or 4 of an ALDS or ALCS you have a tired Kopech going and questionable arms coming in after to replace him. Welcome to the SS Johnny. Be better than Ervin Santana and Mat Latos please.
  20. he gone.

    SP Targets

    Well, Paddack is going on year 3 of struggling and not adding a pitch all while the Padres continue to move on without him ... maybe he didn't get the memo that he should try to develop a pitch as a pitcher ... or like ... it's not that easy to perfect. Paddack is a bullpen arm. He's Lamet. He's Pomeranz. He's Reynaldo Lopez. You can live out of the bullpen off of two pitches, you cannot as a starter. zero interest in paddack.
  21. he gone.

    The Curious Case of Micker Adolfo

    Oh that's cool. didn't know they had that in the contracts ... glad the MLB got that right.
  22. he gone.

    The Curious Case of Micker Adolfo

    Unfortunately he's just a case of a roster crunch. That's a good thing. In 2018 he'd get his chance, but for now he'll have to do it on another team and I wish him luck. With all the injuries he's had he needs consistent bats and he's not getting those, nor does he deserve those on the White Sox. Not something that's realistic, but its too bad baseball doesn't have a rule like NCAA where maybe you could apply for a medical year and push back, would seem to help. but i digress. Either way, at most he's maybe worked his way into some sort of value alongside a Sheets or Burger to grab a rotation arm. At the least he's worked his way into a waiver claim by teams like Pirates, Texas, Washington, Miami, etc. As someone said we're just delaying the inevitable if he's rostered in the first month. He won't get the AB's here, the month ends and you end up with the same result and realistically his best outcome is a Daniel Palka type existence which wouldn't (and shouldn't) put him above guys like Engel or even Sheets. wish him well, hope he has a great career.
  23. $6mm available now - soo... knowing the sox and our need they'll use it on Johnny Cueto
  24. he gone.

    Unbelievable

    The statement "the money will be spent" is very open to interpretation and likely those who have picked their side will remain on said side. From my perspective the Sox have mostly not held up their end of the bargain. Which is to say when you make that comment it's not a 1 for 1 that the $250mm allocated for Machado is going to be spent. Nor is it realistic to say if we had Machado that it would be the only signing. The Sox would still have to supplement with pitching contracts, OF, utility guys, etc. Based on that, I am not accounting below for signings like Eaton, Leury, Harrison, etc. I also adamantly disagree with Hahn's (biased) interpretation of including contracts to Robert, Eloy, etc. All he is doing is locking in arbitration years. It's a calculated decision to possibly overpay v injury risk v underpay. The extra year or whatever at the end technically is spending - but again, it's risk mitigation tactics. It's hedging. It's business, not "the money will be spent". It's naive to think Machado would be a one person signing. You still would need to supplement RF, SP, etc. Like if you have Machado it's not like we aren't in the market for Keuchel types to solidify a rotation ... so more money than $250mm would've been spent. I am also not counting guys like Abreu ... that's a guy who was on your team and would remain on your team. He wasn't going anywhere regardless of a Machado signing. You're not signing Manny to be competitive and letting Abreu walk. Lastly, I am not comparing their payroll to other payrolls. I don't care if we're 7 or 20th. The way i look at it is season tickets are up 30%. I have my all-time high payroll for Sox tickets. The price to park, eat, etc is at all time highs. JR was still charging equal each year when he took payroll down and was uncompetitive, so that's money pocketed. He should be spending at the very least 30% more than his all-time high & a bit over to account for years where he didn't. There are ways to do this where those contracts are shorter and at a higher AAV to correspond with the "core" contracts expiring and needing to be re-upped. 2022 Off-season: Kendall Graveman - 3/24 (Not including Kelly, Harrison, others - don't think they're more than your regular additions that would happen during course of business 2021 Off-season (plus in-season): Kimbrel - .5yr/8mm Liam Hendricks 3/54 Lance Lynn (eventual extension) 2/38mm 2020 Off-season: Yaz 4/73 Keuchel: 3/55 Edwin Encarncion: 1/12 Add those all up? You have $264mm of the $250mm allocated. Unfortunately as teams looking for the next step sometimes do, they had to spend in 2020 when their window wasn't open/opening. Arguably i think it was a poor move to push the pedal down a year early, but part of the job in a way. Much rather would've had that money spent 2022, 2023, 2024. So, is Hahn right? Kind of. At the same time, not really. Are the Sox spending? Kind of. Are they misallocating? Kind of. Are they doing a great job? Kind of. We tend to remember the bad stuff - Machado not signing, Eaton, Tatis trade, Keuchel, Kimbrel, Madrigal, etc. but don't remember the good stuff ... Lynn for Dunning during this window and a reasonable extension. the fact we have Eloy and Cease for Q. Abreu re-signing when he was mid 30's and looking like maybe falling off. Yaz. Overall I think Hahn has done an above average job. I think JR has not. I in no way think the money is being spent, but at the same time that was a dumb PR statement to make. End of the day this will be a fun team. We have depth now with the Pollock trade. 2b isn't ideal, but it's 2b at the end of the day. The thinnest position is SP. With a thin minors I think it was silly not to attack a high-end experienced arm since they'll be expensive to acquire mid-season and were multiple available. Scherzer contract was too heavy, so get it. But Verlander 2/50mm? That's a deal you have to beat - he's a difference maker. Going into a playoff series with Verlander, Giolito, Lynn, Cease and (limited innings) Kopech is heavy hitter stuff. Or Rodon. Or Stroman even. You needed an extra arm. They didn't get it. Ultimately i think that bites us and is the difference between a pennant, WS etc.
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