Gene Honda Civic

QUOTE(silver and black @ Feb 12, 2005 -> 12:12 AM) i like the video.google.com part somebody must do a lot of searches for "sybian" and the like....

QUOTE(Chisoxfn @ Feb 11, 2005 -> 01:15 PM) I'm going to put in all the names of people who asked specifically to join this league. I am going to do it in a first come first serve basis so give me a few days to look back cause I know people posted this type of stuff in a few threads. I don't think there will be more then 1-2 openings, but you never know. And remember, there is going to be a 2nd keeper league as well. This one will start this year so just because you don't get in this one, you will still be able to get in the other one. Waiting List: WinningUgly SoxBadger Jas, I hope you have the teams saved --- I had pulled everyone's teams into a text file, but I wipe my HD in Decemeber. The list was among the casualties... I remember that I wanted to wait until Clemens figured out what he was going to do... Clemens, Zambrano, And Manny Ramirez were the only guys who I can remmeber as being keeper-worthy... but I don't remember eveyone else... I think I had Shingo and Foulke... And Konerko and Hafner...

In the interest of fairness... Here's some random guy who thinks we had a good offseason(#4) -- Of course, it quickly becomes apparent that he's a complete dolt. He's got the Giants(Benitez, Vizquel, Matheny, Alou) #1 and the Cubs and Reds in the top 10... http://msnbc.msn.com/id/6949804/

Over/Under on how many days until it's declared a hoax?

pfft... You guys are slipping... I've had the quote from this article in my sig for two days....

Same method as my previous post, career ERA+'s and staff averages used just to help illustrate 1) Boston -- Shilling(131), Wells (110), Clement(98), Wakefield (109), Arroyo(101), Miller(116) -- avg = 110.8 Wow do I like this rotation the avg ERA doesn't match the yankees, but I'd feel comfortable running any of these guys out to the mound every 5 days. If I was a boston fan, I would have a Wakefield jersey. I don't know how that guy does it. This rotation isn't really built for the post season, but Wells, Shilling and Wakefield have been "gamers" before -- This rotation is going to be steadier than the yanks, and Boston will likely win the division this year.(wow, I can't believe I said that) 2) New York -- JOhnson(144), Mussina(127), Pavano(100), Wright(91), Brown(130) -- avg = 118.4 Johnson is the only sure bet for next season. Mussina and Brown had disapointing '04s, and Pavano and Wright are unproven despite their exceptional '04s 3) Minnesota -- Santana(136), Radke(114), Silva(108), Lohse(94), AAAFodder(80) -- avg = 106.4 Strength at the top, Silva is gonna need to come through again for them to remain a top Rotation. 4) Chicago -- Buehrle (124), Garcia(114), Duque(116), Garland(100), Contreras(93) -- avg = 109.4 Solid top to bottom. Question marks are health of Duque and Head of Conreras. If Garland shows improvement could be among the best staffs in baseball. -------These next 5 are interchangable -- They all have whole and big question marks (much like us, so I guess I'm being a homer putting us 4th) ----- 5) Oakland -- Harden (111), Zito (132), haren (86), Blanton(84), Meyer(inf.), Cruz(105) -- avg = ifinity/6 This rotation isn't as bad as it looks -- They only need one of Blanton/Haren/Meyer/Cruz to be dominant. And it's a pretty good bet that one of them will be, so long as two of them are decent(league average) 6) Anaheim -- Colon(116), escobar(107), washburn(112), lackey(99), Byrd(107) avg = 108.2 I didn't realize how bad this rotation was. Not that it's bad, I just thought it was better.. Washburn has been Garland for the last 2 years, and Colon was terrible in the first half last season... Byrd, Lackey, and Washburn are essentially league average pitchers, and I don't think COlon/Escobar are as good as some other AL teams 1-2 punches. 7) Seattle -- MOyer(107), Pinero (118), Madritch(132), Meche (99), Franklin(106) -- avg = 112.4 With the exception of Madritch, who was awesome last year, this entire rotation underachieved in '04... They should rebound, and may have the best rotation in the West if Moyer can get the magic back. 8) Toronto -- Halladay(122), lilly (101), Batista(103), Bush(132), Towers (91) -- avg = 109.8 Even though their average rates higher than Minnesota and Chicago, I'm putting them below.. They've got one horse(halladay) One young stud(bush), and three john garlands, that's not a recipe for sucess. Bush's ERA+ shouldn't hold too much weight as he hasn't pitched all that much. 9) Cleveland -- Sabathia(108), Westbrook(102), Lee(92), Millwood(111), Elarton(89) -- avg = 100.4 Westbrook is really the ace of this staff. Cliff Lee and Kevin Millwood are both question marks about what type of production they're going to get. 10) Texas -- Rogers(108), Drese(93), Park(101), YOung(106) AAA fodder(80) -- avg = 97.6 nothing worthy of note here... I think their pitching coach could outpitch some of these guys... I'm looking at you Chan Ho. 11) Baltimore -- Ponson(98), Lopez(101), Bedard (103), Chen (100), Cabrera(96) avg = 99.6 would you like a rotation that featured 5 jon garlands? neither would I. 12) Detroit -- Johnson (90), Maroth(90), Bonderman(85), Robertson (85), Ledezma (84) -- avg = 86.8 This should be a great rotation.... in '07, they're still a couple years away. 13) Kansas City -- SUCKS -- I'm not gonna waste my time -- Greinke is good though. 14) Devil Rays -- Suck, I'm not gonna waste my time --

