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Everything posted by HuskyCaucasian
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2008 General Election Discussion Thread
HuskyCaucasian replied to HuskyCaucasian's topic in The Filibuster
Week in Review (July 23th-29th) Quinnipiac Out of It's Mind Virginia (PPP (D)) - Obama 46%, McCain 44%....... +2.0 Colorado (Rasmussen ) - Obama 50%, McCain 47%....... Obama +3.0 Florida (Rasmussen) - McCain 47%, Obama 49%....... Obama +2.0 Colorado (Quinnipiac/WSJ/WP) - Obama 44%, McCain 46%....... McCain +2.0 Michigan (Quinnipiac/WSJ/WP) - Obama 46%, McCain 42%....... Obama +4.0 Wisconsin (Quinnipiac/WSJ/WP) - Obama 50%, McCain 39%....... Obama +11.0 Minnesota (Quinnipiac/WSJ/WP) - Obama 46%, McCain 44%....... Obama +2.0 Minnesota (Rasmussen) - Obama 52%, McCain 39%....... Obama +13.0 New Jersey (Monmouth Univ.) - Obama 48%, McCain 34%....... Obama +14.0 South Carolina (Research 2000) - McCain 53%, Obama 40%....... McCain +13.0 New Hampshire (Rasmussen) - Obama 49%, McCain 45%....... Obama +4.0 Pennsylvania (Rasmussen) - Obama 51%, McCain 45%....... Obama +6.0 New Mexico (Rasmussen) - Obama 49%, McCain 43%....... Obama +6.0 California (Rasmussen) - Obama 52%, McCain 42%....... Obama +10.0 Mississippi (Research 2000) - McCain 51%, Obama 42%....... McCain +9.0 North Dakota (Research 2000) - McCain 45%, Obama 42%....... McCain +3.0 North Carolina (PPP (D)) - McCain 47%, Obama 44%.......McCain +3.0 Penn is an interesting survey. The Rasmussen poll shows Obama +6 and the Strategic Vision poll shows Obama +9. In 2004, Rasmusseen polls tended to lean in favor of democrats compared to final results and Strategic Vision tended to lean in favor of republicans compared to final results. So, what does this say? Both polls show a strong favor towards Obama. PA might be a lock for Obama. I am throwing the “Quinnipiac/WSJ/WP” polls out for the time being. 2 of them were way off compared to past polling and other polls conducted at the same time. Note Minnesota where one polls says Obama is up 13, but the Quinnipiac/WSJ/WP poll says he's only up 2. And, the Colorado poll is also a little off. No poll in recent months has shown McCain AHEAD in Colorado, so I have doubts about that one. -
QUOTE (BigSqwert @ Jul 30, 2008 -> 09:35 AM) You have insider information? when Fineman says he's talked directly to one of the 3 and that person confirmed it's down to those 3, it's good enough for me.
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QUOTE (Chet Lemon @ Jul 30, 2008 -> 09:30 AM) Dallas Morning News backing Pelosi's month-old suggestion. It wont happen. Like i said, it's confirmed that it is down to the 3 mentioned earlier.
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FYI: McCain just rolled out ANOTHER attack ad against Obama. Yes, ANOTHER. From the guy who said he'd run a "civil" campaign. And if I am not mistaken, of the last FOUR ads McCain has rolled out, ALL of them have attacked Obama, and NONE of them are about promoting John McCain.
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GOP Gets Desperate, Takes Quote out of Context- Highlighted on RNC.org: "I have become a symbol of the possibility of America returning to our best traditions,” he said. Clearly Obama in an elitist... oh wait, that was just part of the quote: "It has become increasingly clear in my travel, the campaign, that the crowds, the enthusiasm, 200,000 people in Berlin, is not about me at all. It’s about America. I have just become a symbol … .” Silly context. Gets in the way of good ol' fashioned attacks.
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QUOTE (BigSqwert @ Jul 29, 2008 -> 01:22 PM) Decent write up by Howard Fineman of a potential Kaine pick: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/25912762/ Check out this interview with Fineman. The end is telling. He said flat out that he talked to one of the 3 finalists and it is indeed down to Bayh, Bidden, Kaine. The vetting is over. Done. It's now up to Obama to pick one of the three. He can announce at anytime now. Possibly right before the olympics. For what it's worth, on Race for the White House, Gregory said that McCain has not asked for any "paperwork" from his finalists. So, it looks like he is nto close to picking just yet.
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Bye Ben and Kirk
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http://www.nytimes.com/2008/07/26/sports/f...amp;oref=slogin
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McCain: Obama Favors "retreating" from Space. LMAO! Really? You are so desperate to make Obama sound like the worlds biggest sissy that you say he wants to retreat from space? HAHAHA!!
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I have a feeling my origial projection of Aug 2-4th may be coming to fruition: Obama Visits VP Vetter's Office Again Combine that with the above linked story of Kaine canceling an appointment on Wednesday.
