KipWellsFan

At a glance it looks like Clinton will hang on, but I also said the state would be called 5 hours ago...

QUOTE (kapkomet @ May 6, 2008 -> 09:45 PM) Why is it always different? I just don't understand. When it's "your guy" or "your party" it seems like it gets excused. You guys are such Debbie Downers. Of course Obama won't be that much different from the past but using some random link from a random supporter to make your point? Relax.

QUOTE (fathom @ May 6, 2008 -> 10:55 PM) Hillary won Hammond and a few other towns in Lake County, according to the mayor. Yah seriously, I don't care if he's giving us results, but calling a candidate from your own party weak? I hope he gets some calls tomorrow putting his ass in place.

QUOTE (SoxFan562004 @ May 6, 2008 -> 08:36 PM) Brian, I don't know a ton about the process, but this had to be a giant night for Obama. Hillary is going to have a difficult time to realistically spin this any positive way. She's going to have trouble fund raising again after tonight Hell, I'm not watching on tv, but I imagine Clinton doesn't have any clue when to do her speech, and what to say in it. Obama has won the expectations game.

QUOTE (Athomeboy_2000 @ May 6, 2008 -> 08:16 PM) Most of the time when i say it, I get shouted down. but this could be a REAL republican effort to keep her alive. Like I said earlier, if you facotr out the republicans, the exit polls show Clinton +2.8 rather than almost 5. Yah, but what can anybody do about it? It just sounds like whining.

Laporte is matching the statewide total at over 50% reporting there.

QUOTE (Balta1701 @ May 6, 2008 -> 08:00 PM) The only 2 worth noting are Wayne County and LaPorte County. Wayne County hasn't come in at all yet, and voted 10000 for Kerry in 04. LaPorte I already mentionned. So a big Hillary win in Wayne County means that between those 2 the margin is 6500 coming in favor of her, which I think probably cancels out everything other than Lake County that still has to be counted that would be PrObama. He'd need to win Lake by about 35000 votes then I think, give or take 5000, which means he'd have to win Lake by the same percent margin he won Indy, give or take again. Wayne county is all in I think. You may mean Union County. EDIT: no one lives in Union.

QUOTE (Balta1701 @ May 6, 2008 -> 08:51 PM) More importantly...it's down to 32,000 votes with probably enough to bring it down to 25,000 remaining without Lake (Monroe is still hanging out at 23%, Marion still counting, Tippecanoe half counted). A solid showing in Lake drops it down even more. There's still some Clinton areas to come in too.

QUOTE (Athomeboy_2000 @ May 6, 2008 -> 08:43 PM) FYI: If my numbers are right, Obama just passed Clinton in popular vote (primaries AND caucuses) INCLUDING FL and MI. +61,063 Yah, Obama might not win Indiana tonight, and I don't think he will, but there is nothing in these numbers that will change superdelegates minds. Big win for Obama tonight.

QUOTE (Athomeboy_2000 @ May 6, 2008 -> 08:38 PM) He can pull this off. If not, it might get down to 1 or 2 points. We're assuming Lake County is going to go for Obama in the first place?

QUOTE (CWSGuy406 @ May 6, 2008 -> 08:27 PM) I think CNN said its population is something like 8% of the state (correct me if I'm wrong, someone). About 500,000 people

Wow, Obama kicking butt in North Carolina. Up 30% with 11% reporting.

QUOTE (Balta1701 @ May 6, 2008 -> 05:57 PM) Probably true...but I'd still live with "Closer than expected in IN" being the result, because it's a delegate fight. Yah, I think this is probably a decent night for Obama.

QUOTE (lostfan @ May 6, 2008 -> 05:54 PM) I'm looking at CNN's map here, and there is nothing from northwest IN yet which right now is assumed to be pro-Obama, and Indianapolis is also 60-40 Obama right now and it's only 20% counted. They'll call it for Clinton soon enough.

QUOTE (Balta1701 @ May 6, 2008 -> 04:06 PM) God it'd be nice to outperform expectations tonight. Somehow I doubt it given the expectation for N.C. will be what Drudge has run all day, but it really would. Last time drudge had a Clinton insider like this is PA it was actually pretty accurate but I still never trust insider comments like this. You never know if they're playing the expectations game, or how they're trying to play it.

QUOTE (bmags @ May 6, 2008 -> 04:08 PM) Well, he has a legacy in NAFTA and has major props from historians for his huge coalition in Iraq. He got crucified because he made a bargain with Congress (that was a good bargain, btw), but raised taxes when he said he wouldn't. He was a responsible president, I don't look down upon him. But then again, GREAT, I don't think he dealt with enough to be considered Great, especially for one term, he'd need a Polk like term to be considered great. The first part didn't deal with NAFTA, raising taxes, or Iraq but gave him great credit for how he handled the unification of Germany and got them into NATO without rubbing everyone's nose in it or gloating.

Nothing to do with Carrier but I watched the first part of the 4 hour special on George H.W. Bush last night. Speaking of liberal bias the documentary not only paints H.W. as a good President but a great one. I believe the second part is on tonight. Very thorough look at Dubya's daddy. PBS rocks my socks.

QUOTE (Brian @ May 6, 2008 -> 01:06 PM) If Obama wins both states, is Hillary pretty much done? Yes.

I'm sick of Swisher and his silly facial hair. I mean if you're going to have the most obnoxious facial hair in the league you better hit more than .200.

Saw Iron Man yesterday. Action and superhero people will love it, but I didn't think it was particularly inspired.

I've never understood why Owens doesn't get a little more credit around here. Hitting 270 with 32 stolen bases in limited appearance in the American league last year isn't bad, and he's doing well at Triple A so far this year.

QUOTE (BigSqwert @ Apr 29, 2008 -> 01:46 PM) I tend to agree but why doesn't the MSM lock onto that fact? Because it's not over at all. No one is obliged to vote any which way at the convention, if it gets to that. As for Rev Wright, screw him, the guy has single handedly worsened the reputation of religion, blacks, and Barack Obama with his nonsense.

What is the deal with Southland Tales? What a mess.

QUOTE (Athomeboy_2000 @ Apr 23, 2008 -> 08:59 AM) I dont agree with him doing this, but two can play at this game Ms. Clinton... Will Obama Campaign Start Hitting Hillary Over Whitewater And Cattle Futures? Let's forget about Obama dubious connections that were not illegal (but stupid) and look at how the Clinton's committed several crimes. I have no idea what cattle futures is all about but I doubt Obama will be bringing up Lewinsky or Whitewater anytime soon.

QUOTE (SoxFan562004 @ Apr 22, 2008 -> 08:53 PM) Is Obama going to spin this with how much he closed the gap in the last month or so? Didn't the polls show her about 20 points up at one point? That would be bulls***. The frontrunner should not finish 10 points behind.