My Rankings, Just AL Central for now... Full AL later tonight. I used each pitchers career ERA+ to help illustrate the rankings... Minnesota -- Santana(136), Radke(114), Silva(108), Lohse(94), AAAFodder(80) -- avg = 106.4 Chicago -- Buehrle (124), Garcia(114), Duque(116), Garland(100), Contreras(93) -- avg = 109.4 Cleveland -- Sabathia(108), Westbrook(102), Lee(92), Millwood(111), Elarton(89) -- avg = 100.4 Detroit -- Johnson (90), Maroth(90), Bonderman(85), Robertson (85), Ledezma (84) -- avg = 86.8 Kansas City -- SUCKS -- I'm not gonna waste my time -- Greinke is good though. I put Minnesota ahead of us for a couple reasons, 1) Santana was ungodly last year ERA+ in the 180's 2) I don't expect us to have a full season of Duque, I count him at about half a year, with half a year of AAAfodder picking up the rest. Cleveland is much closer to our rotation than the league average ERA+ would indicate... Westbrook was flat nasty last year (he pitched a hidden perfect game like Shingo) Detroit is counting on a bunch of youngsters, and probably will clock in right around league average this year...

The ninth spot is for you worst hitter.... OBP Crede -- .304 Uribe -- .307 Are the only two candidates flirting with a clayton-like OBP That being said, if all you are worrying about is "who should bat 9th" then you are in pretty damn good shape.

That's nothing -- Did we post the story about the guy who cut his own off in a bar bet after his team (rugby or football) won something? That was very recently

QUOTE(southsider2k5 @ Feb 10, 2005 -> 03:17 PM) No hate for Gload, but I think his numbers are skewed upwards by his part time status, and the fact that Oz picked the spots to use him, where he knew he would be more effective. He never used him against a tough lefty, it was always against RHP. If he played everyday against all pitching like Jurrassic his numbers would come back to earth quickly. I don't think he would be bad, but he wouldn't be hitting .320, that's for sure. I think you should check the splits -- Gload had a better avg/obp/slg vs. LHP... He was surprisingly good vs. them.

QUOTE(Soxbadger @ Feb 10, 2005 -> 03:15 PM) Unlike Pods, Gload has only played 1 season. If you want me to make up statistics for Gload and compare them to Everett's career. I just dont understand, generally we overhype players when they come up. Gload actually produced as a rookie and people want to diss his production because he did not get enough AB's. Im so puzzeled. Why the hate for Gload? And how many other teams would say a guy who hit .320 in his first season was a "nice bench player". lol SB You're preaching to the choir here.... I wanted(well not wanted, but if it had to come to it) Konerko gone, with Gload being the starting 1B... I still would have liked to have seen Lee in right, Rowand in Center, and Dye in RF, with Everett stealing a bunch of Dye vs. RHP AB's and filling in at DH. With pods gone we would have a better OBP, more power, and less of a lefty/righty platoon split.