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McCain's Commander in Chief Test
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I've never been a fan of the "look at his negativity " ads. This kinda falls flat to me.
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QUOTE (Alpha Dog @ Jul 29, 2008 -> 01:29 PM) Most political blogs I am reading seem to think that McCain's pick will be Pawlenty from Minnesota. Evangelicals To McCain: Do Not Pick Romney
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QUOTE (bmags @ Jul 29, 2008 -> 12:44 PM) Okay, Balta, found you an answer, from MSNBC's story: Per Republican Senate caucus rules, if a member is indicted, he or she can no longer serve as chairman or ranking member of a committee. Stevens is a ranking member of the Senate Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee. No more clogged tubes!!
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I think everyone knew this was coming. It wasnt a matter of if, it was a matter of when.
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QUOTE (bmags @ Jul 29, 2008 -> 10:38 AM) how about his immigration stance and torture stance. those irk me to no end. His immigration policy is really more pandering. He still says he is in favor of "securing the borders" and immigration reform. He just tells only one side depending on who he is talking to.
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Obama's Shortlist: Bayh, Biden, Kaine Leaning heavily towards Bayh or Kaine.
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I think i had said this before, but I'll say it again. On a base level, there is not always an issue with "flip-flopping". Often it is legitimately based on a change in conditions. I cant think of a good example off the top of my head, but i know I have seen them in the past. However, it's when a change in opinion comes with no real explanation and happens to coincide with political expedience, it is a flip-flop. My 2 examples are not going to surprise anyone, but they are the ones I know most about: 1) In 1999, John McCain was against over-turning Roe v Wade. His exact words were- "But certainly in the short term, or even the long term, I would not support repeal of Roe v. Wade, which would then force X number of women in America to [undergo] illegal and dangerous operations." But in 2008, he said this "I don’t think a constitutional amendment is probably going to take place, but I do believe that it’s very likely or possible that the Supreme Court should — could overturn Roe v. Wade" Now he has always said he is not in favor of abortion as best as I know. the problem comes with this sudden change in mind about overturning RvW. He never gave an explanation and it sure seemed to coincide with his need to woo evangelicals to get the nomination. That's a Flip-Flop for political expedience. 2) In 2004, Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) said he opposed a constitutional ban on same-sex marriage: "The constitutional amendment we’re debating today strikes me as antithetical in every way to the core philosophy of Republicans" But on March 29, ABC reported that McCain confided to Jerry Falwell that he would support such an amendment: "McCain 'reconfirmed' to Falwell that he would support a federal constitutional amendment defining marriage as the union of one man and one woman if a federal court were to strike down state constitutional bans on gay marriage." Once again, he never gave an explanation and it sure seemed to coincide with his need to woo evangelicals to get the nomination. That's a Flip-Flop for political expedience. There is a list for something like 70 McCain "flip-flops" and I think you can argue (although I disagree) that many of them are "conditions based". But many have no logical reason for change. Many might be considered political pandering, but aren't always flip-flops... just trying to have two sides of the same coin. For that I reference his stance on Supreme Court Justices. Many "flip-flops" are also what i would call hypocrisy more than anything else. For that I reference McCain's never ending ties to lobbyists which he decries.
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Anything "reality"
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QUOTE (Texsox @ Jul 29, 2008 -> 08:40 AM) Absolutely, and smothered in raspberry jam it is about the greatest thing on their menu :headbang . Amen!
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http://cbs2chicago.com/business/bennigans....n.2.782428.html
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QUOTE (CrimsonWeltall @ Jul 28, 2008 -> 09:15 PM) We formerly used WebTrends, but that costs $$$$$$$$$. Free is good. My thoughts exactly. I'm not using it to sell advertising or anything like that. So it's good for basic traffic data. It probably could be used easily for selling adds, but I have no need for it.
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QUOTE (bmags @ Jul 28, 2008 -> 07:27 PM) google has so much cool stuff it's hard to even keep track of. what are your web sites athomeboy Nothing fancy. Ones my personal website and the other is the church / school I work for.
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I recently decided to give Google Analytics a try on two of the three websites I manage. I must say, I was very impressed. It gave me a real idea of traffic flow and what pages need to be kept most up-to-date. I am curious if anyone has experience with Google Analytics.
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QUOTE (bmags @ Jul 28, 2008 -> 03:51 PM) going the way of some other things... is that implying it's going to the graveyard? Yes. I didnt post the full quote, but they go on to talk about how Clinton promised cap and trade and never lived up to it. It's almost like he implied McCain's stance was simply pandering for votes or not realistically reachable (aka wouldn't pass congress) Here's the full quote: I think cap and trade is going to go the way of some other things, as you may remember, when he came into office, Bill Clinton had a proposal of tax carbons and stuff like that. I don’t think those things are going to get very far as people start to examine the details of them.
