jackie hayes

QUOTE(Flash Tizzle @ Apr 17, 2007 -> 12:48 AM) It's hardly unreasonable for the killer to shoot both victims, perhaps plant a gun, and hope that all the attention drawn to the incident wouldn't extend beyond those in the room. Then, several hours afterwards, have an opportunity to continue shooting others with the perception of additional time afforded to him. I'm just speculating here, really. From my perspective, as criminology major, I've read several cases where an individual attempts odd diversion tactics to buy extra time. One noteable example is Derrick Klebold and Eric Harris setting off a timed, home made explosive to draw the attention of Littleton fire and police officials. Hell, the bomb threats reported earlier in the week may have been the shooter examining the response time of campus police. Okay, it's conceivable. And in 24, it's conceivable that a terrorist organization would set up a minor distraction to lure law enforcement away from the upcoming nuclear blast. But it's not predictable, and that's key. It's not a normal pattern. Almost any noticeable event could be a distraction -- should a campus be shut down for any surprising event?

QUOTE(FlaSoxxJim @ Apr 17, 2007 -> 12:43 AM) Agreed, there was no indication that the shooter wasn't going to stop with the domestic incident. Domestic shootings like the first incident seemed to be are, sadly, not uncommon. But how many of those develop into a random murder spree such that the authorities here could have predicted it? I wonder how random this was, though. The guy seemed to have a plan. Going as far as chaining the doors? Christ... That's pretty sick.

This makes no sense to me. If something looks like domestic violence, you don't expect the shooter to go on a carefully thought-out killing spree in a classroom building. There's just no connection. (Assuming, of course, that this is the same guy.)

QUOTE(FlaSoxxJim @ Apr 16, 2007 -> 08:52 PM) I've been careful not to blame the authorities for not going full lockdown and such after the first incident. But if it turns out these were unrelated and they had a person of interest in the first incident and then released him, then they really did screw up. Has that been suggested somewhere in the coverage? I feel like I missed something.

Apparently there were 2 bomb threats in the last couple weeks, both targeted at engineering buildings. http://abcnews.go.com/US/story?id=3045900&page=1

QUOTE(aboz56 @ Apr 16, 2007 -> 02:14 PM) Anyone hear any speculation on a motive for this? Someone on MSNBC speculated revenge against a professor or an ex-girlfriend QUOTE(StrangeSox @ Apr 16, 2007 -> 02:17 PM) Two speculations have been a girlfriend or a dispute with a professor. I'm not going to pay much attention to any theories on that until much later. There's almost nothing. I've been trying to find stuff on message boards. From the WaPo's story comment section (wading through all the tiresome gun control arguments -- please, don't let these start here): Lord knows if this has even a kernel of truth. Doesn't really explain the shootings in the classroom, though.

QUOTE(Jenks Heat @ Apr 16, 2007 -> 12:21 PM) You know the thing about Jackie Robinson was he was the first black player but Larry Doby came on only 12 days later. Am I wrong on the dates here? I always thought that Jackie Robinson was the only black player for a year or two...... I think this is how it went, though I'm not entirely sure -- JR was signed more than a year earlier, but spent a year (1946) in the minors. After he started playing in the bigs the next year, Doby was signed (Wikipedia claims it was 11 weeks after JR began playing with the Dodgers). He did play that year (1947) -- I don't know if he played in the minors at all before joining the big league team. QUOTE(beautox @ Apr 16, 2007 -> 12:48 PM) Vlad hit in the hand by beckett, he was taken out right away, Willits playing RF And wow, how bad does Santana look.

QUOTE(Balta1701 @ Apr 15, 2007 -> 10:36 PM) The reason why Maher didn't immediately come up with that one, IMO, is that the work still isn't finished. Or because he wanted to make a point. A point that would resonate with someone who thinks Sheryl Crow's opinion has any particular importance.

QUOTE(Kalapse @ Apr 13, 2007 -> 07:32 PM) How observant of them. Sure, but you hardly hear anything so critical about the opposing team.

Everyone listening to the Injuns announcers? On the fly to Pods, "He has no throwing arm at all."

Nummy, nummy, nummy? :shakeshead

QUOTE(Balta1701 @ Apr 11, 2007 -> 03:54 PM) I just got in...what did Anderson do? He didn't handle it cleanly off the wall.

QUOTE(Brian @ Apr 9, 2007 -> 09:48 PM) My dad is still waiting for the russian to show up that Paulie and Chris chased and got lost in the woods in season 3. Ha Ha! Lol. He's included in the "mob hits" on-demand promo, which suggests that he ain't comin' back. Kinda sad, anyway, cuz that was a fun character. My heart sank a bit when I saw him in that promo.