QUOTE(nitetrain8601 @ Feb 10, 2005 -> 03:00 PM) I also don't get this talk for Rowand as a #3. He had one pretty good season. His career stats do not indicate he should be batting #3. Let's see what he does this year before we annoint him king. He should get 85 rbi's this year if he wants to be at the #3 slot and hit for a high OBP and avg. Until then let's not talk about him batting in the 3 hole. I don't get the RBI requirement for the #3 hole.... RBI's are a product of your spot in the order/the number of men on base when you come up... Rowand's .310/.361/.544 is better than anything Konerko has ever put up, and the last time Dye had a season like that (.321/.390/.561) it was during the Clinton Administration. Nevermind that he's batted below .250 for the last three years. I conceded yesterday in this thread that I actually wouldn't bat Rowand 3rd, but that was only because he would lead off vs. LHP, and Everett should be 3rd vs. RHP because he is the best hitter we have against righties not named Frank. I was unaware of the RBI prerequisite that was was required to hit in the #3 spot until this thread.

SB, I'm about as big of a Gload fan as you can find on this board, but I wouldn't be giving him too many opportunities over Jurassic next season.... Everett's .288/.361/.501 3-yr vs. RHP is second only to frank on the team... The fact is, against righties, he has to be in the line-up... He's better than any of the other 3 OFers we have, and Kong... Lefties is another story... Everett should abandon the Switch hitting, a .238/.301/.354 just deosn't cut it. I wouldn't mind seing Glaod get a bunch of AB's at the beginning of the season vs. LHP and spelling Kong at 1B, with Everett taking an OF spot for some of the RHP.... But I don't think you can give him the starting Dh/1B out of ST.

QUOTE(southsider2k5 @ Feb 10, 2005 -> 12:49 PM) You want to do it again? Sure, but We get Anthrax.

QUOTE(JUGGERNAUT @ Feb 10, 2005 -> 12:52 PM) QUOTE(Gene Honda Civic @ Feb 10, 2005 -> 07:14 PM) OK, I replied the first time becuase I was amazed at your accuracy. Narrowing down the chance of scoring to tenths of a percentage point is impressive, even if it is bulls***. Start here -- http://www.tangotiger.net/#Baseruns -- Baseball Prospectus also has a good "intro to sabr" series -- http://baseballprospectus.com/about/ -- You need to learn how to read better. No where in my discussion of doubles & the lineup do I ever make any claim to OVERALL run predictions from these players. I am talking SITUATIONAL run prediction! That situation is very simply Koney at the plate with a man on 2B & AJP at the plate with a man on 2B. Nothing more than that! Now if you think using a players OBP is a better than using an average of the 2B production you're a fool. Likewise if you believe using a player's OBP is better than BA for determining the probability of a runner scoring from 2B on one hit you are a bigger fool. Ok, My mistake. Next time we have Kong at the plate and one of three players on second, I know I'll sleep better at night knowing we'll score at least 27.2% of the time.

QUOTE(southsider2k5 @ Feb 10, 2005 -> 11:32 AM) Anyone remember who league two's commish was??? dat was me

QUOTE(IlliniKrush @ Feb 10, 2005 -> 11:59 AM) Sweet, i'm in a photo for the article Photoshop Contest?

QUOTE(Gene Honda Civic @ Feb 10, 2005 -> 12:16 PM) Now take off those pants, I think they'd look better on my floor.... Uggh -- I didn't realize how bad that looked...

QUOTE(Man Of Steel @ Feb 10, 2005 -> 11:57 AM) haha no its only how you know me from a message board.. you dont hang out with me or know me personally so its a totally different situation Now take off those pants, I think they'd look better on my floor....

