mac9001

Just to be clear I'm not making the case that he's a better prospect than Eloy right now. Eloy's offensive floor is so high it's hard to argue ranking him anywhere other than #1. But his profile is likely closer to someone like JD Martinez than a true franchise player like Trout. Basabe has a super low floor with high bust potential, but he an excellent athlete. He has the athletic ability to be a really good defensive CF. He has high end speed that has already demonstrated the ability to steal bags. While it's only a month, it's still a solid month with a very respectable walk rate, moderate k-rate and decent pop. If this month is a reflection of his true hitting ability his long term peak potential is now probably a 6+ WAR player. It's perfectly understandable to be skeptical with such a low sample size of success. But there's a completely different (and fairly unique) range of peak potential when you have the intangibles Basabe possesses. It's the same reason why Moncada was the top prospect in baseball, he has 10 WAR peak potential. You need a unique set of intangibles to have type of potential. The reality on a guy like Eloy is his value on defensive/speed is likely to diminish at the major league level over his current projections, which limits his peak potential to something closer to a 5-6 WAR guy. While the odds are against Basabe, give me three more months of this production and it makes his case for elite prospect status a lot easier to make. Just to add one more clarification. I don't necessarily think he will be on some of these top 100 publications, just that he should be. If he continues to produce at this level.

If his OPS is north of 1.000 and his ISO is still above .300 in mid June there's no way he's not top 50. The ability to play CF at the big league level with legit offensive potential is a rare commodity. His contact rate and power appear to be sustainable. Robert still needs to prove he can handle CF before his high prospect status is justified and Eloy will need to mash as he's likely to be WAR negative in the field and on the base paths. Hayward was a 5 WAR player mostly due to defense and base running and he did that playing RF. Unless Eloy hits 50 bombs per year a speedy quality CF is still likely to be move valuable.

If Adolfo can improve his K-rate he'd be a legit top 100 prospect. I'm still worried his number will regress significantly if he can't bring the K-rate down. Basabe I would imagine has probably made the biggest leap so far among the top 30. If he keeps this up you can make the case for him being our most valuable position prospect. While I'm convinced Eloy will mash with the bat I'm still not entirely sold on his plate disciple and he'll be at best net neutral on defense and speed. Basabe has the potential to provide above average value at a premium position on both defense and speed. If he keeps this up at a minimum he's a top 50 prospect by mid year.

Kopech getting hit around a bit so far. I gotta say, I love how fast he works. Just catch's and throws.

Agree with everything but the Manchado part. Our payroll will be pitiful and Manchado fits even the most pessimistic prognosis of the rebuild. I'm not expecting them to compete next year, but I sure as hell expect them to at least throw some money around to try and jump start this thing.

Luis Martinez with another solid outing. They need to give him a legit shot at starting.

I don't think Giolito has thrown a single breaking ball for a strike this year. As poor as his fastball command has been today it's surprising he isn't getting totally lit up.

QUOTE (Jake @ Apr 7, 2018 -> 01:31 PM) Tricky thing with this can be when he's throwing the cutter that can look a lot like a slow fastball to the naked eye. Statcast differentiates between cutters, 2-seamers and 4-seamers. It's not identifying any of his pitches as a cutter which means there isn't sufficient movement for it to quality as a cutter. His first start his 4-seamer averaged at 91.4 (92.4 last year). His 2-seamer was at 90.5 (last year 91.7). Today he's below 90 on quite a few fastballs.

Giolito's fastball velocity has been very underwhelming so far, he's down probably another 2 MPH over even last year.

QUOTE (ChiSoxJon @ Apr 5, 2018 -> 10:59 PM) Thought it was low-mid 90's Just going off a couple tweets he was mostly throwing 2-seamers at 87-89, 4-seamer is 90+ but rarely thrown. I'm looking forward to seeing him on TV and it never hurts to be 6'7"so the velocity may play up if he has decent extension.

Promising start by McClure, but if his fastball sits in the upper 80s I don't see how that holds up over time.

They should just create a rule that says a pitcher can't leave the mound and a hitter can't leave the batter's box and in the event of an out the ball has to be immediately returned to the pitcher. No more throwing the ball around the diamond or the pitcher taking a stroll around the mound while a hitter gingerly strolls to the plate. Also no more timeouts. Other crazy ideas: Expand the strike zone to allow for higher strikes. Create an automated ball delivery system that pops balls out automatically to the pitcher after each throw(like an automated tee at the driving range). The catcher would just throw the ball away without getting up or having to throw it back. You can have ball boys collecting balls and add them back to the automated delivery system. This way if a pitcher really wants to push the pace they can throw a pitch and the second the pitch is delivered step on a push button to receive a new ball from a launcher on the mound. You can also use it to get rid of balls faster when the bases are empty. If the bases are empty and outfielder catches a ball he can just throw it into the stands while the pitcher is already getting set for the next pitch. Change the replay rules where there must be a coach's challenge to initiate a replay review and if if the challenger loses the team is charged an additional out. If all else fails create financial incentives to speed the game up. Bonuses for teams with shorter games, create a bonus pool that's distributed to players that incur the least amount of "dead" ball time.

i don't think there's a lot of value in taking it slow with guys like Guerrero or Stephens. I would have advocated taking it slower with guys like Kopech or Cease. But our 2nd tier guys should be pushed and if it's clear they can't cut it as a big league arm allow them to learn how to prepare to pitch out of the pen. Danish & Covey will likely never make another big league start, but there's a slim chance they might have a future career out of the pen. At this point it doesn't do them any service sending them out every 5 days to get hammered. I also don't understand how you can promote Clarkin or Puckett and leave Dunning in high-A ball.

QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Mar 28, 2018 -> 03:43 PM) They are cannon fodder. They are there until someone needs the spot, and then who cares. Might as well throw some of those innings to the guys we have at AA.

People put way too much stock into spring training. He's got a long way to go. But I expect he'll be in AA at some point this year.

I'm not particularly pleased with starting 4 guys in Charlotte's rotation that will struggle to get anyone out.

QUOTE (soxfan2014 @ Feb 13, 2018 -> 12:59 PM) Consider? This was the case all of last season. I actually meant to say 9 bullpen arms. With the flexibility Leury, Saladino & Sanchez provide I would consider putting a hard cap of 6 innings per start on the young arms and just trot out a new bullpen arm every inning.

I would imagine Ryan Cordell would need to really impress to the break camp with the team. Since he missed a big chunk of last year I figure he'll need to show at least 100 quality PAs to justify getting the a roster spot. With the roster flexibility Leury, Saladino, Sanchez, Delmonico & Davidson provide I wonder if the Sox would consider carrying 8 bullpen arms. In that case I would assume Cordell is the most likely to start in Charlotte. Anyone have any hope Engel will hit enough to justify a big league job?

A lot of the OF crunch will probably take care of itself. I just hope the Sox look to rid themselves of some dead weight (Hawkins, May). If they get in the way of ABs, just send them to the bench and keep them there.

QUOTE (Chicago White Sox @ Jan 30, 2018 -> 08:43 PM) Right now I think the OFs shake out like this: A. A+ AA LF: Gonzalez. Rutherford. Fisher CF: Robert. Basabe. Polo RF: Dedelow. Adolfo. Jimenez 4th: Destino. Call. Hawkins I fully expect Polo, Basabe, & Robert to move up a level after about six weeks and remain the primary CF at their respective levels. I think Call & Gonzalez also move up around that time, with someone from extended spring training getting promoted to Kannapolis. It's time for Hawkins to give pitching a shot. If we need to find him ABs we might as well just cut him. Polo, Fisher & Call should be pushed up a level if necessary to alleviate any AB crunch. But I think you pretty much nailed the opening day lineups.

QUOTE (Jack Parkman @ Jan 30, 2018 -> 04:20 PM) This I personally expect him to put up a season similar to his 2015 and 2016 seasons, which would be worth a non-tender in 2019. Most were shocked he was tendered in 2017. Most people forget that. Exactly. My guess is he regresses offensively. I expect his number to be closer to 15/16 than 17, which when combined with his defense will make him a below average RFer. Given his expected salary in arbitration, I expect we'll have a serious debate if he's worth the money.

QUOTE (ChiSox59 @ Jan 29, 2018 -> 03:16 PM) I see basically no scenario that Avi is here for the "long haul". If there was a bookie taking bets I'd feel more comfortable putting my money on Avi being non-tendered next off-season then getting a big extension.

Big fan of the list, awesome all around work. I personally just have this gut feeling Hansen is going to be an absolute beast. I watched a ton of his games last year in WS (MILB.TV) and the dude just looked unhitable for the first 3-4 innings than fatigue would set in and he'd get hit around a bit or his command would suffer. But when he was on he just appeared to be in total control. When I watched Kopech I never quite had that same feeling. The dude's stuff is unreal, but he just seemed to throw so many pitches that weren't anywhere near the zone it never seemed like really knew where the ball was going once it left his hand. One guy I've been looking forward to seeing again is Luis Martinez. I caught one of his games last year and the dude was just whipping guys out with his breaking ball. Dudes would swing and miss the ball by a foot. I'd love to see 3 or 4 more starts to get a better gage of his stuff but that once game left a lasting impression.

I will say this: I wouldn't even think of trading Kopech for Whitley, or say Hansen for Keller. I also feel pretty good about a lot of the guys in our system that could potentially become top 100 prospects, even guys like Adolfo or Basabe could quickly find themselves on a list if they start to produce given their tools. In addition guys like Spencer Adams or Jordan Stephens will never see a top 100 list, but I feel pretty good about both of those guys being MLB starters. Having several internal cost controlled back-end starting pitcher options is probably worth more than a top 100 prospect. Over the rebuild if we don't have to spend a single penny on the rotation I'll feel pretty good about our chances to compete.

QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Jan 20, 2018 -> 11:40 AM) Wait am I reading this right or did you describe the Democrats as "little interest in running a functional government"? Republicans.