QUOTE(iamshack @ Apr 10, 2007 -> 12:53 PM) Well, Kenny has got the technique exactly right in this instance: You don't try to pay the price for a proven relief arm. You either go after someone with a good arm who is still unproven, or someone who cannot put it together for whatever reason. Gillick should take a page out of his book- it's sitting there wide open for the rest of the league to see... Maybe other teams, but not the Phils. Rule #7 of MLB: The Phillies LOVE overpaid, washed-up (ie, "proven") relievers. It's their calling card.

The guy who dropped Matsui just dropped Baldelli. It's like Christmas if you have high waiver priority. I dropped Shealy, picked up Quentin and dl'ed him, and added Al Reyes. But since Wheeler just got the closer job, I'm considering dropping Reyes for Baldelli. I could also go with Sowers. Thoughts?

QUOTE(Kalapse @ Apr 9, 2007 -> 02:17 PM) Yeah, it's fairly obvious that the 9th inning blast by Pujols in game 4 of the NLDS destroyed Brad Lidge's confidence. Hell, that blast destroyed my confidence in the laws of physics, so I can hardly blame the guy.

maggsmaggs, you beautiful, beautiful man.

When did the color in this thread fade?

PECOTA will never project a breakout season. It's basically an average of past performance (but using information in peripheral stats). A breakout season is by definition a surprise, a "break" from past performance. The PECOTA projection given there is not meant to represent a breakout season, but the probability-weighted average of possible performances. Saying he's a breakout candidate means those great performances that would represent a breakout have relatively high probability. Suppose Garland had a similar PECOTA projection, for example. (It's actually a little worse, but just suppose.) He still wouldn't be considered a breakout candidate, because true dominance usually requires (for one) a higher strikeout rate. Jon might have a similar average projection, but the range of performances would be a little more closely packed around that average line. Just to emphasize that the PECOTA line and the 'potential breakout' label aren't the same thing. And how awesome it's gonna be when Javy picks up that Cy Young.

QUOTE(ChWRoCk2 @ Apr 7, 2007 -> 02:25 PM) By all means if you like Shealy go for it. Its too early to tell if any player does good or not, so after a rough start he could pick things up. I have Sowers in a league or two, just cause I dont have many optinos pitching wise and he seems like the 2nd best pitcher on their team, dont necessarily like him but he should bag lots of wins on indians. Yeah, I tried to drop Shealy for Matsui, but I was only 6 on the waiver wire. No dice. I may drop Shealy soon enough, anyway. I'm not really concerned about the slow start, but I doubt I'll play him over Gonzalez soon, Gonzalez plays almost every day, and it doesn't seem like the Royals are going to play Shealy consistently (Gload's seeing good time at 1b). I just gotta find someone with power potential at c or of. The wire is pretty well picked over.

QUOTE(SnB @ Apr 7, 2007 -> 03:45 PM) yeah that is the reason. doesn't MLB on fox usually not start until like june? I'm so freakin pissed. They're blacking out a game because it's a national broadcast when they know it's not in any way being broadcast nationally? ASSHOLES.

Don't use "common". Do use "The Spoon River b****fest". Everyone will approve. Promise.

QUOTE(vandy125 @ Apr 6, 2007 -> 10:16 PM) I would go with Shealy or with Wheeler depending on your relief situation. They picked up Mike Jacobs (1B Fla) for him (who is off to a decent start, but I would not think that you would drop Fielder unless you had heard something). Conor Jackson is the other 1B on his team. QUOTE(ChWRoCk2 @ Apr 6, 2007 -> 10:23 PM) Shealy is a good bet to drop, could also argue Sowers or Wheeler though. Astros are too committed to Lidge and Wheeler wont take his spot I think which is why many people took him. Sowers is alright, wild pitcher, but if your pitchings weak keep him. Shealy should be gone hes not on an offensive powerhouse team and is not gonna light up the scoreboard, hes useless really. Jacobs for Fielder? Might want to start proposing some trades to this guy. The thing about Shealy is that I need power badly. But Gonzalez, even if he's not a 40-hr guy, is almost a lock for 20+. What's Shealy likely to do this year, in Kauffman? Can't be much more. I'm not convinced on Wheeler. I don't think Lidge gets more than one shot this year, if Wheeler can hold it down after the switch. I'm really a believer on Sowers. You have to sacrifice strikeouts, but I think he'll win enough games with rate stats good enough to carry him. Thanks for the input. Any other opinions welcome. Edit: Crap, didn't get him. Figures.

QUOTE(BearSox @ Apr 6, 2007 -> 10:28 PM) I personally am not a big fan of Young. I think his cieling as a player is something along the lines of Mike Cameron, and while Young does play good D, I don't think he will be as good as Cameron. Now, there is nothing wrong with that, but I don't think he is going to turn into this 40-40 guy many of you guys and some "scouts" are making him out to be. I haven't seen any 40-40 projections... I've seen 30-30 potential and our cupboard is bare in the outfield. I supported the trade when it happened, but it's tough to argue with results. Anyway, it'll be win-win when Vazquez becomes our ace this year.

??? -- Yahoo shows a 3-run homer.