QUOTE(JUGGERNAUT @ Feb 10, 2005 -> 11:05 AM) QUOTE(JUGGERNAUT @ Feb 10, 2005 -> 12:00 AM) There's at least a 27.7% chance of a score when one of Pods, Aaron, or Dye/Thomas 2B. There's at least a 27.2% chance of a score when one of Everett/Dye, Uribe, or Iggy 2B. * Again you can't score from 2B without a hit or a major error. BA is the best indicator for how likely a player with get a hit with 1 swing of the bat. OK, I replied the first time becuase I was amazed at your accuracy. Narrowing down the chance of scoring to tenths of a percentage point is impressive, even if it is bulls***. I directed you to OPS as a better indicator of runs scored, even though I warned this was misguided also. The correlation between OPS and runs scored is about .85, but the correlation between BA and runs scored is much lower, about .7(I'm to lazy to go look it up, but that's about what I remember it being) My point was you can't take three player's batting average, add/subtract/multiply/divide/whatever and accurately predict how many runs they will produce. There's too many other factors, in fact OBP is a better indicator of Runs Scored than BA. If you'd like to learn how to accurately predict run production, I can direct you to a few links, but you gotta stop masquerading like you know what you're doing. Start here -- http://www.tangotiger.net/#Baseruns -- read the 3 parter on Base Runs, and the addendum if you're feeling abitious. Then read the OPS Begone articles, and anything else on that site that tickles your fancy. If you have questions, I'll try to help, but I'm nowhere near as smart as those guys. Baseball Prospectus also has a good "intro to sabr" series -- http://baseballprospectus.com/about/ --

QUOTE(LosMediasBlancas @ Feb 10, 2005 -> 10:44 AM) The two situations are totally different. The 1st couple have kids and had and on going relationship and claimed to be in love. This other kid, from what it sounds like so far, was just in a physical relationship. If it turns out that there was more to it and she was jerking him around (no pun intended) with love and marriage talk, I'll change my opoinion. There is no such thing as a no-strings-attached relationship at 13... Hence the post above where I mention sex exactly zero times, and "relationship" multiple times.

QUOTE(SuperSteve @ Feb 10, 2005 -> 10:29 AM) I think if Carl gets hitting, we'd have to have him in the OF, and it is nice though that Podsednik can play CF if we need, as we have four quality OFs, as well as Willie and Timo if need be. Look, "Timo" and "quality OFer" in the same sentence... Even I don't hold that big of a grudge, to bump this thread just for that... Steve are you really in Egypt? What for?

QUOTE(The Critic @ Feb 10, 2005 -> 10:12 AM) Unfortunately that's most likely true. And it IS unfortunate IMO that most guys regard sex that lightly. It's not true... The kid's f***ed, whether he liked it, was an active pursuer, whatever... He's gonna be messed for life... He'll seek out relationships where he's yields control, or looks for older women, or scours the internet for teacher/student snuff films, or like to dress up as a baby and be diapered, or you get the picture... The one thing he won't be, without a lot of psychological help, is a normal sexually well-adjusted adult who has normal relationships. Those saying that they would have been all for it (Hey I admit I thought the same thing when I first saw it) are doing so with the mind of a old. Remember for a second what it was like to be 13 and in a relationship -- This is gonna be hard for some of you -- This is a time when relationships are measured in hours and days, yet the emotions attached seem greater than anything you've ever experienced before... There's no way a 13yo can mark this relationship as just another notch on the bedpost. It's going to affect him deeply, for years and years.

QUOTE(knightni @ Feb 10, 2005 -> 09:53 AM) Uh, I thought people were saying that SPod's defense was his problem, not his strong suit. When a player has a bad year with the bat, they are almost always called a good glove man... It's from the if-you-don't-have-anything-nice-to-say category of baseball cliches. I have never had this problem... Pods defense is like Jose Valentin. You're going to have a wide range of opinions. Some will say he's great because he makes diving catches, negelecting to see him take two steps back before breaking in on the ball. Others, will say he gets bad jumps, and should be put at a less demanding defensive position. All I know for sure is Aaron Rowand is almost universally regarded as a very good CF, and Pods is not.

QUOTE(mreye @ Feb 10, 2005 -> 09:41 AM) Who cares!? :sleep :puke I got my invite yesterday.... I guess yours was "lost in the mail"?