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South Side Hit Men

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Everything posted by South Side Hit Men

  1. Wonder if Kopech is in track to pitch 1-2 innings tonight, or they are saving him for Wed/Thur. Lopez likely unavailable after 40 Sunday, everyone else should be available. Don’t want to see Tepera again until a game margin is 6 + runs either way.
  2. When you do the math, you choose McGrath. bWAR (2020-2021): Lopez 2.8; Madrigal 1.7 fWAR (2020-2021): Lopez 2.1; Madrigal 1.5
  3. Not impressive, against a lefty. White Sox 1 Royals 0
  4. Hawk has TWTW. Tony has TWTSL - The Will To Start Leury. I expect Leury to continue to play most days (down from everyday) after Robert returns. Tony likes his guts, and will continue to rotate him across all the OF, and 2B/3B in the infield, to give guys days off and keep that "valuable" switch hitting (i.e. Tony pleasing RLRLRLRL puzzle piece) player in the lineup. I'd prefer to keep him as infield reserve only and 1-2 starts per week once Robert returns (with Engel and Vaughn the other primary OFs).
  5. If you read the attached article, most media outlets do not enforce a code of ethics when it comes to gambling, even bets on teams the media employees cover. The SEC enforces rules on investing, there is no equivalent for sports gambling beyond statutes covering the fixing of the results of games. MLB has partnered with gambling companies, the Ricketts are opening a sports book, the RSNs are branded by a casino company (Bally's), media companies are morphing into gambling info services.
  6. This is the first time this year Yoan has batted lower than 5th (he did this eleven starts combined the previous two seasons). We'll see if Eloy can make it through a full game tonight.
  7. And welch if you lost.
  8. Not surprised there is no adherence to a professional code of conduct / ethics at the four letter network / disney,
  9. I'd say 2022, which for whatever reason was not a poll option. This assumes there is a season and also the owners get their wish and expand to a garbage 16 + team playoff. 75-83 wins will be the cutoff under this scheme, where the regular season is trash, similar to the NHL and NBA, and any team with a pulse will make it. The Cubs got flexibility with these moves, only have $41M committed for next year (Heyward the last garbage contract), and I expect the Cubs to field a minimum $100M level payroll on Opening Day. They can always trade pieces off in July if it's going poorly. Kimbrel was the only player they traded under contract beyond 2021. If MLB retains the current 10 team playoff scheme, I'd say it would take to at least 2023-2024 for the Cubs to earn a spot.
  10. Perhaps Nick confronted The Stone Pony for his pornographic past (Playgirl). This may explain Steve Stone's post-trade comments trashing Madrigal on the Score. https://www.audacy.com/670thescore/podcasts/parkins-spiegel-show-63/spiegel-rongey-steve-stone-intervew-hour-3-601202086 Starts at 15:45 mark. I actually thought the comments were fair and accurate, but many here took umbridge at the following comments: "When you're making a trade, the best trade you make is when you might know something about a guy, that other people don't know." "You see how close they are to their ceiling, and know that that ceiling is not going to advance beyond where it is now." "I believe that he was over-drafted at first round, fourth pick in the draft. I think that's too high for him, because I think he's an adequate, at best defender. I thought he would run the bases better, he didn't. Look, he's a really good hitter who is not going to be impactful. Because of his size, everybody wanted to liken him to Pedroia, or Altuve. He's not going to be Pedroia or Altuve. That's just not the way he swings." "When you're 1-4, you gotta be a stud. Nick is not a stud. Nick is a good player, but again, you're going to have some situations defensively where you're going to look and say "you know what, the arm isn't all that good. The judgement might not be great."
  11. Can you give an example of an "affluent sportsmen", because I believe I speak for a lot of us that we don't know how you are using this term. Are the hedge fund owners of the Dodgers and Mets affluent sportsmen? The Steinbrenner Family? Mark Cuban? The fleabag Rickett Family? Any other affluent sportsmen in MLB ownership suites? All signs point to the Reinsdorf children taking over when Jerry steps down or passes. If the Reinsdorf children take up fox hunting, sailing, or equestrian sports like showjumping, steeplechase or polo, would they become affluent sportsmen/women, and would that improve White Sox fortunes? Can we expect Grey Poupon at concession stands?
  12. No, 1.7. Players over 2 were listed. If players between 1-2 were listed, the gap between the White Sox and the teams above would have grown much larger, since each of the four have several 1-1.9 fWAR projected players with IL time. Liked the graph you posted, showed the Sox had a wide circle with high projected players, but the number of player days lost was on the low end, consistent with the other analysis. And no Bama Doc, Madrigal's injury time was included in the OG post, was excluded in my latest to isolate "high impact players" with projected fWAR over 2.0.
