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Jake

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Everything posted by Jake

  1. Baldwin has made some of the highest difficulty plays among Sox outfielders this year in terms of catch probability — he's a good runner and gets some good jumps. But the finer points of outfielding have gotten him badly with balls near the fence and windy days. And his throwing arm is not good at all so he loses value there too. I think if he had time to learn the position he could end up being decent but he's not there now and his bat isn't picking him up. He hasn't fielded well in the infield either and there aren't many excuses for it.
  2. FWIW, this might seal the deal on Brooks going down to AAA for Slater/Tauchman
  3. So if you're Cannon, you had the guy struck out but the call isn't made, then the guy squeaks one inside the foul line, guy barely safe at home (if at all), pop up gets dropped, crazy slide gets the guy an extra base..
  4. Probably going to fall back to the call on the field here
  5. Some lucky SOBs on the north side
  6. If you can't handle Sosa being a solidly okay MLB player you're gonna hate this rebuild
  7. His 2022-2024 would have made him approximately the best White Sox player over that period
  8. It will be a little while but I don't think Rojas will be given a full season to scuffle
  9. Vargas doing the Isaac Paredes thing and hitting the ball not that impressively hard, but making sure to hit it to the short part of the ballpark
  10. I don't watch the Cubs enough anymore to know: is the insane wind all the time or more of a rare thing that's just going on this weekend? Feels like a meaningful home field advantage to get used to the crazy things happening to fly balls and pop ups.
  11. LouBob's defensive regression makes me more bearish on him than the slow offense for some reason
  12. Did the Sox already give up on Wikelman as a starter?
  13. I'll admit the only thing that keeps me from constant ranting and raving about it is that I don't have a promising suggestion for who should be taking his job
  14. I just don't see the upside with Burke. He has a good rising fastball, but the velo isn't very good which limits how much he can get out of it. None of his other pitches have either a good shape or get good results (his curveball is a big breaker, but it seems a good curveball doesn't get you anywhere these days). On top of that, he has zero command. So what's the point? Normally a guy who is so strike-challenged has something else going for him besides he's got a pitcher's body and has "mound presence."
  15. FWIW, entering today Quero ranks 12th out of 64 catchers in throwing value, per Statcast. Not sure he had any chance to get the man on the three steals today. The high throw was obviously a bad throw, but not clear to me a good one would get him. Incidentally, Burke generally rates well at keeping runners close but not looking good today. His fellow Massachusettan Mike Vasil ranks 2nd to last (or worst on a per-batter basis) in MLB at stopping the run game.
  16. Should have observed my usual policy of not watching Burke starts
  17. Smith got screwed by his defense that inning but he's got nothing right now. Finally used his changeup a few times against Busch and got what he needed. If he isn't feeling the changeup then he's dead meat because none of the other pitches are very good
  18. Smith apparently isn't willing to use his changeup today (only thrown 3, just one was in the zone) and you can see why the Brewers weren't interested in hanging onto a version of Smith without a changeup
  19. No point extending a rookie pitcher IMO. High probability that his arm is cooked before he reaches free agency
  20. Tough luck season continues to for Vaughn
  21. swing change swing change swing change swing change swing change swing change swing change
  22. Castro has had some pretty big fluctuations in his K rate over the course of his career. Not sure what has driven that. Some shifts in his velo too (95.5ish early, then up to 98ish average, dropping down to 94.5 last year. He's around 95.5 in AAA in 2025). The slider is his best pitch despite the big velo and run on the sinker. Changeup heavy approach to lefties and it has generally performed okay to good. Sinker has been the trouble spot for him but is probably a pitch he needs to grab strikes. Last season he started mixing in four seamers and they got crushed; he hasn't thrown any in AAA this year.
  23. Seems like the most likely explanation here is Capra is a more prototypical bench player than Amaya: plays multiple positions (including a few reps in the OF) and is a fast runner. But I assume Amaya could play 2B/3B, we just don't ask him to since he's the best SS defender on the team. But he's not a great runner. Move probably doesn't matter much either way. Capra had one great year in AA following the COVID season but otherwise hasn't shown much upside.
  24. I've been watching one thing for Colson. Today was his first AAA game without a strikeout all year. That's the kind of progress I want to see from him, especially since it seems pretty clear by now that most contact is going to be very hot as long as he gets to it.
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