  13. Cleveland ownership so cheap they opted for an intern instead of competent trademark attorneys. If they were smart, they would use this opportunity to change to the Spiders or another decent name over the tattoo coverup, but I expect them to double down on stupidity and battle harder for this name than they do to retain baseball talent.
  14. Well, with the debt structure and service for not only with the purchase, but also all of the hotels and renovations that went unused for 1 1/2 seasons, would be interesting to see their cash flow and p & l statements. The Sox were handed a taxpayer funded stadium, significant upgrades after the initial stadium was built, and have no debt service, so it’s a completely different ballgame. Ricketts personal wealth could cover more, but most owners stop doubling down at some point. The kids don’t have “stupid” personal money to play around with like a Cohen, which is why Jerry fought tooth and nail to prevent Cohen to purchase, and drive up player payroll.
  15. Hahn said Friday several teams were interested in Kimbrel on Thursday, so it made sense to finalize the Tepera deal and let the Kimbrel deal work itself out before the deadline.
  16. He's been on more teams (five) than he has service time years (four). He is a marginal 5th OF, decent platoon bat, poor glove and he's 30, that is why he is consistently DFAd.
  17. This is correct, WARP is typically more conservative with younger players, prudent overall due to the lack of performance track record. Players with an established record (performance, ability to play through a season healthy consistently), whereas younger players do not have an established record, take a few years to adjust to the grind of the season, and typically increase their ability and performance until they reach their peak age (26-28). It also doesn't include time not on the IL, such as Eloy who has already missed more games while not on the IL (4) than he has played (3, leaving the 3rd early), or time of such as when they gave Jose the series off vs. a formal IL stay. The Sox had key players out, but a much lower number of overall players out, which accounts for the Sox' lower position in terms of overall IL / WARP impact. Also, high impact players out for the entire season, such as Mike Clevenger or Justin Verlander, also impact the IL impacted WARP. fWAR lost by key players (2.0 + projected fWAR) YTD (Limited to current roster & Total IL days 10 +) New York Mets (10.5) : C. Carrasco 2.8 (2.8 X 120); N. Syndergaard 2.6 (2.6 X 122); J. DeGrom 1.3 (5.1 X 32); B. Nimmo 1.2 (2.5 X 60); M. Conforto 1.0 (3.3 X 37); J. McNeil 0.8 (3.0 X 35); F. Lindor 0.6 (5.1 X 15); P. Alonso 0.2 (2.6 X 12). Los Angeles Dodgers (9.1): C. Seager 2.8 (4.6 X 75); C. Bellinger 2.7 (5.4 X 61); D. May 1.6 (2.2 X 91); C. Kershaw 0.8 (3.4 X 28); M. Betts 0.5 (6.0 X 10); G. Lux 0.5 (2.4 X 23); M Muncy 0.2 (2.5 X 10). New York Yankees (7.9): L. Severino 2.7 (2.7 X 122); L. Voit 1.8 (2.6 X 86); A. Hicks 1.5 (2.4 X 77); C. Kluber 1.2 (2.1 X 67); A. Judge 0.4 (4.2 X 11); G. Stanton 0.3 (2.5 X 14). San Diego (6.5): M. Clevenger 3.0 (3.0 X 122); D. Lamet 1.4 (2.6 X 67); F. Tatis Jr 0.7 (4.4 X 19); T. Grisham 0.5 (2.4 X 27); B. Snell 0.3 (2.8 X 15); C. Paddack 0.3 (2.6 X 13); Y. Darvish 0.3 (3.1 X 10). White Sox: (6.1): L. Robert 2.4 (3.3 X 90); E. Jimenez 2.4 (2.5 X 116); Y. Grandal 0.8 (3.9 X 25); L. Lynn 0.3 (2.8 X 14); T. Anderson 0.2 (2.7 X 10). Data Used: Fan Graphs Preseason 2021 ZIPS Projections: https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=zips The denominator used is 187 days (For example: Luis Robert's projected fWAR 3.3 was multiplied by IL days missed (90) divided by MLB days to date of 122) or 3.3 X (90/122) = 2.43 = 2.4.
  18. Baseball Prospectus has a solid tool and graphics to plot out player injuries and impact by projected WAR (for BP it is WARP). Here is the White Sox Graph for the season, with injuries color coded. Details regarding the injury are available when you hover over each player on the site, but I can't convert that here. Currently, the Oakland A's are the only team in baseball with less players (4) currently on the IL than the White Sox (6). This second chart is YTD projected WARP lost due to injury. As I tried to convey here earlier this year, the Mets have had a much larger injury impact, and if you look at the rest of MLB, the Sox have been fortunate, primarily due to the fact their rotation and nearly all relievers have remained healthy this season. YTD Projected WARP lost due to injury 9.6 New York Mets 8.3 Los Angeles Dodgers 7.0 San Diego 6.3 New York Yankees 6.1 Toronto 5.9 Arizona 5.8 Houston 5.6 Los Angeles Angels 5.5 Saint Louis 5.4 Tampa Bay 5.4 Washington 5.2 Atlanta 4.6 Cincinnati 4.6 Seattle 4.3 San Francisco 4.3 Minnesota 4.1 Milwaukee 3.8 Cleveland 3.7 Chicago White Sox
  19. Yes, and Lambert did a great job keeping it close despite not having great stuff. Sox lose if either don’t dig deep and give the team a tied game heading into Bummer, Kimbrel and Hendriks.

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